Friday, March 6, 2026

AI Limitations

from Alvaro Bedoya @BedoyaUSA

Open use of AI for military targeting is relatively new (we saw it in Gaza); but the use of AI for police and retail targeting is over a decade old. We’re about to re-learn some painful lessons. 1) It lets people ignore their gut. When I was a commissioner at the FTC we sued Rite-Aid over its use of AI to identify and target potential shoplifters. We alleged there were situations where staff would detain a Black woman based on a profile of “a white lady with blonde hair.” In other situations they’d detain an eleven year-old who had never set foot in the store. I don’t know this for a fact, but I strongly suspect that staff in these situations said - “wait a second here” - but they went ahead anyways. *Because the computer told them to do it.* (So we banned the use of face surveillance at Rite-Aid.) 2) It promotes magical thinking. In 2019, our team

@GeorgetownCPT found scenarios where police departments were running *drawings* of suspects into an AI face recognition system in order to arrest people. This is not a joke. Amazon Web Services bragged about how police in Washington State used a sketch to identify a suspect. Maricopa County Sheriff’s Office said you could use face recognition on “forensic busts.” Do you occasionally catch someone this way? Maybe. But the mistakes land innocent people in jail (and keep guilty people on the street.) 3) We are about to re-learn these lessons. Secretary Hegseth is bragging that the American and Israeli militaries used twice the air power as the Iraqi “shock and awe” campaign of 2003. I went to law school, and have subsequently taught law to, former military officers who were surface warfare and targeting specialists. These are some of the most serious people I know. But they are human. And if someone is asked to do something superhuman - i.e. generate an impossible number of targeting packages - it is only inevitable that they will “trust the AI,” even if their gut tells them otherwise. Yes, we’re dealing with new algorithms. The machine learning systems used in police and retail face recognition are Stone Age compared to the models being used today. But the new models make mistakes. (Yesterday Gemini told me that February 28 was a Friday.) And unlike with humans, where we know - “oh, Mike was a little rushed this morning” or “Larry always underestimates this” etc. - we are not trained to identify mistakes from AI. I hope we can avoid re-learning these lessons.

Tuesday, March 3, 2026

The Hoover Report

(c) by Mark Dempsey

"I don't care who people vote for as long as I can pick the candidates" - "Boss" Tweede (a Democrat)

Republican Assemblyman Josh Hoover's latest editorial describes his effort to fund our gas-tax-maintained roads fairly. He's concerned about a proposed mileage tax that would tax the drivers of Electric Vehicles (EVs) who pay no gas tax. Hoover says such a tax should not be charged gas-powered cars, which are already taxed for road maintenance at the pump.

So...those are the candidates: EVs or gas-powered cars. Isn't it unfair if gas-powered cars pay at the pump and then get a mileage tax too? [Outraged citizens shake their fists at the Capitol and mutter curses at big government.]

But what about trucks? Here's from the Government Accountability Office:

"...while a truck axle carrying 18,000 pounds is only 9 times heavier than a 2,000-pound automobile axle, it does 5,000 times more damage [to the road]."

What if drivers of cars, whatever their fuel, are stuck with the road maintenance bill? Shouldn't we tax the trucks much more? But trucks were not a candidate.

In a recent Orangevale meeting, Hoover also said he wanted to audit several state projects, like the Capitol annex and the state's homeless programs, for the sake of "transparency" and "accountability." These are probably worthy audits, with the additional political advantage of allowing him to criticize these as products of a legislature dominated by Democrats when the audits find faults, as they inevitably will.

But does Assemblyman Hoover want to take on a bigger problem and close the loophole in Proposition 13 for commercial properties? No mention of that. Again, it's not a candidate.

Unlike residential properties, which are reassessed at the purchase price when they sell, Prop 13's loophole lets commercial properties avoid tax reassessment as long as no more than 50% of title transfers at one time.

So Michael Dell, of Dell Computers, can buy a Santa Monica Hotel, splitting title between himself, his wife, and a corporation he controls, and the assessment and taxes remain the same even if the purchase price says real estate has gone up a gazillion percent.

Several projects Hoover wants to audit are far smaller than the stakes for this tax loophole, too. The Capital Annex costs $1.1 billion, and the state's homeless programs cost roughly $5 billion a year, yet the commercial property loophole means the state loses $12 billion in revenue annually.

Hoover's focus is on (relative) trivia and distraction.

Hoover also wants to ensure transportation money goes to (auto-centric) roads rather than transit and bikes. Here, he has a point since our cities are almost exclusively designed for auto commutes. Pedestrian-friendly, mixed-use neighborhoods, like the ones built before 1950, are the answer. They cut vehicle miles traveled roughly in half. Does Hoover propose that the state mandate such civic design? Nope. Again, not a candidate.

Critics of transit are correct, in this context; transit will never work as long as there aren't enough passengers within walking distance of the stops. Currently, that walk in our region is at least undignified if not impossible.

Providing enough riders for transit in low-density residential neighborhoods requires an occasional four- or eight-plex, and perhaps even some neighborhood commerce within a comfortable walk of the homes. The region most often builds low-density residential sprawl, making viable transit impossible.

In fairness, though, the state now mandates "Complete [pedestrian-friendly] Streets" in all new neighborhoods. Hoover wasn't in the assembly when that vote occurred, but his boss, Kevin Kiley, voted no.

Like many politicians, Assemblyman Hoover is articulate and polite, but he often omits effective public policies as an option. He advocated "transparency," while steering the conversation away from options that might solve the problems he decries. In reality, he's part of the problem, not part of the solution.

Sunday, March 1, 2026

Mother & Child reunion

 

Tuesday, February 24, 2026

Chinese Humor

 

Monday, February 23, 2026

Is there an alternative?

A perforated corporate veil

Cory Doctorow, February 20, 2026 [Pluralistic]

“Capitalist realism” is the idea that the world’s current economic and political arrangements are inevitable, and that any attempt to alter them is a) irrational; b) doomed; and c) dangerous. It’s the ideology of Margaret Thatcher’s maxim, “There is no alternative.”

Obviously this is very convenient if you are a current beneficiary of the status quo. “There is no alternative” is a thought-stopping demand dressed up as an observation. It means, “Don’t try and think of alternatives.”

The thing is, alternatives already exist and work very well. The Mondragon co-ops in Spain constitute a fully worked out, long-term stable economic alternative to traditional capitalist enterprises, employing more than 100,000 people and generating tangible, empirically measured benefits to workers, customers and the region:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mondragon_Corporation

…Brazil’s liability system “represented a distributive choice: prioritizing Brazilian workers’ ability to enforce their rights over foreign capital’s interest in minimizing costs through corporate structuring.”

Pargendler (who teaches at Harvard Law) co-authored a paper with São Paulo Law’s Olívia Pasqualeto analyzing the impact that Brazil’s limited liability system had on capital formation and corporate conduct:

https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=6105586 ….

Sunday, February 22, 2026

Denmark to the rescue!

 When the US (provocatively) sent a submarine to threaten Greenland, one of its sailors fell ill. The Danes graciously allowed him to go to a hospital in Greenland.

Meanwhile... 

 

Saturday, February 21, 2026

Nice Try, Milton

 

AI Limitations

from  Alvaro Bedoya  @BedoyaUSA Open use of AI for military targeting is relatively new (we saw it in Gaza); but the use of AI for police an...