Wednesday, August 28, 2019

Will Rogers

Venus de Milo on display at the Louvre

Rogers and his niece saw Venus de Milo together. He said "See what happens if you don't stop biting your nails!"

Famous as a pundit, and one of the first to act "naturally" in movies rather than the hammy stage acting style of the time, first, he was a magician with a rope.


Friday, August 23, 2019

What Harm are GMOs?

© by Mark Dempsey


In one of my favorite Netflix shows--Adam Ruins Everything--the fact-spouting comedian Adam Conover declares there’s no difference in the nutritional value of Genetically Modified Organism (GMO) food when compared to “natural” food...as though the heavily bred plants and animals we consume are natural.

But he is missing the larger context. Unlike plant or animal breeders, scientists creating GMOs insert genes from completely unrelated species into their products. That’s how they can create a rabbit that glows like a jellyfish. That rabbit may be nutritionally identical to one that is not a GMO, but his place in the ecosystem is certainly different. It would be much more difficult for him to hide from a coyote at night, for example.

The harm from GMOs is often not in nutrition, it’s in the ecosystem. Consider bacillus thuringiensus (“BT”), a natural bacterium that sickens plant pests, but is harmless to humans. Organic farmers can use this without concern that it will kill bees, or pollute the environment.

BT has been around for a long time. The natural bacteria only persist for a few weeks without being washed off of plants, so insects do not have enough time to breed BT resistance, too.

Along comes Monsanto, though, and puts the BT genes in their BT corn. This means the BT insecticide persists throughout the growing season, and is incorporated into the entire plant. Now the insects can breed several generations of pests, and will certainly come up with BT-resistance as a result, just as the weeds around “Roundup Ready” plants are becoming resistant to Roundup.

That’s the big problem with GMOs. Monsanto’s profit comes first; forget everyone else, or the ecosystem. I’d say Monsanto owes millions in damages to organic farmers everywhere by effectively depriving them of an insecticide that’s both harmless to humans and natural...but I’m not going to hold my breath until the courts provide justice in this case.

Wednesday, August 21, 2019

Healthcare


Gosh, I wonder why people are so concerned about health care:


Axios reported that two decades ago, “the average health insurance coverage for a family consumed 14% of the average household income.” By 2017, that number was up “to about 31% of take-home pay.”



Overall, the results of all this spending aren’t better care, better outcomes or better coverage:

The Economist notes that “America spends about twice as much on health care as other rich countries but has the highest infant-mortality rate.”

CNBC reports that “an estimated 530,000 families turn to bankruptcy each year because of medical issues and bills.”

In the Atlantic, People’s Policy Project director Matt Bruenig reported that “America’s level of uninsurance leads to more than 35,000 unnecessary deaths every year.”

The mainstream media cover Modern Money Theory (MMT)

Robert J. Shiller NY Times: Modern Money Theory Makes Sense Up to a Point

Key conclusion: "We should not react automatically against new expenditures that increase the deficit. There do appear to be some urgent needs that might justify more debt for a while. But acknowledging this does not require a revolution in economic theory, and it does not license unlimited spending or carelessly adding debt upon debt."


Zach Helfand in The New Yorker: The Economist Who Believes the Government Should Just Print More Money

"[T]he basic principle of M.M.T. is seductively simple: governments don’t have to budget like households, worrying about debt, because, unlike households, they can simply print their own money. So M.M.T. proposes that the constraint on government spending shouldn’t be debt but inflation: How much new money can you pump into the economy before prices rise?"

...the biggest criticism is that it's politically impossible...you know, like that Keynesian "pump priming"...

Both articles say MMT is a darling of the political left, but Trump recently announced he's considering reducing payroll taxes, something straight out of MMT.

Monday, August 19, 2019

The Narrative Relief Homework Assignment

“If you think you are too small to make an impact, try spending the night in a room with a mosquito” – African proverb

Human knowledge requires narratives that make sense of the world. Sometimes these stories are codified in religious texts, other times, they are scientific hypothesis. Such stories are helpful in daily life too: If you want to remember whether you left your keys on the bureau, odds are you’ll look at that story in your head that includes the bureau, before you walk back to check whether the keys are there. The story is not tangible, like the bureau, but it’s a tremendous time saver, if nothing else.

TED talker, George Monbiot, makes the case that stories are what guide even large social movements, and he has a point.

Eastern religions, particularly Buddhism, make much of achieving “enlightenment,” and at least part of that enlightenment is realizing that a multiplicity of explanations reveal meaning in the world. If you realize “it’s just a story” (roughly like recognizing “it’s just a movie” at a horror flick) you will likely lighten up…perhaps achieving at least one kind of enlightenment.

Your assignment is to remember some story that was significant in your life, then come up with an alternative ending or two. Here are some examples:

1. One evening, a friend found Mullah Nasruddin on his hands and knees under a streetlight. “What are you doing?” asked the friend. “Searching for my key,” replied Nasruddin. The friend started helping, but after a few minutes asked “Where were you standing when you dropped the key?” Nasruddin said “back in the alley over there.” “Then why are you searching here?” asked the friend. “The light is better,” said Nasruddin.


That’s a joke. What if the ending was the friend saying: “Let me get a flashlight and I’ll help you look in the alley.”? Not nearly as funny, and it omits the point the joke makes about human nature...but odds are Nasruddin finds the key.


Here’s another one:

2. The emperor is parading, and a child says “Hey! He’s naked!” In the conventional, Hans Christian Anderson tale, the emperor “grimly continued the parade.”

What if he said “Thanks little child! How silly of me! I’ll go home and get dressed!” The original narrative makes a point about human ego, but the alternative would be the sensible thing to do.

For more about this, recommended reading is Eric Berne’s What Do You Say After You Say Hello?... a book that describes life scripts. Berne asks what would happen if the actors in Hamlet departed from that script and started playing Abie’s Irish Rose. It would be worse theater, but a happier life for the characters.

For those of you with Netflix, take a look at Adam Ruins Everything for some idea of how corrected stories would influence our daily lives.

Another story: Everyone knows the game Monopoly. That’s a game that has one winner, and everyone else gets bankrupt. There’s an alternative version (Prosperity) from the woman who invented the game. In that second version, everyone stops playing when everyone wins. You can Google for the alternative rules.

Bonus Stories:

Climate catastrophe could be the end of humanity...or it could be the two-by-four that whacks us on the head and wakes us up to end a lot of unsustainable practices. (Political Economist Mark Blyth actually suggests this. He says the tipping point will occur with some disaster: e.g. Miami loses drinking water.)

Donald Trump is an embarrassment, but he’s not doing much different than lots of previous presidents (“Hey, Hey, LBJ, How many kids did you kill today?” was a chant from my youth). He’s uncouth, but maybe he could be the two-by-four…

...Your turn!

The Benefit of Trump

© by Mark Dempsey

In life, you either get humility or humiliation. There is no third choice. - Anonymous

Some of my liberal friends are distraught, literally losing sleep because they are so embarrassed by the Trump presidency. I sat down to breakfast with a friend of a friend, and the first words out of her mouth were “I wouldn’t want to live in a neighborhood with Trump supporters”


And, lets face it, Trump really is an embarrassment. He can’t open his mouth without sticking his foot in it...but really, he’s not doing much more than presidents of both parties have done that’s immoral, bigoted or offensive. There's nothing new about Trump.

For one of many examples, Andy Jackson marched the Indians out of the Southeastern U.S. in the genocidal “Trail of Tears,” even though the Indians won their case in the Supreme Court, and were, by law, entitled to their original land. Jackson defied the court, telling the chief justice to enforce its decision himself.

Even the New Deal was as racist as it gets, sanctioning and even encouraging white flight with government financing. African Americans living in those hollowed-out inner cities didn't even get public benefits until the civil rights legislation decades later. American women got the vote, but only after the slaves did.

Even the "noble" Obama didn't prosecute the war crimes of Bush & Cheney. He promoted the torturers and prosecuted the whistle blowers...after giving Wall Street a "Get Out of Jail Free" card when the financial sector executed what's arguably the largest theft in human history (U.S. net worth declined 40% in the wake of Lehman's bankruptcy).

You can't legitimize criminality as Obama (and Clinton) did, then expect something better than a mobbed-up sadist like Trump. The "disgusting" Trump administration is the fruit of seeds planted long ago...by both major parties.

True, even the poorest among us enjoy the benefits of modern civilization, but it's helpful to remember that we live on a continent conquered by rapacious adventurers whose wars and diseases wiped out 90% of the natives. We're wading hip deep in the blood of imperial edicts that spread suffering in Iran, Iraq, Vietnam, Guatemala, El Salvador, etc....and the current crop of American citizens believe we have the right, even the moral obligation, to incarcerate the refugees! Calling this American attitude arrogant is an understatment.

So...the benefit of Trump is that we no longer get to pretend we're the nice guys. Imperial cruelty is out front, not buried in the weeds of history. If we embrace it, the humility will do us good.

...and for an interesting contrary view, see this.

Know Thyself

(From Sapiens by Yuval Noah Harari)

If happiness is based on feeling pleasant sensations, then in order to be happier we need to re-engineer our biochemical system. If happiness is based on feeling that life is meaningful, then in order to be happier we need to delude ourselves more effectively. Is there a third alternative?

Both the above views share the assumption that happiness is some sort of subjective feeling (of either pleasure or meaning), and that in order to judge people’s happiness, all we need to do is ask them how they feel. To many of us, that seems logical because the dominant religion of our age is liberalism. Liberalism sanctifies the subjective feelings of individuals. It views these feelings as the supreme source of authority. What is good and what is bad, what is beautiful and what is ugly, what ought to be and what ought not to be, are all determined by what each one of us feels.

Liberal politics is based on the idea that the voters know best, and there is no need for Big Brother to tell us what is good for us. Liberal economics is based on the idea that the customer is always right. Liberal art declares that beauty is in the eye of the beholder. Students in liberal schools and universities are taught to think for themselves. Commercials urge us to ‘]ust do it!’ Action films, stage dramas, soap operas, novels and catchy pop songs indoctrinate us constantly: ‘Be true to yourself’, ‘Listen to yourself’, 'Follow your heart'. Jacques Rousseau stated this view most classically: ‘What I feel to be good — is good. What I feel to be bad — is bad.’

People who have been raised from infancy on a diet of such slogans are prone to believe that  happiness is a subjective feeling and that each individual best knows whether she is happy or miserable. Yet this view is unique to liberalism. Most religions and ideologies throughout history stated that there are objective yardsticks for goodness and beauty, and for how things ought to be. They were suspicious of the feelings and preferences of the ordinary person. At the entrance of the temple of Apollo at Delphi, pilgrims were greeted by the inscription: ‘Know thyself!’ The implication was that the average person is ignorant of his true self, and is therefore likely to be ignorant of true happiness. Freud would probably concur.*

And so would Christian theologians. St Paul and St Augustine knew perfectly well that if you asked people about it, most of them would prefer to have sex than pray to God. Does that prove that having sex is the key to happiness? Not according to Paul and Augustine. It proves only that humankind is sinful by nature, and that people are easily seduced by Satan. From a Christian viewpoint, the vast majority of people are in more or less the same situation as heroin addicts. Imagine that a psychologist embarks on a study of happiness among drug users. He polls them and finds that they declare, every single one of them, that they are only happy when they shoot up. Would the psychologist publish a paper declaring that heroin is the key to happiness?

The idea that feelings are not to be trusted is not restricted to Christianity. At least when it comes to the value of feelings, even Darwin and Dawkins might find common ground with St Paul and St Augustine. According to the selfish gene theory, natural selection makes people, like other organisms, choose what is good for the reproduction of their genes, even if it is bad for them as individuals. Most males spend their lives toiling, worrying, competing and fighting, instead of enjoying peaceful bliss, because their DNA manipulates them for its own selfish aims. Like Satan, DNA uses fleeting pleasures to tempt people and place them in its power.

Most religions and philosophies have consequently taken a very different approach to happiness than liberalism does.3 The Buddhist position is particularly interesting. Buddhism has assigned the question of happiness more importance than perhaps any other human creed. For 2,500 years, Buddhists have systematically studied the essence and causes of happiness, which is why there is a growing interest among the scientific community both in their philosophy and their meditation practices.

Buddhism shares the basic insight of the biological approach to happiness, namely that happiness results from processes occurring within one’s body, and not from events in the outside world. However, starting from the same insight, Buddhism reaches very different conclusions.

According to Buddhism, most people identify happiness with pleasant feelings, while identifying suffering with unpleasant feelings. People consequently ascribe immense importance to what they feel, craving to experience more and more pleasures, while avoiding pain. Whatever we do throughout our lives, whether scratching our leg, fidgeting slightly in the chair, or fighting world wars, we are just trying to get pleasant feelings.

The problem, according to Buddhism, is that our feelings are no more than fleeting vibrations, changing every moment, like the ocean waves. If five minutes ago I felt joyful and purposeful, now these feelings are gone, and I might well feel sad and dejected. So if I want to experience pleasant feelings, I have to constantly chase them, while driving away the unpleasant feelings. Even if I succeed, I immediately have to start all over again, without ever getting any lasting reward for my troubles.

What is so important about obtaining such ephemeral prizes? Why struggle so hard to achieve something that disappears almost as soon as it arises? According to Buddhism, the root of suffering is neither the feeling of pain nor of sadness nor even of meaninglessness. Rather, the real root of suffering is this never-ending and pointless pursuit of ephemeral feelings, which causes us to be in a constant state of tension, restlessness and dissatisfaction. Due to this the mind is never satisfied. Even when experiencing pleasure, it is not content, because it fears this feeling might soon disappear, and craves that this feeling should stay and intensify.

People are liberated from suffering not when they experience this or that fleeting pleasure, but rather When they understand the impermanent nature of all their feelings, and stop craving them. This is the aim of Buddhist meditation practices. In meditation, you are supposed to closely observe your mind and body, witness the ceaseless arising and passing of all your feelings, and realise how pointless it is to pursue them. When the pursuit stops, the mind becomes very relaxed, clear and satisfied. All kinds of feelings go on arising and passing — joy, anger, boredom, lust — but once you stop craving particular feelings, you can just accept them for what they are. You live in the present moment instead of fantasising about what might have been.

The resulting serenity is so profound that those who spend their lives in the frenzied pursuit of pleasant feelings can hardly imagine it. It is like a man standing for decades on the seashore, embracing certain ‘good’ waves and trying to prevent them from disintegrating, while simultaneously pushing back ‘bad’ waves to prevent them from getting near him. Day in, day out, the man stands on the beach, driving himself crazy with this fruitless exercise. Eventually, he sits down on the sand and just allows the waves to come and go as they please. How peaceful!

This idea is so alien to modern liberal culture that when Western New Age movements encountered Buddhist insights, they translated them into liberal terms, thereby turning them on their head. New Age cults frequently argue: ‘Happiness does not depend on external conditions. It depends only on what we feel inside. People should stop pursuing external achievements such as wealth and status, and connect instead with their inner feelings.’ Or more succinctly, ‘Happiness Begins Within.’ This is exactly what biologists argue, but more or less the opposite of what Buddha said.

Buddha agreed with modern biology and New Age movements that happiness is independent of external conditions. Yet his more important and far more profound insight was that true happiness is also independent of our inner feelings. Indeed, the more significance we give our feelings, the more we crave them, and the more we suffer. Buddha’s recommendation was to stop not only the pursuit of external achievements, but also the pursuit of inner feelings.

To sum up, subjective well-being questionnaires identify our well-being with our subjective feelings, and identify the pursuit of happiness with the pursuit of particular emotional states. In contrast, for many traditional philosophies and religions, such as Buddhism, the key to happiness is to know the truth about yourself — to understand who, or what, you really are. Most people wrongly identify themselves with their feelings, thoughts, likes and dislikes. When they feel anger, they think, ‘I am angry. This is my anger.’ They consequently spend their life avoiding some kinds of feelings and pursuing others. They never realise that they are not their feelings, and that the relentless pursuit of particular feelings just traps them in misery.

If this is so, then our entire understanding of the history of happiness might be misguided. Maybe it isn’t so important whether people’s expectations are fulfilled and whether they enjoy pleasant feelings. The main question is whether people know the truth about themselves. What evidence do we have that people today understand this truth any better than ancient foragers or medieval peasants?

Scholars began to study the history of happiness only a few years ago, and we are still formulating initial hypotheses and searching for appropriate research methods. It’s much too early to adopt rigid conclusions and end a debate that’s hardly yet begun. What is important is to get to know as many different approaches as possible and to ask the right questions.

Most history books focus on the ideas of great thinkers, the bravery of warriors, the charity of saints and the creativity of artists. They have much to tell about the weaving and unravelling of social structures, about the rise and fall of empires, about the discovery and spread of technologies. Yet they say nothing about how all this influenced the happiness and suffering of individuals This is the biggest lacuna in our understanding of history. We had better start filling it.




* Paradoxically, while psychological studies of subjective well-being rely on people’s ability
to diagnose their happiness correctly, the basic raisan d’étre of psychotherapy is that people
don’t really know themselves and that they sometimes need professional help to free them-
selves of self-destructive behaviours.







Sunday, August 18, 2019

What will it take for the Democratic establishment to abandon Biden?


From The Week



Matthew Walther
August 13, 2019

Being president of the United States is hard and requires an essentially heroic work ethic and the ability to think and speak clearly? What a lot of malarkey. All you have to do is roll up your sleeves and get down to work, the same way that Sen. Eastland and Barack and I used to do in the good old days. You need me.

This is basically Joe Biden's pitch to the American people. It is how powerful men always talk when anyone dares to question their presumed right to rule. Cut it out with that tedious needling bullcrap about facts and timelines and whether my words make any sense — I've got this under control. It should be especially familiar to anyone who has paid attention to this country and its affairs for, I don't know, the last three or four years.

These days, Biden is confused about everything and everyone virtually all the time. He doesn't know the difference between Theresa May and Margaret Thatcher — or between the latter and Angela Merkel. He routinely says things that are absolute gibberish — "truth over facts," "the nation that Barack Obama proved toward bends toward justice." The broad strokes of his biography — tough childhood, long time in the Senate, then vice president — are clear enough but begin to blur around the edges: Was I still in the administration when those kiddos came to see me?

These are not ordinary slips of the tongue. They are signs of cognitive decline that will be familiar to anyone who, like me, spends a good deal of time in the company of people who are roughly Biden's age. As far as I am aware, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is the only prominent Democrat who has actually come out and said this, even though it must be painfully obvious to millions of Americans who have friends and relatives in their eighth or ninth — or even 10th — decade of life.

First, there is the low-level verbal infelicity, which is especially pronounced among those who were never silver-tongued to begin with. The affect is there — strong, assertive — but the syntax is garbled; the clauses don't add up; the rhetorical space is reserved for crucial fact or reference but it doesn't appear somehow. Then there are the issues with chronology. It's not that they have totally forgotten what they did or when or with whom, but facts end up in the wrong place on the timeline — you did buy that truck from that guy but it was three years after you sold the old house. There is also the endless nostalgia, the sunny insistence that if only we could get back to how everything used to be when — insert the names of old cronies and pals of yore — everything would improve, as if by magic.
 --
Democrats value unity and loyalty and knowing one's place in the pecking order more than they do anything else, including winning elections. We saw this in 2016, when at least 10 of today's candidates running against a non-incumbent Trump would have had a better shot than Hillary Clinton, whose serious weaknesses were as apparent long before Iowa as they were on November 9.

--
None of these is, in itself, a bad thing. No one minds the fact that older people get confused about their own biographical details or view the past with rose-colored glasses. In fact, one of the nastiest things about American life is how appallingly we treat the elderly, especially those whose families will not or cannot attend to them personally. But to suggest that Biden's mental abilities are irrelevant to his presidential campaign is insane. I do not think there is a single sentient adult who actually believes this, least of all Biden himself. You cannot simultaneously bow before the awesome grandeur of a machine that exhaustively catalogs Donald Trump's "false or misleading claims" (itself a ludicrous catch-all category that includes everything from bald-faced lies to moronic opinions to usage errors) and insist that Biden's verbal slipups are of no consequence.

Which is why people who make excuses for Biden are always quick to mention the current president. Despite what is widely reported as a more or less superhuman level of energy, Trump too is bad at names and dates and, well, at everything else that requires the ability to use words and his reasoning faculties. Details elude or simply bore him, and he is always jumping seemingly at random from one project to another or refusing to move on from others that are of no importance out of sheer stubbornness. (This is why even those of us who broadly approve of his trade policy, for example, doubt that he is the right man for the job.)

But these comparisons with Trump are tiresome. Surely the whole point of having a wide-open primary field with more than two-dozen Democratic hopefuls is that your baseline qualifications for a candidate can be something other than "also senescent but at least a member of our team."

Will the Democratic establishment ever come around to this? What would it take for a few bigwigs to say enough's enough, pull Biden aside, and ask him to stand down? Imagine a world in which on the eve of the primaries, Biden holds a joint press conference with his old pal Barack in which they both endorse, I don't know, Julián Castro, a fresh-faced youngster who is up to the task of defending the old Obama-era neoliberal consensus but with the performative wokeness dialed up one or two notches.

I for one cannot see this ever happening. This is not because it would not be a good thing for the party and its fortunes but because Democrats value unity and loyalty and knowing one's place in the pecking order more than they do anything else, including winning elections. We saw this in 2016, when at least 10 of today's candidates running against a non-incumbent Trump would have had a better shot than Hillary Clinton, whose serious weaknesses were as apparent long before Iowa as they were on November 9.

Hillary wanted for her turn. Now it's Joe's.

How Do You Actually Change Things?

AUGUST 13, 2019 from Current Affairs





We are so small and it can feel so hopeless…
by NATHAN J. ROBINSON


Back when I thought I wanted to be a lawyer, I spent a summer working at the New Orleans public defender’s office. Louisiana has the highest incarceration rate of any U.S. state, and is home to the infamous Angola prison (as well as the Angola prison rodeo, and the Angola prison gift shop). I wanted to see the “front lines” of the criminal punishment system and understand what “law” actually meant for people’s lives.

I certainly got my wish. It was a disturbing experience. In municipal court, where only low-level misdemeanor cases are decided, I would watch 30 shackled defendants meeting their lawyer only minutes before many of them entered guilty pleas. Many prisoners were housed in tents, which were boiling hot in the summertime. (That was the summer I learned that you never ask an imprisoned person “How are you doing?” The first time I made that mistake during a jail visit, the client replied “I live in a tent with 60 violent men and can’t leave. So that’s how I am.” The correct phrasing is: “How are you holding up?”) Conditions in the jails were appalling, and I watched teenagers being sent off to the penitentiary for decades without having received anything close to a fair trial.

Observing this system’s regular operations for a few months certainly put the “fire in my belly,” and I came away angrier than ever that the United States shows such contempt for human lives. But I also really didn’t want to be a public defender. Not just because the hours were long and the pay was pitiful, but because you could spend 40 years in the job and the criminal punishment system would be exactly the same the day you left as the day you arrived. Many public-spirited people turn away from practicing law for this reason: They come to find out that the victories to be won are so small that they feel negligible next to the magnitude of the problem.

The U.S. carceral system is almost unfathomably vast—if “prison” were a state, it would be about the 37th largest, bigger than New Mexico. And on the inside, prisons are almost indistinguishable from the worst totalitarian states. They are colorless, bleak, and brutal. People are tortured if they step out of line. So you secured your client a decent plea deal—they were facing 20 years, you got them 10—so what? Well, it’s not nothing. 10 years of a person’s life is a very long time. But it doesn’t begin to change the fact that the U.S. has a “country-within-a-country” locked up. My colleague Brianna Rennix works at an immigration detention center, where she has successfully litigated numerous asylum claims. These are people fleeing violence who get to stay because of the work she does. That is anything but trivial. But she also feels helpless, because it’s not changing the cruel policies that are literally causing refugees to be kidnapped and killed.

Public defense, like immigration law, has the frustrating quality of being both indispensable and useless. Indispensable because if people don’t do the work, real human beings suffer. Useless because the work will continue to flow in at the same pace no matter what you do. I hesitate to use an analogy this flippant, but if you are Lucy trying to wrap the chocolates, you might be able to get a few chocolates wrapped, but you’re never going to figure out how to slow down the conveyor belt. In Lucy’s position, is it best to try to wrap as many as you can, or should you say “Fuck it” and go looking for the control switch?

One problem is: It’s not always clear, with giant social problems, what the “control switch” actually looks like. How do you “change systems”? America’s prison system, for example, is not easily dismantled. People think that a large portion of mass incarceration is due to drug offenses, and we could solve the problem by decriminalization or legalization, but that’s not really true. Most people are in prison for “violent” crimes, and the public isn’t especially sympathetic to softening up on violent crime. Or take the black-white wealth gap: It’s clearly a colossal injustice built on a mountain of historical discrimination. It is less obvious what you should do in order to fix it.

Actually, though, there often are good measures we could start with, if we had the political will. The Movement for Black Lives, for instance, has laid out a detailed platform with some pretty concrete objectives. Brianna has explained what a more humane immigration policy might look like, with plenty of clear changes possible that fall short of outright “open borders.” (Which should still be our end goal.) Other countries have figured out how to run health care systems that give better outcomes for less money, and make the experience of going to the doctor much simpler and less stressful. Even climate change, against which we can feel so small and helpless, has real solutions, and the fact that we can’t have them is less because “the world’s problems are beyond our capacity to solve” and more because Congress and the White House are filled with people who either deny the problems entirely or refuse to expend the necessary effort on them.

There is still the question of how to act as an individual, though. You have finite time and energy. What do you do to push forward “change”? Do you just go and vote for the right person? Do you go wave a sign? When the Trump administration’s family separation policy was at its most extreme, I attended a large protest in the French Quarter of New Orleans. It was a thrilling experience: hundreds of people were there, all united in outrage. But to whom were we speaking? To the tourists passing by? To the local news media, which barely exists any more? I remember the same feeling at Iraq war protests in 2003, and Occupy Wall Street in 2011—it felt incredible to be among comrades who all refused to accept What Was Going On. It also felt impotent. Eventually everyone went home and the world stayed mostly the same. In the case of Trump, he sort of ended the family separation policy after public outcry, but continued to separate hundreds of families. (Plus, remember that calling this one policy the “family separation” policy is a bit of a misnomer, since any deportation can be “family separation.” The children whose parents were just snagged in an ICE raid weren’t formally “separated,” but they were separated.)

Adolph Reed has written a lot about “cargo cult politics”—politics where it feels like you’re doing something useful but you’re actually not. The term is harsh, but I actually think the comparison is useful. The cargo cults of the South Pacific were islanders who saw that airplanes landed on runways, bringing cargo. So they “built replicas of airports and airplanes out of twigs and branches and made the sounds associated with airplanes to try to activate the shipment of cargo.” This actually made quite a bit of sense, seen from their perspective—if cargo comes when there is an airport, one might think the airport caused the cargo. But there was more going on: An airport doesn’t just need a runway, but also a network of people and institutions communicating with each other and deciding whether and how to fly planes there. The stick-replica might have looked like an airport, but it wasn’t one, and it was never going to function as one.

For Reed, the point of invoking this is to show that there may be actions that look a lot like political progress, but are missing the element that actually causes the change. Say, for example, we notice that in the 1960s, civil rights protesters wore signs in the streets. So when we want to change something, we go out and hold signs in the streets, because that’s what you do. But perhaps there was something else going on when they did it; perhaps it was a small part of a much larger political strategy, and we’re missing the component that actually mattered. Ben Studebaker points out a few examples of seemingly “political” actions that are missing an underlying theory of how you change the world, like superficial changes in consumption habits and interventions in “the discourse.” For decades, Reed has been warning that there is a terrible danger in mistaking the word “HOPE” on a poster, or a rhetorical promise of change, for an actual vision of what change means and how to get it.

It’s hard, though, because the world is such a lonely and atomized place, and there’s no obvious thing you can do in order to help. People are always asking Current Affairswhat they should actually do, because the answer isn’t obvious and so many actions that seem like the obvious choice end up not actually being very helpful. (I could go and plant a garden but Bolsonaro is still going to be tearing down the Amazon at the rate of a football field a minute.) Often, some actions are more useful than others—in this magazine we’ve previously offered some suggestions on immigration—but the fact remains that giant systemic problems don’t have individual fixes, yet we’re all individuals who have to make choices on our own.

You can see that I haven’t really found a satisfactory answer based on what I’ve chosen to do with my life. At first I told myself “Okay, so being a public defender won’t change things, because you’ll just be working on individual cases.” Thus the next summer I tried a different kind of law: giant class actions. I went to the ACLU’s National Prison Project, which sues prisons over conditions. They do excellent work, and many incarcerated people are getting better medical care and living in less squalor and neglect because they had the NPP on their side. But even those cases seemed only to be improving things at the margins, and the effort required was immense, even for those small results. A case against an unsafe jail in the U.S. Virgin Islands had been dragging on for 25 years. The administrators of the jail had spent decades flouting court orders. I didn’t think I could spend decades of my life trying to get the Virgin Island jail to offer basic humane conditions to the few hundred people housed there. And yet: I was also so glad there were people doing that, and I felt somewhat guilty about wanting “more” or having a sense that people who were working harder and accomplishing more than me were somehow doing something fruitless. They were saving lives. But the question still nagged: If everyone is frustrated that we can’t do the “systemic change,” how do you do that? What does it look like?

My present answer is a bit of a cop-out. I decided that the way to maximize my own usefulness was by trying to build a media institution that could hopefully, eventually, slightly nudge public opinion. Through Current Affairs, I’m trying to persuade more people that left-wing ideas are good and that left-wing values are worth holding. I think it’s a success on those terms: I have gotten lots of feedback from people who think differently as a result of reading this magazine, and I feel as if I have found my niche. But notice that I’m still outsourcing the real work: An article about the thing is not the thing, the map is not the territory. The best media can hope for is to change minds and put good ideas into circulation, but then someone else has get us from here to there.

The good news, though, is that it seems more possible than at any previous point in my lifetime to turn the word “change” into actual changes. You’ve got people saying: The health care system runs X way, it should be run a different way, if people who supported running it a different way got into power, they could alter it by passing this bill, so we need to get as many people who support that into office as possible. When I talked to Shahid Buttar, who is running against Nancy Pelosi, he didn’t speak in abstractions: He said we need this set of policies, and as long as we have a Democratic Party leadership that doesn’t support them, we won’t get them, so we need to replace them. Fair enough. That’s a concrete action for you: Go and work on Shahid’s campaign. Help him get Pelosi out of office. Then we’ll be more likely to get Medicare For All and a Green New Deal.

This is also why I consistently write so positively about the DSA. They’re organized. They’re going to train labor organizers to unionize workplaces. Unions create power that counters employers. Power can be exercised to shift resources from one set of social actors to another. The gains will be real. The socialist elected officials I talked to at the DSA convention were full of ideas: Let’s set up a community land trust, let’s end cash bail. Mik Pappas, a socialist judge in Pennsylvania, was negotiating compromises rather than allow evictions to proceed. Candi CdeBaca, a leftist on the Denver city council, got the city to terminate its contracts with private prison companies. Do that all over the country, and we’ll shrivel these despicable companies.

We have an article coming up in our next issue about Huey Long. Long was a deeply flawed person with dictatorial tendencies, but the article suggests we can learn some things from the simplicity and concreteness of his political approach. Tax the rich and use the money to make the schools better, Long said, and that’s what he did. He funneled money to the public university system and infrastructure projects. Build a movement, get into power, and take bold action that delivers the goods. Put that way, it doesn’t sound so hard.

Run socialists for office at every level, then. Work on their campaigns. Unionize every workplace. If you’re policy smart, work on developing strong plans that will actually work. If you’re good at making persuasive arguments in magazine articles, do that. If you’re strategically minded, plot how we can win. If you’ve got boundless energy, go persuade and recruit whoever you can. I think change is difficult, and it’s not always clear what to do next, but the one clear path I see is building a powerful socialist movement with a well-defined agenda, with as many of its members as possible in positions of power. The question of “What do you do” feels less anguishing to me than it once did, back when Occupiers sat in the park and wondered what was supposed to come next.

The warning about cargo cults is still critical. We might think we’re moving forward because now we have meetings and feel more organized. The real question is whether we’re making demonstrable progress toward a set of objectives, not whether we’ve constructed a thing that looks vaguely like a social movement out of twigs and branches. From the amount of time centrist Democrats now have to spend explaining why we can’t have single-payer healthcare, I think we’re doing well.

But each of us is still a very small creature in a very big universe, and it’s always going to be hard to overcome the sense that the obstacles to “real change” are insurmountably large. We can take some comfort from past large-scale human endeavors that have worked: It was not easy to get a National Health Service introduced in Britain, or the eight-hour day in the U.S., but it got done—if you want ideas for how change happens, look at how it has happened. There is a sort of faith required, though: a belief that the way things look today is not the way they have to look tomorrow. That can feel utopian—it’s “easier to imagine the end of the world than the end of capitalism.” But we need to have faith that this shows the limits of our imaginations, not the limits of human possibility, and as we start mapping out whatkinds of “change” and “progress” we want and how they would work, these words start to feel less like vacuous cliches and more like an authentic political program.

What Happens in El Norte Doesn’t Stay in El Norte

The following piece by Rebecca Gordon appeared in Tom Dispatch (link at the end). Oddly enough she mentions the military and political attacks by the U.S. on our southern neighbors, but omits the economic attacks. These include not just things like the Cuban embargo, but items like NAFTA. You might anticipate that shipping tons of subsidized Iowa corn might adversely impact Mexican corn farmers--and in fact the NAFTA treaty compensates large farmers for their losses--but the little Mexican subsistence corn farmers were simply bankrupted. Corn is only arguably the most important food crop in the world, and those subsistence farmers were only keeping the disease resistance and resilience of the corn genome alive with the varieties they would plant.... but they weren't making any money for Monsanto, darn them!

In the wake of NAFTA, not only did the U.S. have to come up with $20 billion to bail out the banks--prefiguring the subprime/derivatives meltdown--Mexican real incomes declined 34% (source: Ravi Batra's Greenspan's Fraud). One has to return to the Great Depression to find a decline like that in the U.S. Of course that prompted no great migration...Oh wait! the Okies!

What Happens in El Norte Doesn't Stay in El Norte

 By Rebecca Gordon

It’s hard to believe that more than four years have passed since the police shotAmílcar Pérez-López a few blocks from my house in San Francisco’s Mission District. He was an immigrant, 20 years old, and his remittances were the sole support for his mother and siblings in Guatemala. On February 26, 2015, two undercover police officers shot him six times in the back, although they would claim he’d been running toward them with an upraised butcher knife.

For two years, members of my little Episcopal church joined other neighbors in a weekly evening vigil outside the Mission police station, demanding that the district attorney bring charges against the men who killed Amílcar. When the medical examiner’s office continued to drag its feet on releasing its report, we helped arrange for a private autopsy, which revealed what witnesses had already reported -- that he had indeed been running away from those officers when they shot him. In the end, the San Francisco district attorney declined to prosecute the police for the killing, although the city did reach a financial settlement with his family back in Guatemala.

Still, this isn’t really an article about Amílcar, but about why he -- like so many hundreds of thousands of Guatemalans, Hondurans, and El Salvadorans in similar situations -- was in the United States in the first place. It’s about what drove 225,570 of them to be apprehended by the U.S. Border Patrol in 2018 and 132,887 of them to be picked up at or near the border in a single month -- May -- of this year. As Dara Lind observed at Vox, “This isn’t a manufactured crisis, or a politically engineered one, as some Democrats and progressives have argued.”

It is indeed a real crisis, not something the Trump administration simply cooked up to justify building the president's wall. But it is also absolutely a manufactured crisis, one that should be stamped with the label “made in the U.S.A.” thanks to decades of Washington’s interventions in Central American affairs. Its origins go back at least to 1954 when the CIA overthrew the elected Guatemalan government of Jacobo Arbenz. In the 1960s, dictatorships would flourish in that country (and elsewhere in the region) with U.S. economic and military backing.

When, in the 1970s and 1980s, Central Americans began to rise up in response, Washington’s support for right-wing military regimes and death squads, in Honduras and El Salvador in particular, drove thousands of the inhabitants of those countries to migrate here, where their children were recruited into the very U.S. gangs now devastating their countries. In Guatemala, the U.S. supported successive regimes in genocidal wars on its indigenous Mayan majority. To top it off, climate change, which the United States has done the most of any nation to cause (and perhaps the least to forestall or mitigate), has made subsistence agriculture increasingly difficult to sustain in many parts of Central America.

U.S. Actions Have Central American Consequences

Scholars who study migration speak of two key explanations for why human beings leave their homes and migrate: “pull” and “push” factors. Pull factors would include the attractions of a new place, like economic and educational opportunities, religious and political liberties, and the presence there of family, friends, or community members from back home. Push factors driving people from their homes would include war; the drug trade; political, communal, or sexual violence; famine and drought; environmental degradation and climate change; and ordinary, soul-eating poverty.

International law mandates that some, but not all, push factors can confer “refugee” status on migrants, entitling them to seek asylum in other countries. This area of humanitarian law dates from the end of World War II, a time when millions of Europeans were displaced, forcing the world to adjust to huge flows of humanity. The 1951 Geneva Convention defines a refugee as anyone who has

“a well-founded fear of being persecuted for reasons of race, religion, nationality, membership of a particular social group or political opinion, is outside the country of his nationality and is unable or, owing to such fear, is unwilling to avail himself of the protection of that country...”

Almost three-quarters of a century later, that legal definition still theoretically underlies U.S. policy toward refugees, but this country has always welcomed some refugees and not others. In the 1980s, for instance, Salvadorans fleeing U.S.-supported death squads had almost no hope of getting asylum here. On the other hand, people leaving the communist island of Cuba had only to put a foot on U.S. territory to receive almost automatic asylum.

Because of its origins in post-war Europe, asylum law has a blind spot when it comes to a number of forces now pushing people to leave their homes. It’s unfortunate that international law makes a distinction, for instance, between people who become refugees because of physical violence and those who do so because of economic violence. A well-founded fear of being shot, beaten, or raped may get you asylum. Actual starvation won’t.

Today, a number of push factors are driving Central Americans from their homes, especially (once again) in Guatemala, Honduras, and El Salvador. Key among them are political corruption and repression, the power of the drug cartels, and climate change -- all factors that, in significant ways, can be traced back to actions of the United States.

According to World Bank figures, in 2016 (the latest year available), El Salvador had the highest murder rate in the world, 83 homicides per 100,000 inhabitants. Honduras took second place with 57 per 100,000, while tenth place went to Guatemala, with 27. Mexico wasn’t far behind with 19. (By comparison, with 5.3 per 100,000, the United States was far down the lis

By any measure, the three Central American nations of what’s sometimes called “the Northern Triangle” are dangerous places to live. Here’s why.

Political repression and violent corruption: Honduras, for example, has long been one of Central America’s poorest and economically most unequal countries. In the 1980s, the United States supported a military-run government there that routinely “disappeared” and tortured its opponents, while the CIA used the country as a training ground for the Contras it backed,who were then fighting the Sandinistas across the border in Nicaragua (who had recently deposed their own U.S.-backed dictator).

By the turn of this century, however, things were changing in Honduras. In 2006, José Manuel Zelaya became president. Although he’d run on a conservative platform, he promptly launched a program of economic and political reforms. These included free public education, an increased minimum wage, low-interest loans for small farmers, the inclusion of domestic workers in the social security system, and a number of important environmental regulations

In 2009, however, a military coup deposed Zelaya, installing Porfirio Lobo in his place. Four of the six officers who staged the coup were graduates of the U.S.’s notorious School of the Americas, where for decades Latin American military officers and police were trained in the ways of repression and torture.

Washington may not have initiated the coup, but within days Secretary of State Hillary Clinton had given it her seal of approval, supporting that power grab in defiance of the Organization of American States. Since then, murder rates have skyrocketed, while corruption and drug trafficking have flourished as the drug cartels and local governing bodies as well as the national government melded into a single countrywide nightmare. In a recent New York Times report, for instance, Sonia Nazario detailed what this has meant just for public transportation where anyone who operates a taxi or a bus must pay a daily tax (double on special days like Christmas) amounting to 30% to 40% of the driver's income. But this isn’t a government tax. It goes to MS-13, the 18th Street gang (both of which arose in the United States), or sometimes both. The alternative, as Nazario reports, is death:

“Since 2010, more than 1,500 Hondurans working in transportation have been murdered -- shot, strangled, cuffed to the steering wheel and burned alive while their buses are torched. If anyone on a bus route stops paying, gangs kill a driver -- any driver -- to send a message.”

The police, despite having all the facts, do next to no­thing. Violence and corruption have only become more intense under Honduras’s current president, Juan Orlando Hernández, who returned to office in what was probably a stolen election in 2017. Although the Organization of American States called for a redo, the Trump administration hastily recognizedHernández and life in Honduras continued on its murderous course.

The drug business: Along with coups and Coca-Cola, Mara Salvatrucha, or MS-13, is another U.S. import to Central America. Although Donald Trump likes to cast most refugees as dark and dangerous gang members from south of the border, MS-13 had its roots in Los Angeles, California, among Salvadorans who had fled the U.S.-backed dictatorships of the 1970s and 1980s. When young people who grew up in Los Angeles returned to El Salvador at the end of that country’s civil war, MS-13 went with them. What had begun as a neighborhood street gang created to protect Salvadoran youth from other gangs in that city has now grown into a vast criminal enterprise of its own -- as has the 18th Street gang, or Calle 18, which also came out of Los Angeles, following a similar path.

Without a major market for their product, drug cartels would have vastly less power. And we all know where that market lies: right here in the United States. Fifty years of this country’s “war on drugs” turn out to have providedthe perfect breeding ground for violent outlaw drug cartels, while filling our own jails and prisons with more inmates than any other country holds. Yet it has done next to nothing to stanch addiction in this country. These days, if they remain in their own lands, many young people in the Northern Triangle face a stark choice between joining a gang and death. Not surprisingly, some of them opt to risk the trip to the U.S. instead. Many could have stayed home if it weren’t for the drug market in this country.

Climate Change and Environmental Degradation: Even if there were no corrupt regimes, no government repression, and no drug wars, people would still be fleeing Central America because climate change has made their way of life impossible. As what the New York Times calls the biggest carbon polluter in history, the United States bears much of the responsibility for crop failures there. The Northern Triangle has long been subject to periods of drought and flooding as part of a natural alternation of the El Niño and La Niña phenomena in the Pacific Ocean. But climate change has prolonged and deepened those periods of drought, forcing many peasants to abandon their subsistence farms. Some in Guatemala are now facing not just economic hardship but actual starvation thanks to a heating planet.

All along a drought corridor that runs from Nicaragua through Guatemala, the problem is a simple lack of water. The Guardian’s Nina Lakhani reports that, in El Salvador, many people now spend their days in search of enough water to keep their families alive. Even where (unsafe) river water is available, the price -- in money or sex -- extracted by the gangs for using it is often too high for most women to pay, so they are forced to rely on distant municipal taps (if they even exist). While El Salvadorans live with strict water rationing, the U.S.-based multinational Coca Cola remains immune to such rules. That company continues to take all the water it needs to produce and sell its fizzy concoction locally, while pouring foul-smelling effluvia into nearby rivers.

In Honduras, on the other hand, the problem is often too much water, as rising sea levels eat away at both its Atlantic and Pacific coasts, devouring poor people’s homes and small businesses in the process. Here, too, a human-fueled problem is exacerbated by greed in the form of shrimp farming, which decimates coastal mangrove trees that normally help to keep those lands from eroding. Shrimp, the most popular seafood in the United States, comes mostlyfrom Southeast Asia and -- you guessed it -- Central America. Whether it’s shrimp or drugs, the point is that U.S. desires continue to drive devastation in Central America.

As the Trump administration does everything it can to accelerate and deepen the climate crisis, Central Americans are literally dying from it. Under international law, however, if they head for the U.S. in an attempt to save their lives and livelihoods, they don’t qualify as refugees because they are fleeing not physical but economic violence and so are not eligible for asylum.

No Asylum for You

These days, even immigrants with a well-founded fear of persecution who perfectly fit the Geneva Convention’s definition of “refugee” may no longer get asylum here. The Trump administration doesn’t even want to offer them a chance to apply for it. The president has, of course, called such groups of migrants, traveling together for safety and solidarity, an “invasion” of “very bad people.” And his administration continues to take a variety of concrete steps to prevent non-white refugees of just about any sort from reaching U.S. territory to make such a claim.

His early efforts to deter asylum seekers involved the infamous family-separation policy, in which children who arrived at the border were taken from their parents in an effort to create the sort of publicity that would keep others from coming. An international outcry -- and a federal court order -- brought an official end to that policy in June 2018. At the time, the government was ordered to return such children to their parents.

As it happened, the Department of Homeland Security proved largely incapable of doing so, because quite often it hadn’t kept decent records of the parents’ names or locations. In response to an ACLU lawsuit listing 2,700 individual children living without their families in this country, the administration acknowledged that, in addition to named children, thousands more fell into that category, lost in what can only laughingly be called “the system.”

You might think that, if the goal were to keep people from leaving their homes in the first place, the Trump administration would do what it could to improve life in the Northern Triangle. If so, however, you would be wrong. Far from increasing humanitarian aid to El Salvador, Honduras, and Guatemala, the administration promptly slashed those funds, ensuring yet more misery and undoubtedly forcing yet more to flee Central America.

Its most recent ploy: to require refugees to apply for asylum in the first country they come to after leaving their own. Because Guatemala lies between Mexico and the rest of the Northern Triangle, that means Salvadorans and Hondurans will officially have to apply there first. President Trump even used the threat of new tariffs against Guatemalan goods to negotiate such an agreement with that country’s outgoing president Jimmy Morales to secretly designate his nation a “safe third country” where migrants could apply for asylum.

There is something more than a little ironic in this, given that the Guatemalan government can’t even offer its own people anything like safety. Significant numbers of them have, of course, been fleeing to Mexico and heading for the U.S. border. Trump’s solution to that problem has been to use the threat of tariffs to force Mexico to militarize its own border with Guatemala, in the process frustrating the new administration of president Andres Manuel López Obrador.

On August 1st, a federal judge in San Francisco issued an injunction against that “safe third country” policy, prohibiting its use for the time being. For now (at least theoretically), migrants from the Northern Triangle should still be able to apply for asylum in the U.S. The administration will certainly fight the injunction in the courts, while doing everything in its power to stop those immigrants in any way it can.

Meanwhile, it has come up with yet another way to prevent people from claiming asylum. Historically, family members of those persecuted in their own countries have been eligible to apply, too. At the end of July, Attorney General William Barr announced that “immigrants fearing persecution because of threats against their family members are no longer eligible for asylum.” This is particularly cruel because, to extort cooperation from their targets, drug gangs routinely make -- and carry out -- threats of rape and murder against family members.

A Real Crisis

There is indeed a real crisis at the U.S.-Mexico border. Hundreds of thousands of people like Amílcar are arriving there seeking refuge from dangers that were, to a significant degree, created by and are now being intensified by the United States. But Donald Trump would rather demonize desperate people than deploy the resources needed to attend to their claims in a timely way -- or in any way at all.

It's time to recognize that the American way of life -- our cars and comforts, our shrimp and coffee, our ignorance about our government’s actions in our regional “backyard” -- has created this crisis. It should be (but in the age of Trump won’t be) our responsibility to solve it.


Rebecca Gordon, a TomDispatch regular, teaches at the University of San Francisco. She is the author of American Nuremberg: The U.S. Officials Who Should Stand Trial for Post-9/11 War Crimes. Her previous books include Mainstreaming Torture: Ethical Approaches in the Post-9/11 United States and Letters from Nicaragua.

Tuesday, August 6, 2019

Bitter Angels


© by Mark Dempsey

In the year 2000 the World Health Organization (WHO) ranked countries’ health care system outcomes according to things like life expectancy, infant mortality rates, vaccination rates, patient satisfaction, and so on. The U.S. ranked 37th, between Slovenia and Costa Rica. The Sacramento Bee said it was as though the U.S. had the healthcare of Costa Rica and paid six times more for the privilege. A member of my team (team “blue,” the liberals) heard me say this, and responded, “That’s your opinion!”

Astonishing! I thought: Does she think I’m the WHO? The Sacramento Bee? My opinion?!!! What can she mean?

However the astonishment prizewinner came from team “red” (conservatives). A Republican activist went on at length about how Republicans haven’t always lived up to their ideal of “Fiscal Responsibility™,” and how he wanted them to do that. I thought: How can you say that with a straight face? “Responsibility” means balancing a budget to you, and Republicans haven’t balanced a budget since Herbert Hoover! ...which worked out ever-so-well.

A more accurate portrait of recent Republican fiscal policy is Ronald Reagan’s. The Reagan administration cut the top marginal tax rates in half, and between Reagan and Bush 41, they increased payroll taxes eightfold...so a 50% tax cut for the rich, and an 800% tax increase for the poor. The resulting budget deficit was greater than the sum of all previous ones, and for Reagan’s trouble, the country got an average business cycle recovery..
Reagan’s recovery is the peak in 1984. The big growth on the left occurred during that government-funded public works projects we know as the New Deal, and “World War II” Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis (bea.gov)

Rather than balancing the budget, Republicans got the government to subsidize their patrons, the creditors. Far from “responsibility,” Republican operative, Wall Street Journal writer and Supply Side economics promoter Jude Wanniski suggested this “Two Santa Clauses” tactic: Run up as big a budget deficit as possible when in power, then complain as bitterly as possible about the deficit when out of power. Republican Dick Cheney famously said “Reagan proved deficits don’t matter.”

The propaganda-fest where these issues came up was part of a Better Angels organization workshop. Better Angels promote polite civic engagement. Says The Atlantic: “Rather than seeking a centrist compromise, Better Angels is treating division as a given—and trying to foster conversations across [that division].”

What really motivates Better Angels? County Supervisor, Sue Frost (and her husband, Republican activist, Jack Frost) sponsored the organization’s local workshop I attended. The organization itself originated with the Institute for American Values (IAV), supported by Christian conservative billionaire Phillip Anschutz. IAV also reportedly influenced the Clinton administration’s family policy.

In 2010, IAV founder, David Blankenhorn defended California’s Proposition 8, banning same-sex marriage. Two years later, he publicly changed his mind, losing friends on both sides of the debate, and got acquainted first hand with the bitter partisanship that besets American politics now. After that, he formed the Better Angels organization to promote civility.

Tab Berg, one of the staffers at the local workshop assured me that Better Angels solicits equal funding from both right and left-leaning foundations, although their website is silent about financial supporters. Berg himself is a right-leaning political consultant who has advised conservative Sacramento County Supervisor Sue Frost, among others. Even if Berg is truthful, the definition of right and left remains vague here, so skepticism about Better Angels' political neutrality remains warranted.

The structure of the Better Angels workshop is straightforward: Members of “team red” and “team blue,” invited in equal numbers, hold a moderated discussion about why their policies might work better, how they have stereotyped each other, and how they could better understand each others’ points of view.

As far as it went the workshop was a nice reminder that blue and red are really not separated by much, or, as Ralph Nader said, "There's not a dime's worth of difference” between the two major parties. Political opponents are human, and they may have a slightly different take on things, but, at least in theory and in proportion, the differences can actually inform rather than sabotage public policy decisions. Diversity can be an asset, as both sides agreed.

One surprising area of agreement was that government should be “Fiscally Responsible™” --that is, balance the budget and reduce government debt. But national ‘debt’ is like bank debt, not household debt. Just as your savings account is your asset, and the bank’s debt, so the dollar financial assets out in circulation are both the population’s savings, and the central bank’s debt. Reducing the national ‘debt’ impairs the population’s savings and injects fragility into the economy. It is a recipe for Great Depressions, too. Seven instances significant ‘debt’ reductions have occurred since 1776, 100% are followed shortly by Great Depression-sized holes in the economy. So balanced budgets are not a good idea, but between denial and confusion about accounting, no one in the workshop was convinced when told this.

In fact, I’d say that was one of the great flaws in Better Angels’ workshop. Most politically-interested people already have made up their minds. It’s nice to spread a little comity and courtesy, but no one in the workshop came close to admitting new information into their thinking, and the moderation meant fully exploring the context of arguments was impossible.

In my experience, the “tolerant” team (blue) was the most wedded to their preconceptions. Perhaps the most intransigent of the blue team was a professional lobbyist for Citizens’ Climate Lobby who, when he learned I like Bernie Sanders, let me know that Democrats needed to nominate someone with broad appeal--i.e. not Bernie.

Never mind that several polls show Bernie would have kicked Trump’s ass in 2016...gosh, I wonder who could have “broad appeal”…?



The entire workshop produced no confrontation of the political class's lies, and no conversation about any game-changing policies. To be fair, statements like the one about how Republicans are Fiscally Responsible™ are not really made in the service accuracy. They're more like a pledge of allegiance to the creditor class, who profit whenever Federal spending lags.

My personal take is that the political right (even the billionaire “left”) sponsoring these workshops has figured out they have moved the respectable public policy options as far right as they can for now, and the incivility provoked by those policies could be dangerous, even for the plutocrats, so they are looking to calm the waters. Even Taylor Swift has joined the effort (You Need To Calm Down! is her latest).

But the despair, anger and fear abroad in the land is an indication things really need to change. These are the societal analogy to the pain your body feels. Someone who cannot feel pain is in danger of burning or injuring themselves, so maybe the incivility in public discourse could have a useful outcome. As we sat in the workshop’s meeting room, someone killed three and wounded more than a dozen at the Gilroy Garlic Festival, for just one of many examples.

How far right has political respectability (the “Overton Window”) moved? The Obama administration’s policies were to the right of Richard Nixon’s, and Obama was condemned as a Kenyan Socialist...moving the Overton Window even further rightward.

So..could this Better Angels workshop be an attempt to consolidate the gains of the political right, enshrining the creditor class in a less dangerous environment? It looks that way to me. Right-wing billionaires have spent their lobbying millions discrediting government and any collective action, fostering an atmosphere of incivility and distrust. Now they want to spend a few dollars to repair the damage they continue to do. Is it too little, too late? Hard to say. It’s at least self-contradictory.

As a measure of team red’s effectiveness, even team blue was at the mercy of the right’s narrative. One non-participant observer told me he thought Bernie Sanders was a demagogue, demonizing Wall Street with his campaign. “The economy needs Wall Street! My 401K needs Wall Street!” he said.

I said I understood his fear, and thanked him for the frank conversation, reminding him as gently as I could that Clinton’s deregulation of Wall Street and Obama’s supine lack of prosecutions of its frauds cost his 401K significant money in 2007-8, perhaps more than a potential strike by capital that might occur if someone like Bernie runs public policy. He was unconvinced, … I was sincere in my appreciation, though, and perhaps that was one of the benefits of the workshop, dialing down the argumentative streak that often enough gets me in hot water.

So... Better Angels workshops’ stated goal is to reduce bitter, uncivil partisanship. Will civility cure what ails us? Or will it anaesthetize the legitimate pain of a country where 40% of the population has to sell something or borrow money to deal with a $400 emergency? Is calling Better Angels a way to suppress dangerous dissent simply too cynical? Would I recommend attending such a workshop? Your call.

Monday, August 5, 2019

Everything You Wanted to Know about Modern Money Theory - Bloomberg interviews Randall Wray



One observation worth repeating: Government mobilized 50% of the economy to deal with World War II. By Modern Money Theorists' calculation, only 5% of the economy would be needed for the Green New Deal.

Friday, August 2, 2019

A Broken Media Is A Broken Society


by Ian Welsh

It is not possible to make good decisions without good information.

In a well functioning society the media would be part of that system: providing true, useful information to the public.

That isn’t the media we have. Strictly speaking, it never has been, though some periods were better than others.

Let’s run thru a few of the issues:

Man Bites Dog; If It Bleeds It Leads

The more we see something, the more of it we think exists. But the routine and normal doesn’t make sensational news.

The truth is that violent crime is at multi-generational lows, but most people don’t think that.

The truth is that the person who will hurt or molest your child is almost certainly not a stranger, but a family member, friend or other trusted adult.

The truth is that terrorism is not a significant threat to Americans. You’re more likely to get hurt when you slip in your tub.

The greatest threat to your well-being in almost all advanced industrial societies with very rare exceptions is your own politicians and business leaders. They are the people who kill you and hurt you, and that’s simply the case. Even in times of war this is true, because leaders usually caused the war.

The media does not reflect these facts and other similar ones. As such, it gives people an inaccurate picture of the world, which they then act on and get disastrous results.

Fake News

There’s a lot of hysteria about fake news lately, but it’s about fake news from non-approved people.

It’s not that the media doesn’t lie its ass off, it’s that “OMG, other people are able to get their lies believed.” 72% of Americans didn’t think Saddam was behind 9/11 because the media didn’t lie. And who was one of the worst offenders? The New York Times, the apex of the establishment press.

So, yeah, when the media lies, or passes on what they know or suspect are lies, people get hurt, and badly.

Class Interests

Journalists at elite institutions used to be mostly working class. Now they are mostly university graduates, with a high concentration of Ivy League grads. The more senior you are, the more likely you went to an elite college.

You lunch with politicians and business leaders. You went to school with them. They are your friends. They are your people. You understand them.

Speaking from experience, it’s hard to write something mean about someone who’s really nice to you. People who want good press can be amazingly nice. Heck, there’s an entire industry of public relations people whose job it is to make people in the media like them. Some of them are very very good at their jobs.

It’s harder when you come from the same group; have the same experiences and beliefs.

This is part (but only part) of why Labour Leader Jeremy Corbyn gets lied about over three-quarters of the time in the press, per academic studies. The people reporting on him, and especially the editors and producers, genuinely despise his politics and think they are wrong, even evil. They want him destroyed. To them he’s practically Stalin or Hitler and anything they do is justified in the name of defeating him.

A shared world view is a powerful thing. You don’t have to censor people who genuinely believe the same thing as their leaders.

He Has The Gold Makes The Rules/Freedom of the Press Belongs To Those Who Own One

If someone hires you to do something, they expect to get more from you doing it than they pay you. This is fundamental: you have a job because you benefit the person who controls the money. That is ALL.

Media conglomerates (and remember, they are very very concentrated) are run by people who expect a return for their money. That doesn’t always mean direct cash. Robert Murdoch loves owning newspapers because newspapers control the news cycle: what newspapers write in the morning is what TV news discusses in the evening.

What is controlling the media cycle worth? Who cares if the newspaper doesn’t make much directly, anyone with other interests knows it’s just a loss leader.

Murdoch also used his newspapers as intelligence operations. He would have phone calls with beat reporters which went on for hours, learning everything they knew about their beats.

The ability to control, or at least strongly influence the public and to decide who gets publicity and who doesn’t is valuable even when it doesn’t make a lot of money. Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos didn’t buy the Washington Post out of public spiritedness.

So even when the journalists and editors and columnists resist what the publisher wants, the publisher gets their way. It’s just that simple. Those pundits and journalists who wrote against the Iraq war in the run-up to war lost their jobs or had their careers stall out. Phil Donohue had his show shut down, and his show had excellent ratings. It wasn’t about how much money Phil was making them directly: they wanted war, and he was in the way.

You don’t get to use the platform to attack the perceived interests of the people who control the platform.

This should be dead obvious.

The people who control the media have interests. They use media to promote those interests. They are all part of one big club, and while there is elite infighting, they are agreed on most fundamentals. To them, a Corbyn or Sanders is a far greater threat than a Trump or Boris Johnson. Heck, Trump gave them a huge tax cut. Johnson will gut worker’s rights.

They’re basically OK with both, they just find them distasteful people.

The Media Is Part of the Enemy

Perhaps that sounds harsh, but what can be said about an industry which helped insure the Iraq war happened? An industry which covered for banker bailouts?

Yeah, they’re gushing money because the internet destroyed the business model. Yeah, that may lead to an even worse future (sure as hell Facebook and Google are pure evil), but they were never the good guys.

They were least bad, and did some good when they were broken up into many pieces, when the American elite was much larger and less concentrated and had more internal differences, and when journalism was a working class job and most editors and reporters hated the people they reported on, rather than thinking they were part of the club.

Something similar could be done today. It would require legislation and some technological fixes, but it could be done. We could also impose rules that require context to deal with the problem of sensationalism, which would be an issue even with the best will in the world.

But none of this will happen unless it is forced, and it will only be forced if current elites are broken of their power.

Nothing lasts forever. Every elite falls. There will be chances.