Tuesday, April 30, 2019

Mike Gravel Tweets about Democratic loyalty

Monday, April 29, 2019

Moral outrage is overrated as a strategy

From One Psychological Reason Democratic Primaries May Serve as a Trump Re-Election Campaign:

Paradoxically, the existence of Trump in office may contribute to dynamics on the left that help keep him there. That is because of a psychological phenomenon called displacement. When people are feeling frustrated by their inability to have harms or grievances addressed in one arena, it is normal that some of that energy gets directed into other relationships or situations where being heard is more possible. We are living with a government that is captive to greed, science-denial, racial fear, corruption, and religious fundamentalism—and is headed by a moral degenerate who has yet to be held accountable. The election of Donald Trump shook us, profoundly. Many progressives carry anger or anxiety near the boiling point. That makes us more likely to go after who we can when we can, because outrage focuses us on here and now, proportion and long-term consequences be damned. And that is exactly where Trump’s re-election campaign wants us.

We Don’t Have to Feed the Beast

Outrage tends to escalate when people perceive that their friends and community are unanimous in sharing their perspective and feelings. Under those circumstances, people—all of us—trend toward greater certitude and more extreme opinions even when our shared evidence is poor and our thinking simplistic. Conversely, each of us has some power to reduce pile-ons by simply making people aware that there are multiple perspectives present “in the room.” By pointing out denunciation dynamics when we see them and adding nuance or offering alternative thoughts and ideas, we keep at bay the false sense that everybody of conscience is in agreement (except when they actually are).

Smart candidates who are decent people are going to have personal flaws. They are going to have done things they regret. They are going to change their minds because they are capable of learning as they go. And every one of them is going to disagree with you or me about something we think is important, because smart, informed, decent people don’t always agree. Accepting that, rather than feeling betrayed by it, is part of what young folks call adulting. We can do it.

Sunday, April 28, 2019

Want to vote in the California Democratic Presidential primary? You had better be a Democrat!

California's Democrats typically hold open primaries, so anyone of any party affiliation can vote in them, except for the presidential primary.

The Democratic presidential primary is where the action is for 2020, too, but if you're an independent or "No Party Preference" you will not get to select from among their presidential candidates. You have to register as a Democrat to even get the ballot.

In California, you can check the status of your registration online at https://voterstatus.sos.ca.gov/

You can also re-register to vote and change things from that online confirmation (there's a link at the bottom of the page).

This is kind of a big deal. I can understand why the Democrats want people to declare themselves members of the party, particularly considering the rise in unaffiliated voters. On the other hand, the odds are that some people will not get the news that they must be Democrats to pick from the available Democratic candidates. One wonders whether frustrating voters is part of the plan too.

Update: Now that vote-by-mail is here, a postcard from the registrar precedes sending ballots. Non-Democrats must request a ballot with Democratic candidates if they want to vote in the Democratic presidential primary.

Friday, April 26, 2019

History Rhymes: Pre-Civil War through the Gilded Age.

Sam Clemens/Mark Twain was born in 1835. That's a year of particular significance since that's when Andrew Jackson paid off the National 'Debt' entirely.

Jackson was elected on the strength of his Louisiana campaign in the War of 1812, which was over by the time he fought, and won, the battle of New Orleans--the one we still sing about. The war was over, but communication was slow enough that he hadn't heard, so he kept fighting. I'd suggest Jackson is the president who most resembles Trump.

As for that 'Debt' payoff...if you read even the "liberal" Sacramento Bee, the message is very clear that 'Debt' will crush us all, or at least make our grandchildren sorry. But most people don't understand National 'Debt' is completely unlike household debt. It's more like bank debt. If you have a bank account, that's your asset, but the bank's liability, or debt. They owe you the money! When you write a check, you're assigning a portion of the bank's debt to the payee. Dollars are essentially checks made out to "cash" in fixed amounts. They appear on the Fed, our central bank's books as a liability, too.

Now imagine depositors marching down to their bank to demand that it make its debt, and their accounts, smaller. Not very sensible. Yet congressman Ami Bera literally sponsored a Concord Coalition "Budget Workshop" to promote just that. [sigh] You can read about the history of what happens when we make significant 'Debt' reductions here. Short version: 100% of the time significant National 'Debt' reductions occur, they are followed by Great Depression sized holes in the economy.

Returning to our story: When Jackson paid off the 'Debt,' he removed public currency from circulation, and eliminated any dollar-based savings citizens might have to pay their creditors. As is typical, this reduction of 'Debt' led to a Great Depression-sized hole in the economy: the Panic of 1837.

A history buff told me that Panic also originated with Jackson's theft of the Southeastern U.S. from the Indians. The Supreme Court upheld the Indians' claim to the land, but Jackson, prefiguring Trump, defied them, and drove the Indians to Oklahoma (which means "Land of the Red Man"...until the white man wants to take it back). That exodus was the genocidal Trail of Tears.

This opened up vast stretches of cotton land, and slave-owning plantation owners borrowed heavily to buy slaves. The bumper crop of cotton they produced, however, made the price of cotton tank, even with 60% of the crop warehoused. The slavers then defaulted on loans for slave purchase since their savings were impaired by the 'Debt' payoff, and a wave of asset forfeitures and foreclosures resulted...in other words, the Panic of 1837.

One might even say this was one source of instability that led to the Civil War. Lincoln fought that Civil War with greenbacks--fiat currency, not recorded as 'Debt,' as is the (correct) convention now, and national government resumed the gold standard after the war, withdrawing the greenbacks from circulation.

In effect, this withdrawal of greenbacks from circulation amounted to another reduction of 'Debt' and the postwar period was one of enormous suffering as a consequence. Lawrence Goodwyn's The Populist Moment: A Short History of the Agrarian Revolt in America has an account of that time. Among other things, this period was the origin of William Jennings Bryan's "Cross of Gold" campaign. The bankers controlled the gold, and ran McKinley for president to protect their interests.

Goodwyn notes that the entire Confederate South had less currency in it than the state of Connecticut. Since they had no money, Southerners were compelled to purchase their seed, implements and other goods on credit from the "Furnishing Man," who sold them at an interest rate that would make a modern-day payday lender blush. The Furnishing Man was later shortened to just "The Man" as in "Working for the Man every night and day...big wheel keep on turnin' ... Proud Mary keep on burnin'...etc."

Southern (and Midwestern) farmers discovered they had to pledge their crops to the Man with a "crop lien" to qualify for goods on credit. If the price of the crop went down, the farmers bore the risk. More and more farms were transformed into sharecropping operations, with the Man skimming off profits while the sharecroppers went deeper in debt ("St. Peter don't you call me, 'cause I can't go... I owe my soul to the company sto'" comes from a song based on this kind of economics).

The Farmer-Populists formed the Farmer's Alliance and the People's Party to oppose the banker/plutocrats, and they managed to elect State and Federal officials. The were also the impetus for re-founding an American central bank (the Federal Reserve). ... but ultimately, the bankers won. McKinley was elected...then assassinated.

We do still have the Bank of North Dakota and many farm coops thanks to the populists. Unfortunately, William Jennings Bryan has been reduced to a comic figure in current popular thought, thanks to Inherit the Wind, the play in which he defends Biblical fundamentalism. Southern culture continues to despise Northern Bankers. Can you blame them?

Evidence suggests we're at another such 'Gilded Age' now. The populists are rising (and this is not unique to the U.S...see Pankaj Mishra's Age of Anger) and who knows what will happen next? The opposition to genuine populists like Bernie Sanders will never lack for funds, though.

Wednesday, April 24, 2019

The Limits of Preemptive Resignation

The reasonable man adapts himself to the world; the unreasonable one persists in trying to adapt the world to himself. Therefore, all progress depends on the unreasonable man.”- George Bernard Shaw
 
"There's no success like failure, and failure's no success at all." - Bob Dylan

Lately, the messages from popular media, political movements, even personal relationships, have been encouraging preemptive resignation. "Oh don't ask her about that! She'd be offended and ignore you anyway."


It's settled science that fighting or arguing is far less effective than finding ways to partner with an adversary, in whatever realm you're opposing them. Yet ceasing opposition altogether means withdrawing from engagement, meaning that everyone loses.

In that vein, one of my environmentalist friends asked whether an Inslee / Gillibrand ticket would be a winner, or were "too progressive."

My answer: Gillibrand did make the list of the worst Democraps who want to be president....If that's your idea of "too progressive." Gosh, I wonder whether there's an alternative....?



What gets me is the "too progressive" meme. It's like the "too expensive" response to single-payer health care. Sure, the Koch-funded Heritage Foundation study of single payer demonstrated it's $2 trillion cheaper over the next decade than what we would pay with our current system, but single payer, that costs less, is "too expensive." One cannot make these things up.

The way you get what you want is by being like Bernie, asking for the whole loaf, not hedging your bets by asking for half a loaf, and settling for a quarter loaf. Bernie and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez have done more for the environment in their "extreme" positions than all this settling for less. When did you hear about the "Green New Deal" before they brought it up?. And really? A craven opportunist like Gillibrand? (or Obama? or Clinton?). These are the people who legitimized criminality and sexual predation, making Trump look "authentic." Sure, he's a crook, but he's not pretending to be something else.

Anyway, the conventional Democratic party line has been predicated on the sentiment that they couldn't ask for too much, or be "too progressive" since they had to get their campaign funding from the plutocrats (thanks to California's Tony Coelho for that one!). Bernie even demonstrated that assertion was false with his campaign, funded by those $27 contributions.

But hey, Democrats never learn. Another unreasonable man, Ralph Nader, says "The Democrats could blow it again. They blew it in 2010, '12, '14, and '16, against the worst Republican Party that Kafka could ever imagine. Cruel, vicious, ignorant, Wall Street-indentured, warmongering, anti-labor, anti-woman, anti-consumer, anti-children -- these are their votes in Congress. Why aren't the Democrats landsliding them? They've lost the state legislatures, the majority of state governors, the House, the Senate, the Supreme Court and the executive branch. Because they're still dialing for dollars and that's the most important thing."

Vote for who you like...In my experience, rational argument is less-than-persuasive...but I won't be joining you.

My environmentalist friend's response: "I think the key part of my agenda is to get someone decent elected." See, the genuine progressives are not really electable. Sure, they're passionate, they're committed, but they aren't the adults in the room.

I replied: Of course Bernie could never get elected against Trump! (The linked poll shows him winning by historic margins in 2016)...Bernie's un-electability is the conventional establishment Democratic party wisdom. But how seriously can we take that wisdom if it lost the presidency--even the popular vote if you don't count California--and more than a thousand down-ticket races?

And have you seen Nomiki Konst's characterization of the DNC establishment? Opening words: "This stinks!"



So...sorry, I'm not convinced that centrist or corporate-friendly Democrats are necessarily more "electable." If nothing else, Trump demonstrates that the party establishments' conventional thinking is due for a rude awakening. And centrists like Obama are really just Rockefeller Republicans, anyway. What's the point of electing Republican lite when you can get the real thing?

I'd invite you to change your mind about what constitutes electability based on the evidence cited...but doubt this plea will have much effect. After all, smarter people than you and I are already making plans to emphasize identity politics ("We're not racists like those bad, bad Trump supporters!") and RussiaRussiaRussia! in an attempt to divert attention from the corporate Democrats' many betrayals of their constituents.

For just one of many examples, did you know Bill Clinton had a deal with Newt Gingrich to privatize Social Security (before the market crash!), but had to focus instead on Monica Lewinsky? A betrayal of the New Deal and sexual predation all at once! Corporate Democrats...gosh, I wonder why they lost!

Meanwhile, from The Intercept: "Perhaps the most enduring lesson of Sen. Bernie Sanders’s 2016 presidential campaign — during which he earned votes of 43 percent of Democratic Party primary participants despite starting with name recognition in the teens, enduring a corporate media blackout, and declining to take corporate PAC money — is that the traditional rules around how much you have to sell out to get ahead were wrong. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and myriad candidates who won or over-performed in last year’s midterms understood this, as do the leaders of the 2020 field, who have largely sworn off corporate PAC money, and who have adopted the bulk of Sanders’s 2016 platform. As it turns out, doing the right thing is actually a winning proposition." 

Holy mackerel! Not selling out works! What has the world come to? Hard to believe, eh?
Yet you still seem to counsel preemptive resignation to opponents of the conventional, "centrist" corporate Democrats. "Don't say you'll never compromise! Hedge your bets before you sit down to play poker!"...is what you say, in effect.

Suppose you were a labor lawyer advising a union. Would your advice be "Sure, we haven't started the negotiations yet, but I want you to commit to never striking"? That's not just weak tea, it's terrible advice. The union's leverage includes their ability to strike. Without it, management has all the cards.

It's the same with the lefties among Democrats. Without the power to take their votes and go, or stay home rather than vote, they have virtually no impact on the Democrats.

I'm betting you see my point. Nevertheless, you still counsel the Democrats on the left to forego saying they won't support some compromised nominee!

Never mind my personal sentiments: I doubt your plea to suck it up and back some corporate grifter even before the nomination process will carry much weight.

Nevertheless, we'll welcome your vote once Bernie, or maybe Elizabeth Warren, has won the nomination. You can count on massive defections, otherwise...again, my personal sentiments aside.

Meanwhile, we've been treated to nearly a half century financial backing for extreme right-wingers. What it does is move the "Overton Window" (the range of respectable policy options) steadily rightward. Any Republican who steps out of line can count on rich donors funding a primary opponent, too.

So it's time that the political left--really the people who understand systemic problems require collective solutions--counter with some far out stuff to re-center the Overton Window. Otherwise, we'll continue to hear that a Democrat who rules to the right of Richard Nixon, like Obama, is a "Kenyan Socialist." That's an absurd, completely off-center accusation, but it's been working for a while now.

Monday, April 22, 2019

Just because it's digital doesn't mean it's green

 
Last time we checked in on the issue of digital carbon emissions (2014), the information and communications technology (ICT) sector was using 50 per cent more energy than global aviation.

A new report by the carbon emission think-tank The Shift P roject out this week highlights that not much has changed since. ICT still contributes to about 4 per cent of global greenhouse gas emissions, which is still twice that of civil aviation. What is worse, its contribution is growing more quickly than that of civil aviation.

Glaringly, they note:
At the current pace of digital GHG emissions, the total over the same period of the additional digital emissions in comparison to 2018 will be about 2.1 GtCO2eq, which would cancel about 20% of the necessary effort made to reduce them.
Much of the carbon intensity associated with the ICT sector isn’t even from consumer use (although data centres are bad) but rather from the production of digital devices. Here’s how the report breaks it down:
The bad news is the rise of the internet of things and connected living is only likely to make things worse.
Some interesting points from the report that caught our eye:
  • Recharging frequency of our smartphones remains more or less constant despite the fact battery power has increased by 50 per cent in five years (a sign of Jevons paradox in play).
  • Obsolescence issues are a key driver of production excess, as successive versions of operating systems are compatible with older generation of terminals only at the cost of degraded performance, or a significant reduction in the useful capacity of the battery.
  • The explosion of data traffic — especially video traffic from on demand streaming and cloud gaming — is occurring at a rate that surpasses energy efficiency gains in equipment, networks and data centres. These traffic forecasts are also regularly revised upwards:
  • Most of the growth in the data flows is attributable to the consumption of services provided by Google, Apple, Facebook, Amazon and Chinese counterparts like Baidu, Alibaba, Tencent, Xiaomi. In some cases it can represent 80 per cent of the traffic carried on the networks of certain operators.
  • The traffic growth is so strong it raises the question as to the capacity available to ensure sufficient industrial production in terms of storage equipment by 2020.
The writers of the report worry that the uncontrolled growth rate of digital technology may lead to a loss of control or the aggravation of existing environmental imbalances. They add that “the current trend for digital overconsumption in the world is not sustainable with respect to the supply of energy and materials it requires”.
Another critical point is that the energy intensity of the digital industry in the world is only increasing (4 per cent per year), contrary to conventional industrial growth, which is becoming less energy intensive by 1.8 per cent a year.
They sum up the dynamic as follows:
". . . consuming one euro of digital technology in 2018 induces direct and indirect energy consumption 37% higher than what it was in 2010.This trend is the exact opposite of what is generally attributed to digital technology and runs counter to the objectives of energy and climatic decoupling set by the Paris Agreement."
But perhaps the most glaring statistic inadvertently revealed — in support of Robert Gordon's and Robert Solow's innovation theories — is the degree to which increasing digital expense is not contributing to global growth:
Observation of the evolution of world GDP compared to that of digital expenses shows a significant difference in growth in favour of digital technologies. It has risen from 1.5 per cent in 2013 to 3 per cent since 2016 in the OECD zone, which coincides with the deployment of digital transition in these countries. However, whereas the growth of digital technologies has speeded up, the rate of economic growth has stagnated.
So what can be done? The authors advocate a meaningful move towards digital sobriety.
Notably, “returning to the individual and collective capacity to question the social and economic usefulness of our behaviours linked to purchasing and consuming digital objects and services, and to adapting them accordingly in order to avoid immoderation”.
Practically that means: limiting the renewal of terminals, purchasing the least powerful devices possible (be proud of your Nokia 3310!), changing phones as rarely as possible, avoiding multiplication of digital copies and segmenting our video uses to essential actions. Oh, and not mining cryptocurrencies, which weren't mentioned in the report. However, on a call earlier, Maxime Efoui-Hess, one of the authors, said it's an area they are keeping an eye on.
Mr Efoui-Hess told FT Alphaville that it's essentially about prioritising the sort of things you want to do, not just because you can do them.
But will the Fyre Festival “influencer” economy ever go for that? A selfie in time, after all, guarantees many more endorsement kickbacks....

Diets (still) Don't Work

Diets are all the thing now. Young people believe thinner is better, and set their sights on low weight as something worth enormous sacrifice. But they don't work. Don't take my word for it, ask someone who has tried dieting. Ninety-five percent of the time, they'll tell you they regained any weight lost, and sometimes more. Diets do not work.

A few diet facts:

1. Normal healthy body fat content (according to diet specialist Covert Bailey) is 15% for men, 22% for women. The object of any sensible diet would be to achieve these levels of body fat, not just lose weight.

2. Eating a low-carbohydrate, low-calorie diet programs the body for famine, and makes it store more of the calories it consumes as fat.

3. If you lose weight on such low-calorie, low-carbohydrate diets, of seven pounds lost, only two will be fat. That means the bulk of the weight you lose on such diets is lean muscle mass. So the stuff that burns the weight off vanishes 250% more often than the stuff you want to lose! (Source: a dietician lecturing at my health club who weighed me in water, then on dry land to determine my body fat. This was long ago, so the fancy electronic scales that tell you body fat content in an instant weren't available then.)

Incidentally, if you exercise as part of a weight loss program, you'll often gain weight at the beginning as you add lean muscle mass--muscle is heavier than fat.You can lose weight, generally, without reducing caloric intake if you increase the level of activity / exercise. The best weight-losing, fat-burning exercise is aerobic, and mild. The anaerobic strain of pumping iron can work too, but is not as effective.

4. Diets are most often counter-productive. In fact, Covert Bailey says he has only had success with "weight loss" diets when treating people who need to gain weight. As mentioned before: low-carbohydrate, low-calorie diets program the body to replace lean muscle mass with fat.

This is why anorexics may look skinny, but are actually fat. The fat is marbled throughout their muscles, so they are weak. How fat? As much as 41% of their body weight is fat. If you do exercise to lose weight, you'll first lose this fat marbled throughout your muscles. Love handles vanish last, and typically from the top to the bottom of your body. Fat thighs vanish last. 

5. The high-protein, "fat-burning" diets like Atkins, South Beach and "Ketogenic" diets are very unhealthy.

Here's Proof that the Atkins Diet Works Like Chemotherapy By Sickness-Induced Starvation. Excerpt: "Ketogenic refers to the creation of a state of ketosis. Ketosis is a natural condition the body resorts to under harsh circumstances, such as illness or starvation. When people are ill they need to be recuperating, not gathering and preparing foods. Loss of appetite facilitates recovery. A kindness of Nature for starving people is to quiet the pain of hunger. After 3 days with no food the body enters a state of ketosis and the pain of dying is relieved. "

What about the Initial Rapid Weight Loss? "The initial weight loss [of keto diets] is rapid, and therefore very rewarding, for the desperate dieter. Most of this loss, however, is water loss, rather than fat loss. With little carbohydrate in the diet the body resorts to using its glycogen stores of glucose. Glycogen, stored in the liver and muscles, can meet the average person’s glucose needs for about 12 to 18 hours. With each gram of glycogen is stored 2.7 grams of water. The average body stores 300 grams of glycogen. Depletion of the body’s glycogen would result in an almost overnight weight loss of 1110 grams (37 ounces or over [2] pounds). The ketones also cause a strong diuretic effect on the kidneys, resulting in losses of large amounts of fluid. The [keto diet's] carbohydrate ceiling for weight loss may be as low as 15 grams, depending on the individual. This is only 60 calories of carbohydrate, which means 1/3 of a baked potato, 1/3 cup of rice, or one orange daily could be your limit of carbohydrate intake in order to remain in sufficient ketosis to suppress your appetite."

6. Diets do not defy the laws of physics. You must eat fewer calories relative to your level of activity to lose weight no matter what magical mechanism the diet may claim makes it unique. (see The Keto Diet is a Recipe for Disaster) Not even the Keto diet claims drinking alcohol is part of its approved intake.

This means that to be successful, a weight loss diet must emphasize low-calorie-density foods. A 500-calorie steak is about as big as your palm. Fat and oil are also high-calorie-density foods. Five hundred calories of potatoes is an enormous serving bowl full. Which one do you think will make you feel full sooner, and stop eating, the steak or the potatoes?

What does work?

Exercise increases your calories metabolized in a healthy way. The more lean body mass you have, the more calories you burn. Just exercising can help you lose weight in a healthy way. Eating less calorie-dense foods can help too.


It takes about 20 minutes for your body to register that you have had enough to eat, so slowing down such consumption can be effective. Also, studies say smaller plates can be effective (portions appear bigger, and your body is easy to fool that way).

Most important: Don't diet. Change your lifestyle to include healthy food and exercise.

My personal endorsement is for the Whole Foods, Plant-Based (WFPB) lifestyle. I'm certainly not a perfectionist about it--I'll eat turkey for Thanksgiving, and an egg once in a while...I'll even take a drink--but it's worked for 30 years now, and while it's not always easy to follow, it has served me well. It is easy to follow whenever I think of the pain I'm avoiding by eating healthy, though.


My own experience is that I started having arthritis, along with lots of upper-respiratory infections in my forties. Before this, I ate lots of meat, drank lots of milk, and enjoyed the American diet to the full. By sheer chance, I ate WFPB for about a week. The change in my energy level was very noticeable. Within two weeks, the arthritis was gone, and the post-nasal drip ceased. Within a few months, I'd lost ten pounds and significantly reduced my tendency to get respiratory ailments.

And my experience has been replicated and exceeded by others. See these testimonials...(not lightweight...here's a guy who abandoned keto...and lost 100 lbs!).

You might also check out an account of the largest study of the connection between diet and health ever conducted--The China Study. One of the directors of this study, Colin Campbell, was a Columbia University biochemist who also discovered "aflatoxin"--a mold-based carcinogen. Campbell was raised on a dairy farm, where he ate lots of meat and milk. He currently tours the country promoting WFPB diets. The epidemiology bears out his findings, too. The "Blue Zones" where populations live longest tend to favor high-starch diets like WFPB.

Update #1:

The high-protein, "fat-burning" diets like Atkins, South Beach and "Ketogenic" diets are seldom healthy....and yet, here's the best, recent discussion of the keto diet I've heard that contradicts that slightly. Worth listening to all the way to the end. (Cites actual science! Not all faddish / bad! Endorses, with big caveats, veggie keto...with the science to back it up!) 

Update #2:

FYI, Scales that electronically calculate fat content are available all over the place.

Then there's diet expert Dr. McDougall's comment about the Wheat Belly diet. Hint: he's not a fan.

Here's Colin Campbell, who worked on the China Study, the largest study of the connection between diet and health ever conducted, demonstrating his conclusions.

And if that's not convincing enough, here's what the low-carb diet promoters vs. the starch-based diet promoters look like. Those selling low-carb diets are universally fat people. The starch-based diet promoters are lean.

I know it's difficult to persuade anyone they've been fooled (harder than fooling them!), especially in the face of weight actually lost! WTF! Still, if the above is true, it means that losing weight often means losing lean body weight rather than fat. Less than optimum, in my humble opinion.

I'll leave it to you to draw your own conclusions. You already know mine...



😉

Update #3:[Video removed]...so Update #4: Humans have a variety of digestions. This TED talk reports observed differences in blood glucose levels after consuming the same food. The absorption of the same thing is very different. For example some people can eat ice cream and their glucose levels spike. Others can consume the same thing and not have a spike in their blood glucose.

The rate at which food becomes glucose has previously been measured as "glycemic index." This is one reason people complain about a breakfast of cereal leaving them hungry later. Sugary cereal has a very high glycemic index, which means the sugar enters the blood rapidly, and disappears just as rapidly, leaving the cereal eater hungry. Bacon and eggs, on the other hand has a much lower glycemic index, trickling the glucose into the bloodstream over a longer period of time. The glucose trickle is much healthier than the glucose spike, so lower glycemic index is healthier, and less prone to provoking that late-morning hunger sensation. Incidentally, oatmeal has an even lower glycemic index than bacon and eggs, so there's no need for a "hearty" breakfast of eggs and bacon to avoid that late-morning hunger.

What the video says, in effect, is that glycemic index is not fixed for all people. Some digestions, and the microbiome of bacteria that guide them, are different. The diversity makes evolutionary sense, too, since diverse diets would survive better than a single diet.

What the video omits mentioning, however, is that fiber is one of the ingredients most likely to slow down that absorbtion of  sugar. Other things being equal, whole wheat bread, with its burden of fiber that digestion must slowly avoid (but which feeds the microbiome), has a lower glycemic index than white bread. So that Whole Foods, Plant-Based diet still is a likely winner in the low glycemic index sweepstakes.



Wednesday, April 17, 2019

From The Man's Guide to Woman: Even Einstein didn't get Women

  "Albert Einstein is perhaps the greatest mind the world has ever known. His name is forever associated with genius, and upon his death his brain was removed and preserved so that some day neuroscience might be able to figure out why he was so smart. Yes, he developed the theory of relativity, but when it came to figuring out how to keep a woman for a lifetime, Einstein was just clueless as most men. .... In 1914, with his marriage falling apart, Einstein gave his wife, Mileva, a list of conditions she needed to follow if she wanted to stay him.

A. You will make sure:
 1. that my clothes and laundry are kept in good order;
 2. that I will receive my three meals regularly in my room;
 3. that my bedroom and study are kept neat, and especially that my desk is left for my use only.

B. You will renounce all personal relations with me insofar as they are not completely necessary for social reasons. Specifically, you will forego:
 1. my sitting at home with you.
 2. my going out or travelling with you.

C. You will obey the following points in your relations with me:
 1. you will not expect any intimacy from me, nor will you reproach me in any way;
 2. you will stop talking to me if I request it;
 3. you will leave my bedroom or study immediately without protest if I request it.

D. You will undertake not to belittle me in front of our children, either through words or behavior.

Needless to say, a few months after being presented with this list, Mileva took their two children, left Einstein, and filed for divorce. she also, incidentally received every last cent of his Nobel Prize money."

...

So whose brain should we really preserve? Albert's or Mileva's?s

Tuesday, April 9, 2019

Interesting stories

Here are some interesting stories:

The Readers’ Digest version of P.D. Ouspensky’s Strange Life of Ivan Osokin:

Ivan Osokin sat at his friend, the magician’s, kitchen table, his head in his hands. He was depressed, and loudly lamented his many mistakes, including a failed business where his partner robbed him, and a failed romance, where he was betrayed by the woman he loved. He had many other laments, but what he said loudest was “If I’d only known then what I know now! Life would be different for me!”

His friend, the magician, said “You know, we can make that happen.” So he pronounced a magic spell and sent Osokin back to his youth, before he met the woman and the treacherous business partner. This time, though, he knew all of what he knew when he was at the magician’s kitchen table.

And as he re-lived his life, he met the people he knew would betray and rob him...but now that he knew about it, he felt safe re-associating with them. Eventually, the same scenario played out: The woman left him, and the partner robbed him.

Eventually, he ended up at the magician’s kitchen table, his head in his hand, lamenting loudly how different life would be if he’d only known then what he knew now….

All of a sudden, Osokin realized what he was doing was repetition. “Oh my God! I don’t know anything!” he exclaimed. The magician said: “Now we can begin.”


From the opus of Mullah Nasrudin:

Nasrudin found work as a ferryman, rowing a boat across a river. One day a famous grammarian hired him to cross the river, and started telling him stories about grammar as he was rowed across. “Have you ever studied grammar?” the grammarian asked Nasrudin. “No,” said Nasrudin. “Then you have wasted half your life!” said the grammarian. After rowing a little further, Nasrudin noticed the boat was filling with water. He asked the grammarian if he had ever learned to swim. “No,” said the grammarian. “Then you have wasted all of your life, because the boat is sinking!” said Nasrudin.



Nasrudin crossed a hot, dusty wilderness to walk to a neighboring town. He was suspicious of the water in that town, though, so he cleverly bought some fruit to slake his thirst. His friend found him eating hot chillies from a basket, tears flowing down his cheeks. His friend said “Nasrudin! Stop eating the chillies and the pain will stop!” Nasrudin replied “I paid for the entire basket! I’m eating them all!”
….

Nasrudin was outside under a street light scouring the ground for something when a friend saw him and asked what he was looking for. “I lost my key,” said Nasrudin. “Oh, let me help you look,” replied the friend, and they both were sifting through the ground beneath the light.

After a while, the friend asked “Where exactly were you standing when you lost the key?” “Oh, back in that dark alley,” replied Nasrudin. “Then why are you looking for it out here?” asked his friend. “The light is better,” replied Nasrudin.


While on a trip to another village, Nasrudin lost his favorite copy of the mystical book.
Several weeks later, a goat walked up to Nasrudin, carrying the book in its mouth.
Nasrudin couldn't believe his eyes. He took the precious book out of the goat's mouth, raised his eyes heavenward and exclaimed, "It's a miracle!"
"Not really," said the goat. "Your name is written inside the cover."


"Nasrudin, is your religion orthodox?" "It all depends," said Nasrudin, "on which bunch of heretics is in power."


One day Nasrudin and his friends decided to play a joke on the people in a village. So Nasrudin drew a crowd, and lied to them about a gold mine in a certain place. When everybody ran to get their hands on the gold, Nasrudin started running with them. When asked by his friends why he was following them, he said "So many people believed it, that I think it may be true!"

Monday, April 8, 2019

Climate activists love the wrong thing

Here are a couple of emails written in response to some climate activists who reject the Green New Deal (GND) and embrace an incrementalist approach proposed by the "moderates" (AKA "realists" AKA "reasonable people") ... like the Washington Post's editorial board. They say we can fund all kinds of environmental policies that would lead us to treat the planet better, but the idea of including social safety net programs that would let us treat each other better...apparently that's a bridge too far (and the climate activists agree!) Holy shmackerel! With friends like these, the planet doesn't need enemies!

Here are the mails...

I would respectfully disagree that the Washington Post's proposal is "efficient, effective, ...and achievable." It's focused, OK, but on whatever favors the 1%. The tax and dividend policy it suggests aligns with [Citizens' Climate Lobby, an organization promoting carbon tax whose proceeds are refunded to the population], but there are plenty of other side trips it takes.

For one thing the editorial immediately discards any mitigation for job shifting that the 99% might enjoy, saying proponents of the GND "should not muddle this aspiration with other social policy, such as creating a federal jobs guarantee, no matter how desirable that policy might be."

Really? So what's the plan to tell our coal miners and oil drillers? Let's all move to California and learn to write software? The GND is a *DEAL* above all else. Without compensation for those displaced--and there would be lots of displaced workers--it's a non-starter.

Then there's the plea for "Fiscal Responsibility": "the country cannot afford to waste dollars in its pursuit. If the market can redirect spending most efficiently, money should not be misallocated on vast new government spending or mandates."

How about the government-funded research that discovered the transistor, the integrated circuit, the internet, the touch screen, roughly 75% of pharmaceutical innovation, GPS, etc? Why is government always a wasteful "misallocator"? Answer: the 1% can't control it as effectively as a privatized program.

Note that the Kochs funded the work of James Buchanan, who authored "Public Choice" economics (vouchers for everything!) which said the public sector *always* gets it wrong. As if to make Buchanan's work a foregone conclusion, Newt Gingrich's congress laid off the experts advising congress (See Why is congress so dumb?).

Of course government misallocates, while the private sector does not. That's why PG&E is cheaper than SMUD… Oh wait! [Sacramento Municipal Utility District power is cheaper]

So the Post is promoting theological economics. God has an "invisible hand" and all will turn out OK if we minimize any meddling from government and let wise Mr. Market handle our thinking automagically! Only the private sector can save us!

Incidentally, this insistence on discrediting government as a religious exercise is the point of all the recent attacks on it. Discredit it, under-fund it, and sure enough people will clamor to privatize even more of the public realm. The UK is doing that with its National Health Service now. In the U.S. Trump could have had his wall when he had both houses of congress...but by waiting he got to shut the government down, which was the real point.

The Post continues: "economists know that companies that invest in research and development do not get rewarded for the full social value of their work." See the fruits of the above government-funded research in everything from transistors to pharmaceuticals. Has the iPhone paid royalties for all the government-sourced research it uses? How about for the infrastructure that's not toll roads, or for the education of its engineers? Or how about paying for a good (for now) postal service? Meg Whitman couldn't make ebay work in Russia. Why? Answer: Bad postal service.

The private sector is not interested in funding infrastructure, education or basic research. It's too expensive and risky. That means the GND *must* be public policy, or we will have to submit to an economy that's a series of toll booths! Government has plenty of critical attention since its operation is publicized, out in the open, but it has no monopoly on cluelessness. We didn't read about Enron's board meetings until the bankruptcy trial made that public. Let's not draw too many conclusions from that particular distortion, shall we?

More Washington Post: "[the GND] would cost $27 trillion to get there by 2035 — a yearly price tag of about 9 percent of 2017 gross domestic product. (Total federal spending is currently a bit more than 20 percent of GDP.)"

Wow, now we *really* can't afford it (and have you seen the size of national debt? Holy Mackerel!). Why we're completely out of money!

Truth is that the U.S. is a sovereign, fiat money creator with floating exchange rates and debts payable in the currency it can issue at will. It can no more run out of money than the scorekeeper at the ball game can run out of points.

One recent example: according to its own audit, the Federal Reserve issued $16 - $29 trillion to bail out the financial sector in 2008 (Note: no tax rise; no inflation). For only $9 trillion, they could have paid everyone's mortgage off. Apparently banks are the most important thing...not climate, not the public, not the economy. What's important is the tiny slice of the population that owns most of America's assets.

One reminder: taxes do not provision federal government programs. They can’t. Where would people get the money to pay taxes if government didn’t spend the dollars out into the economy first? Saying otherwise is like believing you can give the ticket taker at the movies your ticket before you obtain one from the theater. Taxes make the money valuable, they do not provision government programs.

Taxes create markets, too. Say the King wants to employ 10,000 soldiers. This is a logistical nightmare to feed, house, train, arm, etc. so many men. What does the King do? He pays his soldiers in the official currency (call them “crowns”). Then he taxes the entire population, payable in “crowns.” The population then scrambles to get crowns from the soldiers by providing them...and themselves...with a market. While there are plenty of nomadic, tribal and other forms of society, there are no historical examples of stateless societies that have markets and economic money. No state; no market.

So...good tax policy is essential to a productive economy, especially one that will have to produce climate mitigation.

Honestly, I've tried to be respectful here, but the distortions of real "solutions" are awful. It goes without saying that without some serious, all-hands-on-deck action about climate, the costs will be far greater than any GND.

That does not stop frequent Washington Post contributor George Will's recent National Review editorial from distorting the GND and Modern Money Theory (MMT) beyond all recognition as he sneers at it. MMT is the source of a lot of what's constructive about the above...So this editorial is not the only clueless thing the Post has published. If you're interested, here's Bill Black's answer to distortions like Will's. The Bee does print Will, but won't print something like Black's response. Back in the UK, though, the Financial Times has been publishing MMT's Stephanie Kelton as she responds to Paul Krugman. In any case, I'll go for a carbon tax (and dividend), but the rest of what the Post says to dismiss the GND is truly reprehensible.

What does Gandhi say? "First they they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win” ... One step at a time, I guess.



Mail #2 (after some responses)

I’ve got to confess my disappointment that neither of you gets how essential MMT is to success in addressing climate solutions. IMHO, it ain’t optional. And your response to something like me declaring “two plus two equals four”... is “I disagree.”

This is beyond puzzling. You “disagree”…?! I’d suggest, as gently as possible, that we don’t get to vote about this.

For you, somehow government can produce trillions (without raising taxes, or triggering inflation) for bank bailouts or Middle East wars, but even [another correspondent] says "I'd rather see some of the revenue used for green stuff"....as though government needs tax revenue to provision its programs.

Please ask yourself: Where do people ultimately get the dollars? The 2+2=4 answer: The central bank (the "Fed") is the monopoly issuer of dollars. Yet you believe that when government wants to provision a program, must it collect some dollars in taxes? Really? Do dollars really grow on billionaires? Where would taxpayers get their dollars if the government didn't spend them out into the economy first?

Marshall McLuhan says “Only puny secrets need protection. Big discoveries are protected by public incredulity.” True dat.

So it's not "tax and spend"...it can't be. It's "spend dollars first, then ask for some dollars back in taxes." Why have taxes at all? Answer: To make the money valuable. Dollars give us relief from an inevitable liability: taxes. They do not and cannot provision (federal) government programs.

But what about that National 'Debt'? Answer: It's different from household debt, if only because no household can issue dollars to repay its debts, as the Fed can.

National ‘Debt’ is actually more like bank debt. Your bank account is your asset, but to the bank, it's their liability (i.e. debt). When you write a check, you're assigning a portion of that bank debt to the payee. Those dollars in your wallet are simply checks made out to "cash" in fixed amounts. They appear on the books of the Fed as a liability, too. The Republicans understand this completely, hence the bigger deficits in Trump’s budgets...and the economic improvements weighted heavily toward Trump’s real constituents, the plutocrats.

So...Imagine a mob of depositors going down to their bank to demand that the bank diminish its debt (i.e. make their bank accounts smaller). Not a very sensible picture, is it? Yet my congressperson, Ami Bera, sponsored a Pete Peterson ["Concord Coalition"] workshop on how to reduce National 'Debt' (and I made a fuss). So...you're certainly not alone!

What is another name for the dollar financial assets out in the economy? Besides "citizens' savings"... it's "National 'Debt'"... We pass around government IOUs for money. It says so on the dollars (“Federal Reserve Note”). The word “note” is a legal term for an IOU.

The way we allocate the economy's resources is with money. The machinations of that magical capitalist "Mr. Market" got us to climate catastrophe, too. I don't think it's a stretch to say it's going to take something other than the market to get us out of our current hole--as you correctly point out.

The problem with the Nancy Pelosi / Democratic approach (“PayGo”) is that it preemptively sabotages new programs by harnessing their adoption to the same billionaires whose activities got us to climate catastrophe. “We must tax the billionaires!” saps the energy of climate remedies by taking on a needless battle. It also declares National ‘Debt’ is somehow a problem. History debunks that, too.

Anyway, I pray you will come to your senses and recognize how accurate and essential is MMT (the link is to a nice explanation). As for whether the Democrats will save us...I wouldn’t count on that (not to say that R's are better). Nancy Pelosi has already preemptively resigned herself to no new programs without cuts or new taxes, and colluded with much of the Democratic misbehavior of the past. See Thomas Frank’s Listen Liberal: Whatever Happened to the Party of the People? for the whole story there. For his trouble, Frank can’t get published in the U.S. today. McCluhan would understand.

Best wishes for "getting" the above, no requirement that you agree with it. Two plus two can take care of itself.

Links

The Irrationality of Alcoholics Anonymous 
...and it's not just AA. American rehab is bizarre. Excerpt: "There is no mandatory national certification exam for addiction counselors. The 2012 Columbia University report on addiction medicine found that only six states required alcohol- and substance-abuse counselors to have at least a bachelor’s degree and that only one state, Vermont, required a master’s degree. Fourteen states had no license requirements whatsoever—not even a GED or an introductory training course was necessary—and yet counselors are often called on by the judicial system and medical boards to give expert opinions on their clients’ prospects for recovery."

They Had It Coming: what the college cheating scandal reveals.

...Masterful writing from a former high school counselor.

Thursday, April 4, 2019

Sacramento News & Review...the new editorial stance

Sacramento News & Review got a new editor, Foon Rhee, who apparently must have the last word about everything that appears in the paper, including the letters from readers. Here's an example:

Original Letter:
Eric Wiesenthal, a "centrist" Democrat, writes that he is concerned that "America is not yet ready for...'socialists'" Really? Would he rather have his electricity provided by (publicly owned) SMUD, or (privately owned) PG&E? Hint: SMUD is cheaper.

He's a "strong supporter of the Affordable Care Act" which he never calls "Obamacare." Hint: single payer is cheaper and covers *everyone*!

Sure, the ACA is really "Romneycare," and was authored by the (Koch-supported) Heritage Foundation. It's a Republican plan passed during the administration of a Rockefeller Republican, Barack Obama. So it must be defended!

Wiesenthal is also a fan of the 1986 tax reform ("a bipartisan effort") that retroactively removed the last vestige of subsidies for affordable housing after Reagan cut the HUD affordable housing budget 75%. All the limited partnerships that built apartments went bankrupt after that.

With guys like this nudging the Democrats toward the right, who needs Republicans?
 
Foon Rhee's edit, and comment:
Here's the edited version we're willing to publish. Don't have the time to go through another long exchange of emails. So let me know if this is acceptable. If not, I'll move on.

A “centrist” Democrat writes that he is concerned that America is not ready for “socialists.” Really? Would he rather have his electricity provided by publicly-owned SMUD or privately-owned PG&E? Hint: SMUD is cheaper.

He’s a strong supporter of the Affordable Care Act. Hint: single payer is cheaper and covers everyone. The ACA is really a Republican plan passed during the administration of a Rockefeller Republican, Barack Obama.

The letter writer is also a fan of the 1986 tax reform that removed the last vestige of subsidies for affordable housing. All the limited partnerships that built apartments went bankrupt after that.

With guys like this nudging the Democrats toward the right, who needs Republicans?

My Response:
Sorry, I don't get it. Really and truly. The letter respects the 150 word limit. The reduction of HUD's budget that you omit is validated (and then some) by a Google search, as is the Koch-Funded Heritage Foundation's contribution to the ACA.

You seem to be a stickler for accuracy, but the writer is not a "letter writer" as you call him, he's an essayist appearing in your opinions > essay section. And why omit Wiesenthal's name? What does that accomplish?

So...as I say, a series of puzzling changes that make work for both of us.

Anyway, at least say he's an essayist, not a "letter writer," and publish it that way. If you're convinced by the links above, include that too.

Rhee's response:

Will fix essayist. As I said, don't have time or need to go back and forth on changes. 
 
...

The great thing about a blog is that in it, I get the last word...👍

Monday, April 1, 2019

The Social Ideology of the Motorcar

This 1973 essay on how cars have taken over our cities remains as relevant as ever (reposted from Unevenearth.com)

by André Gorz

The worst thing about cars is that they are like castles or villas by the sea: luxury goods invented for the exclusive pleasure of a very rich minority, and which in conception and nature were never intended for the people. Unlike the vacuum cleaner, the radio, or the bicycle, which retain their use value when everyone has one, the car, like a villa by the sea, is only desirable and useful insofar as the masses don’t have one. That is how in both conception and original purpose the car is a luxury good. And the essence of luxury is that it cannot be democratized. If everyone can have luxury, no one gets any advantages from it. On the contrary, everyone diddles, cheats, and frustrates everyone else, and is diddled, cheated, and frustrated in return.

This is pretty much common knowledge in the case of the seaside villas. No politico has yet dared to claim that to democratize the right to vacation would mean a villa with private beach for every family. Everyone understands that if each of 13 or 14 million families were to use only 10 meters of the coast, it would take 140,000km of beach in order for all of them to have their share! To give everyone his or her share would be to cut up the beaches in such little strips—or to squeeze the villas so tightly together—that their use value would be nil and their advantage over a hotel complex would disappear. In short, democratization of access to the beaches point to only one solution—the collectivist one. And this solution is necessarily at war with the luxury of the private beach, which is a privilege that a small minority takes as their right at the expense of all.

Now, why is it that what is perfectly obvious in the case of the beaches is not generally acknowledged to be the case for transportation? Like the beach house, doesn’t a car occupy scarce space? Doesn’t it deprive the others who use the roads (pedestrians, cyclists, streetcar and bus drivers)? Doesn’t it lose its use value when everyone uses his or her own? And yet there are plenty of politicians who insist that every family has the right to at least one car and that it’s up to the “government” to make it possible for everyone to park conveniently, drive easily in the city, and go on holiday at the same time as everyone else, going 70 mph on the roads to vacation spots. The monstrousness of this demagogic nonsense is immediately apparent, and yet even the left doesn’t disdain resorting to it. Why is the car treated like a sacred cow? Why, unlike other “privative” goods, isn’t it recognized as an antisocial luxury? The answer should be sought in the following two aspects of driving:
  • Mass motoring effects an absolute triumph of bourgeois ideology on the level of daily life. It gives and supports in everyone the illusion that each individual can seek his or her own benefit at the expense of everyone else. Take the cruel and aggressive selfishness of the driver who at any moment is figuratively killing the “others,” who appear merely as physical obstacles to his or her own speed. This aggressive and competitive selfishness marks the arrival of universally bourgeois behavior, and has come into being since driving has become commonplace. (“You’ll never have socialism with that kind of people,” an East German friend told me, upset by the spectacle of Paris traffic).
  • The automobile is the paradoxical example of a luxury object that has been devalued by its own spread. But this practical devaluation has not yet been followed by an ideological devaluation. The myth of the pleasure and benefit of the car persists, though if mass transportation were widespread its superiority would be striking. The persistence of this myth is easily explained. The spread of the private car has displaced mass transportation and altered city planning and housing in such a way that it transfers to the car functions which its own spread has made necessary. An ideological (“cultural”) revolution would be needed to break this circle. Obviously this is not to be expected from the ruling class (either right or left).

Let us look more closely now at these two points.

When the car was invented, it was to provide a few of the very rich with a completely unprecedented privilege: that of traveling much faster than everyone else. No one up to then had ever dreamt of it. The speed of all coaches was essentially the same, whether you were rich or poor. The carriages of the rich didn’t go any faster than the carts of the peasants, and trains carried everyone at the same speed (they didn’t begin to have different speeds until they began to compete with the automobile and the airplane). Thus, until the turn of the century, the elite did not travel at a different speed from the people. The motorcar was going to change all that. For the first time class differences were to be extended to speed and to the means of transportation.

This means of transportation at first seemed unattainable to the masses—it was so different from ordinary means. There was no comparison between the motorcar and the others: the cart, the train, the bicycle, or the horse-car. Exceptional beings went out in self-propelled vehicles that weighed at least a ton and whose extremely complicated mechanical organs were as mysterious as they were hidden from view. For one important aspect of the automobile myth is that for the first time people were riding in private vehicles whose operating mechanisms were completely unknown to them and whose maintenance and feeding they had to entrust to specialists. Here is the paradox of the automobile: it appears to confer on its owners limitless freedom, allowing them to travel when and where they choose at a speed equal to or greater than that of the train. But actually, this seeming independence has for its underside a radical dependency. Unlike the horse rider, the wagon driver, or the cyclist, the motorist was going to depend for the fuel supply, as well as for the smallest kind of repair, on dealers and specialists in engines, lubrication, and ignition, and on the interchangeability of parts. Unlike all previous owners of a means of locomotion, the motorist’s relationship to his or her vehicle was to be that of user and consumer-and not owner and master. This vehicle, in other words, would oblige the owner to consume and use a host of commercial services and industrial products that could only be provided by some third party. The apparent independence of the automobile owner was only concealing the actual radical dependency.

For the first time in history, people would become dependent for their locomotion on a commercial source of energy.

The oil magnates were the first to perceive the prize that could be extracted from the wide distribution of the motorcar. If people could be induced to travel in cars, they could be sold the fuel necessary to move them. For the first time in history, people would become dependent for their locomotion on a commercial source of energy. There would be as many customers for the oil industry as there were motorists—and since there would be as many motorists as there were families, the entire population would become the oil merchants’ customers. The dream of every capitalist was about to come true. Everyone was going to depend for their daily needs on a commodity that a single industry held as a monopoly.

All that was left was to get the population to drive cars. Little persuasion would be needed. It would be enough to get the price of a car down by using mass production and the assembly line. People would fall all over themselves to buy it. They fell over themselves all right, without noticing they were being led by the nose. What, in fact, did the automobile industry offer them? Just this: “From now on, like the nobility and the bourgeoisie, you too will have the privilege of driving faster than everybody else. In a motorcar society the privilege of the elite is made available to you.”

People rushed to buy cars until, as the working class began to buy them as well, defrauded motorists realized they had been had. They had been promised a bourgeois privilege, they had gone into debt to acquire it, and now they saw that everyone else could also get one. What good is a privilege if everyone can have it? It’s a fool’s game. Worse, it pits everyone against everyone else. General paralysis is brought on by a general clash. For when everyone claims the right to drive at the privileged speed of the bourgeoisie, everything comes to a halt, and the speed of city traffic plummets—in Boston as in Paris, Rome, or London—to below that of the horsecar; at rush hours the average speed on the open road falls below the speed of a bicyclist.

When everyone claims the right to drive at the privileged speed of the bourgeoisie, everything comes to a halt, and the speed of city traffic plummets

Nothing helps. All the solutions have been tried. They all end up making things worse. No matter if they increase the number of city expressways, beltways, elevated crossways, 16-lane highways, and toll roads, the result is always the same. The more roads there are in service, the more cars clog them, and city traffic becomes more paralyzingly congested. As long as there are cities, the problem will remain unsolved. No matter how wide and fast a superhighway is, the speed at which vehicles can come off it to enter the city cannot be greater than the average speed on the city streets. As long as the average speed in Paris is 10 to 20 kmh, depending on the time of day, no one will be able to get off the beltways and autoroutes around and into the capital at more than 10 to 20 kmh.

The same is true for all cities. It is impossible to drive at more than an average of 20 kmh in the tangled network of streets, avenues, and boulevards that characterise the traditional cities. The introduction of faster vehicles inevitably disrupts city traffic, causing bottlenecks-and finally complete paralysis.

If the car is to prevail, there’s still one solution: get rid of the cities. That is, string them out for hundreds of miles along enormous roads, making them into highway suburbs. That’s what’s been done in the United States. Ivan Illich sums up the effect in these startling figures: “The typical American devotes more than 1500 hours a year (which is 30 hours a week, or 4 hours a day, including Sundays) to his [or her] car. This includes the time spent behind the wheel, both in motion and stopped, the hours of work to pay for it and to pay for gas, tires, tolls, insurance, tickets, and taxes .Thus it takes this American 1500 hours to go 6000 miles (in the course of a year). Three and a half miles take him (or her) one hour. In countries that do not have a transportation industry, people travel at exactly this speed on foot, with the added advantage that they can go wherever they want and aren’t restricted to asphalt roads.”

It is true, Illich points out, that in non-industrialized countries travel uses only 3 to 8% of people’s free time (which comes to about two to six hours a week). Thus a person on foot covers as many miles in an hour devoted to travel as a person in a car, but devotes 5 to 10 times less time in travel. Moral: The more widespread fast vehicles are within a society, the more time—beyond a certain point—people will spend and lose on travel. It’s a mathematical fact.

The reason? We’ve just seen it: The cities and towns have been broken up into endless highway suburbs, for that was the only way to avoid traffic congestion in residential centers. But the underside of this solution is obvious: ultimately people can’t get around conveniently because they are far away from everything. To make room for the cars, distances have increased. People live far from their work, far from school, far from the supermarket—which then requires a second car so the shopping can be done and the children driven to school. Outings? Out of the question. Friends? There are the neighbors… and that’s it. In the final analysis, the car wastes more time than it saves and creates more distance than it overcomes. Of course, you can get yourself to work doing 60 mph, but that’s because you live 30 miles from your job and are willing to give half an hour to the last 6 miles. To sum it all up: “A good part of each day’s work goes to pay for the travel necessary to get to work.” (Ivan Illich).

In the final analysis, the car wastes more time than it saves and creates more distance than it overcomes.

Maybe you are saying, “But at least in this way you can escape the hell of the city once the workday is over.” There we are, now we know: “the city,” the great city which for generations was considered a marvel, the only place worth living, is now considered to be a “hell.” Everyone wants to escape from it, to live in the country. Why this reversal? For only one reason. The car has made the big city uninhabitable. It has made it stinking, noisy, suffocating, dusty, so congested that nobody wants to go out in the evening anymore. Thus, since cars have killed the city, we need faster cars to escape on superhighways to suburbs that are even farther away. What an impeccable circular argument: give us more cars so that we can escape the destruction caused by cars. [comment: hold on sparky, horses were not exactly clean!]

Since cars have killed the city, we need faster cars to escape on superhighways to suburbs that are even farther away. What an impeccable circular argument: give us more cars so that we can escape the destruction caused by cars.

From being a luxury item and a sign of privilege, the car has thus become a vital necessity. You have to have one so as to escape from the urban hell of the cars. Capitalist industry has thus won the game: the superfluous has become necessary. There’s no longer any need to persuade people that they want a car; it’s necessity is a fact of life. It is true that one may have one’s doubts when watching the motorized escape along the exodus roads. Between 8 and 9:30 a.m., between 5:30 and 7 p.m., and on weekends for five and six hours the escape routes stretch out into bumper-to-bumper processions going (at best) the speed of a bicyclist and in a dense cloud of gasoline fumes. What remains of the car’s advantages? What is left when, inevitably, the top speed on the roads is limited to exactly the speed of the slowest car?

Fair enough. After killing the city, the car is killing the car. Having promised everyone they would be able to go faster, the automobile industry ends up with the unrelentingly predictable result that everyone has to go as slowly as the very slowest, at a speed determined by the simple laws of fluid dynamics. Worse: having been invented to allow its owner to go where he or she wishes, at the time and speed he or she wishes, the car becomes, of all vehicles, the most slavish, risky, undependable and uncomfortable. Even if you leave yourself an extravagant amount of time, you never know when the bottlenecks will let you get there. You are bound to the road as inexorably as the train to its rails. No more than the railway traveller can you stop on impulse, and like the train you must go at a speed decided by someone else. Summing up, the car has none of the advantages of the train and all of its disadvantages, plus some of its own: vibration, cramped space, the danger of accidents, the effort necessary to drive it.

And yet, you may say, people don’t take the train. Of course! How could they? Have you ever tried to go from Boston to New York by train? Or from Ivry to Treport? Or from Garches to Fountainebleau? Or Colombes to l’Isle-Adam? Have you tried on a summer Saturday or Sunday? Well, then, try it and good luck to you! You’ll observe that automobile capitalism has thought of everything. Just when the car is killing the car, it arranges for the alternatives to disappear, thus making the car compulsory. So first the capitalist state allowed the rail connections between the cities and the surrounding countryside to fall to pieces, and then it did away with them. The only ones that have been spared are the high-speed intercity connections that compete with the airlines for a bourgeois clientele. There’s progress for you!

The truth is, no one really has any choice. You aren’t free to have a car or not because the suburban world is designed to be a function of the car and, more and more, so is the city world. That is why the ideal revolutionary solution, which is to do away with the car in favour of the bicycle, the streetcar, the bus, and the driverless taxi, is not even applicable any longer in the big commuter cities like Los Angeles, Detroit, Houston, Trappes, or even Brussels, which are built by and for the automobile. These splintered cities are strung out along empty streets lined with identical developments; and their urban landscape (a desert) says, “These streets are made for driving as quickly as possible from work to home and vice versa. You go through here, you don’t live here. At the end of the workday everyone ought to stay at home, and anyone found on the street after nightfall should be considered suspect of plotting evil.” In some American cities the act of strolling in the streets at night is grounds for suspicion of a crime.

So, the jig is up? No, but the alternative to the car will have to be comprehensive. For in order for people to be able to give up their cars, it won’t be enough to offer them more comfortable mass transportation. They will have to be able to do without transportation altogether because they’ll feel at home in their neighborhoods, their community, their human-sized cities, and they will take pleasure in walking from work to home-on foot, or if need be by bicycle. No means of fast transportation and escape will ever compensate for the vexation of living in an uninhabitable city in which no one feels at home or the irritation of only going into the city to work or, on the other hand, to be alone and sleep.

“People,” writes Illich, “will break the chains of overpowering transportation when they come once again to love as their own territory their own particular beat, and to dread getting too far away from it.” But in order to love “one’s territory” it must first of all be made livable, and not trafficable. The neighborhood or community must once again become a microcosm shaped by and for all human activities, where people can work, live, relax, learn, communicate, and knock about, and which they manage together as the place of their life in common. When someone asked him how people would spend their time after the revolution, when capitalist wastefulness had been done away with, Marcuse answered, “We will tear down the big cities and build new ones. That will keep us busy for a while.”

These new cities might be federations of communities (or neighborhoods) surrounded by green belts whose citizens-and especially the schoolchildren-will spend several hours a week growing the fresh produce they need. To get around everyday they would be able to use all kinds of transportation adapted to a medium-sized town: municipal bicycles, trolleys or trolley-buses, electric taxis without drivers. For longer trips into the country, as well as for guests, a pool of communal automobiles would be available in neighborhood garages. The car would no longer be a necessity. Everything will have changed: the world, life, people. And this will not have come about all by itself.

Above all, never make transportation an issue by itself. Always connect it to the problem of the city, of the social division of labour, and to the way this compartmentalizes the many dimensions of life.

Meanwhile, what is to be done to get there? Above all, never make transportation an issue by itself. Always connect it to the problem of the city, of the social division of labour, and to the way this compartmentalizes the many dimensions of life. One place for work, another for “living,” a third for shopping, a fourth for learning, a fifth for entertainment. The way our space is arranged carries on the disintegration of people that begins with the division of labour in the factory. It cuts a person into slices, it cuts our time, our life, into separate slices so that in each one you are a passive consumer at the mercy of the merchants, so that it never occurs to you that work, culture, communication, pleasure, satisfaction of needs, and personal life can and should be one and the same thing: a unified life, sustained by the social fabric of the community.

From Le Sauvage September-October 1973. Translator not known.

André Gorz was a philosopher, journalist, and writer. He was known as one of the first ecosocialists and political ecologists.

The Corruption of Economics

"In the decade since the financial crisis, not one so-called top economics department has hired a single senior professor who had accurately foretold the calamity to come. It should be evident, by this point, that this is not accidental." -- Book review of Money and Government: The Past and Future of Economics, by Robert Skidelsky (Yale University Press, 2018) (Quoted in Ian Welsh's blog.)

Neoclassical economics, the fashion of economic thinking currently informing the public policy decisions of the ruling class, folds the classical economists' three factors of production (capital, labor, land) into two (capital and labor), so it ignores the monopoly aspects of land ownership.

Elizabeth J. Phillips (née Magie; 1866–1948) invented the precursor to today's Monopoly, The Landlord's Game to illustrate the position of land in those productive inputs, and the effects of Henry George's proposed land tax. In the Monopoly version of the game, there's only one winner; everyone else, in effect, declares bankruptcy. Ms. Phillips proposed an alternative set of rules ("Prosperity") that let everyone win. You can still get the rules for Prosperity online, but Monopoly is the game in popular distribution. Neoclassical economics gets at least a propaganda victory by the kind of willful ignorance forced on the public, particularly ignorance of the potential to make the economy more productive by paying attention to the effect of land as a productive input.

Neoclassical economics also ignores money and credit, asserting that the real economy is, in effect, a system of barter, effectively ignoring economic history. Anthropologist Caroline Humphrey concludes that "No example of a barter economy, pure and simple, has ever been described, let alone the emergence from it of money; all available ethnography suggests that there never has been such a thing."

So it's no surprise that neoclassical economics did not predict an event at the confluence of credit and land--the subprime mortgage meltdown--because those factors do not appear in their calculations.

Finally, American economic thinking historically includes Simon Patten’s (1852 – 1922) teaching at the Wharton Business School — which asserted government-subsidized public infrastructure was a fourth factor of production. The neoclassicals want to suppress this bit of history, and paint government as only a meddler in markets.  But historically, only societies with states, and their regulatory infrastructure have had markets. No state; no market.

How does a state create a market? Imagine the king wants to employ 10,000 troops to defend the borders. Training, housing and feeding this enormous number of soldiers would be a logistical nightmare. So the king pays his troops with the official currency (let's call it "crowns"), and demands the rest of the population pay a tax...in crowns. This means people want get their hands on the soldiers' pay, and make a market to serve them, and everyone else, in the process. It's also equally obvious that the state has to regulate that market, if only to specify what makes a legitimate "crown," and how credit arrangements can work.


So some fairly bizarre neoclassical assertions guide current public policy, reminding me of a stage hypnotist I saw once at the state fair. He put a dozen people in a trance, told them to take off their right shoe and hold it in their hand. Then he told them when they woke, they wouldn't be able to see whatever was in their right hand. He snapped his fingers to wake them, and asked them what happened to their right shoe. People were looking under their chairs, around the back of the stage, etc. while clearly holding their shoe in their hand. The crowd laughed, but I wondered how often we're holding the shoe we're looking for.

That's the state of play in economics, currently. The economists with the ear of the public policy makers are walking around with their shoe in their hand, wondering why these irritating people opposing their policy solutions are telling them to wake up.

Russiagate

The 2016 campaign season brought to the surface awesome levels of political discontent. After the election, instead of wondering where that anger came from, most of the press quickly pivoted to a new tale about a Russian plot to attack our Democracy. This conveyed the impression that the election season we’d just lived through had been an aberration, thrown off the rails by an extraordinary espionage conspiracy between Trump and a cabal of evil foreigners.
This narrative contradicted everything I’d seen traveling across America in my two years of covering the campaign. The overwhelming theme of that race, long before anyone even thought about Russia, was voter rage at the entire political system.
The anger wasn’t just on the Republican side, where Trump humiliated the Republicans’ chosen $150 million contender, Jeb Bush (who got three delegates, or $50 million per delegate). It was also evident on the Democratic side, where a self-proclaimed “Democratic Socialist” with little money and close to no institutional support became a surprise contender.

Cats with jobs

  pic.twitter.com/tZ2t2cTr8d — cats with jobs 🛠 (@CatWorkers) April 18, 2024