Thursday, April 30, 2020

Thinking Globally, Acting Locally

Here's a problem that originated with the climate catastrophe bearing down on us:




(Note: this shows all the fires, but they didn't all burn simultaneously)

Here's how it looks from the ground:





....Not exactly something a garden hose could handle.

I'd also add these fires were the result of a long drought in Australia, like the one in California now, and there's no reason to believe California can't experience something like this. The citizens of Paradise (ironic name, no?) would testify that is true.

Why drought? Climate catastrophe, and the CO2 that causes it is an obvious culprit.

So what do we do? The Green New Deal is a start. The money is not in short supply, either. To prosecute  World War II, the government took over 50% of the U.S. economy. Economists calculate the Green New deal would only take about 5% of the current economy.

Meanwhile (from Huffingtonpost): "Disasters have reached a scale and frequency never before seen in U.S. history. The number of state and local disaster declarations has roughly tripled since the late 1990s. Between 1980 and 2018, disasters costing more than $1 billion have risen from six per year to 13 per year. Most of these are natural disasters like storms, floods, fires. 

"....preparing for hurricanes, earthquakes and pandemics is one of the best investments cities can make. According to a 2017 study, every dollar spent preparing for catastrophe saves roughly $6 in relief. Up to 80% of the damage caused by Hurricane Katrina, for example, could have been prevented with stricter building codes.

"But America still spends orders of magnitude more on post-disaster relief than pre-disaster preparedness. Between 2011 and 2014, the federal government spent $3.2 billion fixing damage from disasters and just $222 million preparing for them. In 2016, FEMA had just $100 million set aside for major disasters — less than one-tenth the cost of just the first month of Hurricane Sandy relief."

I'll add that part of this inadequacy is the consequence of the attack on government and "collectivism" (the Koch's word). It's taken as an article of faith that collective action is bound to be inept and feckless. So...the governments of Vietnam, Germany and South Korea can respond to systemic problems like climate and COVID-19, but U.S. public infrastructure is too busy dealing with the deep sabotage that has been going on for generations now to deal with such problems effectively.

From the NY Times:

"The good news is that the pandemic shows “science works.” The bad news? Global warming may be far more dangerous than a pandemic.

"The virus, Dr. de Menocal said, has shown us how vulnerable we are as a society....'The laws of nature don’t care whether we believe in them or not,' he said. 'The tragedy and inconvenience we’ve seen from this pandemic pale in comparison to what’s in store from climate change. There is a much bigger crisis knocking on our door and we have to remember the big lesson from this pandemic: Science saves lives.'”

Local Solutions

(From Arstechnica): "The average American household footprint is a little below 50 tons of CO2 per year (actually "tons of CO2-equivalent" to include other greenhouse gases), but that number can drop to around 30 in city centers—closer to the average of a country like Germany. American cities are surrounded by sprawling suburbs, though, which swing very much in the opposite direction, going as high as 80 tons."

As the big carbon footprints of sprawl indicate, the solutions to such problems are not just national. There are local solutions available to us--primarily designing our cities so they don't require us to emit lots of CO2. This solution actually has market acceptance too. People prefer to live in pedestrian-friendly, mixed use (offices and commerce with residences), and pay premiums to do that. The most valuable real estate in the Sacramento region is such an area: McKinley Park

Such neighborhoods not only provide destinations other than neighbors' homes within a walk, they have streets designed to support pedestrians. That means set-back sidewalks, shorter street lamp poles (10' - 14' rather than 20+'), vertical curbs and a smaller curb radius at the corner. 

Unsurprisingly, this pedestrian-friendly configuration reduces vehicle miles traveled and CO2 emitted by roughly half compared to sprawl. It also makes viable, un-subsidized transit possible since potential patrons can walk to the stops.

Sprawl, on the other hand, forecloses the possibility of viable transit by making it nearly impossible to take a dignified walk to a transit stop. Sprawl is what most outlying, edge city development looks like. It's not mixed use, it's single use, and the only connections between the residences, offices, commerce, etc. is a trip in an automobile. This is true enough that almost every driving age adult must purchase and maintain a car--something that is, incidentally, the most regressive "tax" we have. 

Driving everywhere is not healthy, either. Our society is suffering an epidemic of the diseases of chronic inactivity--obesity, diabetes, heart attack and stroke, never mind the bad mental health (AKA "road rage") induced by losing contact with nature and fresh air. 

Heck, a kid in suburbia has to be driven to every activity--music or dance lessons, athletic activity, etc. And mom has to do most of the driving. That's right, sprawl is sexist. And the kids are unable to walk to the store to get a loaf of bread, so their training in social responsibility is limited to trips to the mall, where the very walls shout "Buy me!" Gee, I wonder why they're such materialists...

Meanwhile, Sacramento is land speculators' paradise. The speculators can buy outlying ag land for a few thousand dollars an acre, persuade (or suborn) local government to approve development, then sell that same land to builders for 50 to 100 times what they paid for it. With financial incentives like that, outlying development that lengthens commutes, and makes infrastructure more expensive to maintain is inevitable.

I'm not alone in this observation. The late Sacramento County Supervisor, Grantland Johnson, said it was widely acknowledged throughout the state that the region's governments were the most in the hip pocket of the developers.

The planning process itself is equally bad. To paraphrase planning authority Jane Jacobs (author of The Life and Death of the Great American City), modern planning is no help. It's positively neurotic in embracing what doesn't work and ignoring what does. It's a form of advanced superstition, like 19th century medicine that believed bleeding patients would cure them.

So, to think locally about this problem, one has to elect local officials not in the hip pocket of the developers, like Greg Fishman (a candidate for Sacramento County Supervisor), and stop buying the "bread and circuses" arguments that we need more professional sports and more outlying develpment in floodplain surrounded by weak levees (North Natomas).

Just FYI, the region has 20 years' worth of unbuilt infill. Building more "edge cities" is just a favor to the tiny plutocracy of land speculators, nothing else.

Here's James Howard Kunstler elaborating on that last statement:

 

Given Biden's problems, why draft not Cuomo?


...that's why not.

What Really Changes the Direction of History?

In teaching a class about Modern Money Theory for CSUS's Renaissance society, a student asked "What makes history change direction?"

At the time, this floored me. It's a really good question--one of the best. But I had no answer handy, so I said "I don't know."

After reflecting about this, I'm reminded of a tale about how to really change things.* Imagine humanity as passengers on a train that we all understand it's headed to a less-than-optimum destination. Some people will lobby for everyone to move to the right side of the train. Others will encourage the passengers to move to the left side of the train. What's really needed, of course, is for people to get out of the train and start laying a little new track.

The idea of leaving the comfort of the passenger car, and laying track is at least uncomfortable. Historical change, not just rearranging the passengers' seating, requires discomfort.

Meanwhile, here is Michael Hudson's evaluation of the kind of track that needs to be laid. Here's an excerpt:

The Chicago School says any government spending is the road to the gas chambers. I’ve heard that said literally. They say that with government spending, you’re going to end up like Germany in the Weimar area with hyperinflation or like Zimbabwe. They think that running a government deficit actually increases consumer prices and that erodes the purchasing power of financial wealth. Well, Modern Monetary Theory [MMT] says, first of all, that there’s a disconnect between financial asset prices and where the real economy is going. Asset prices, capital gains and the wealth of the 1% are going up but real wages and disposable income has been going down. We’ve seen real estate, stocks and bond prices going up and up since the Obama bailout of 2009, but the economy has not benefited the 95 percent.

There’s a sort of crude MMT solution, to simply run a budget deficit. And one extreme, there are some MMTers – not me and not my colleagues, but some MMTers – who say that all you have to do is run a budget deficit and you’ll pump money into the economy. The tacit assumption is that this money is going to be spent in a Keynesian-style way, on hiring labor, especially if the government will build infrastructure. The government would buy goods and services, whose production involves paying labor and you’ll reflate the economy, you’ll increase the circular flow of income within the production and consumption sector.

On the other hand, Wall Street and England have discovered bad MMT. It’s Donald Trump’s or the Democratic Party’s Obama-style MMT version known as Quantitative Easing. This approach says that deficits are indeed wonderful, as long as the government is running a deficit to spend on Wall Street, not into the “real” economy.

The leading MMT advocates of government spending, like Stephanie Kelton, Randy Wray and a whole group of MMTers who are critics of Wall Street, emphasize just what kindof government deficit spending we’re talking about. What actually is spent on public investment, employment and income support. It has to be spent on labor and tangible capital. The fake MMTers are saying government deficits are great if given to the banks. Banks will provide the credit and save the rest of the economy. But that’s the opposite of what we’re saying. So just like every good religion early on, every good idea from Jesus to Marxism can be turned upside down and into the opposite. You’re seeing an attempt today to turn the MMT that we all developed in the last three decades into a travesty of bailouts for Wall Street. It is as if bailing out Wall Street, Barack-Obama or Joe-Biden style, is going to bail out the economy by enabling it to run deeper into debt.


*Thanks to Werner Erhardt for the story

Sunday, April 26, 2020

The vindication of Modern Money Theory: The FED just "prints" money...

US Coronavirus “Bailout” Is a $6 Trillion Scam – Max Blumenthal and Ben Norton With Michael Hudson

Moderate Rebels podcast of April 21, via Naked Capitalism 4-24-20
...

Just think of when, in the debates with Bernie Sanders during the spring, Biden and Klobuchar kept saying, ‘What we’re paying for Medicare-for-All will be $1 trillion over 10 years.’ Well, here the Fed can create $1.5 trillion in one week just to buy stocks.

Why is it okay for the Fed to create $1.5 trillion to buy stocks to prevent rich people from losing on their stocks, when it’s not okay to print only $1 trillion to pay for free Medicare for the entire population? This is crazy!

The idea is that only the rich should be allowed to print money for themselves, but the government should not be allowed to print money for any public purpose, any social purpose — not for medicine, not for schools, not for personal budgets, not for full employment — but only to give to the 1 percent. People hesitate to think that. They think, ‘It can’t possibly be this bad.’ ….

Banks and corporations, airlines, have a whole wish list that they had their lawyers and lobbyists prepare for just such an opportunity. And when the opportunity comes up — whether it’s 9/11 with the Patriot Act, or whether it’s today’s coronavirus — they just pasted the word coronavirus onto an act, which should be called a giveaway to the big banking sector.

Let’s talk about who’s not bailed out. Who’s not bailed out are the small business owners, the restaurants, the companies that you walk down the street in New York or other cities, and they’re all shuttered with closed signs. Their rent is accumulating, month after month.

Restaurants, gyms and stores are small-markup businesses, small-margin businesses, where, once you have no sales for maybe three months and rent accruing for three months, they’re not going to have enough money to earn the profits to pay the rents that have mounted up for the last three months.

The other people that are not being bailed out are the workers — especially the people they call the prime necessary workers, which is their euphemism for minimum-wage workers without any job security. There have been huge layoffs of minimum-wage labor, manual labor, all sorts of labor.

They’re not getting income, but their rents are accruing. And their utility bills are accruing. Their student loans are accruing. And their credit card debts are mounting up at interest and penalty rates, which are even larger than the interest rates. So all of these debts are accruing.

The real explosion is going to come in three months, when all of a sudden, this money falls due. The governor of New York has said, “Well we have a moratorium on actually evicting people for three months.” So there are restaurants and other people, individuals, wage-earners, who are going to be able to live in their apartments and not be evicted. But at the end of three months, that’s when the eviction notices are going to come. And people are going to decide, is it worth it?

What's up with Denmark? Fox News vs. Reality

 

This one has more specifics:



Saturday, April 25, 2020

How the Anti Populists Stopped Bernie Sanders - Thomas Frank

Excerpt:

"This struggle has a fundamental, almost biblical flavor. It is a battle of order against chaos, education against ignorance, mind against appetite, enlightenment against bigotry, culture against barbarism. From TED talk to red carpet, the call rings forth: Democracy must be controlled . . . before it ruins our democratic way of life.

The aim is not merely to resist President Donald Trump, the nation’s thinkers say. Nor is the conflict of our times some grand showdown of left and right. No, today’s political face-off pits the center against the periphery, the competent insider against the disgruntled sorehead. In this conflict, the side of moral right is supposed to be obvious. Ordinary people are agitated—everyone knows this—but our concern must lie with the well-being of the elites whom the people threaten to topple.

This is the core assumption of what I call the Democracy Scare: if the people have lost faith in the ones in charge, it can only be because something has gone wrong with the people themselves. As Jonathan Rauch, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution and a contributing writer at The Atlantic, put it in the summer of 2016: 'Our most pressing political problem today is that the country abandoned the establishment, not the other way around.'"

The rest, in Harpers, here.

Thursday, April 23, 2020

Gosh! I wonder what happened to the public realm?


From Jeffrey Sachs (in the New Yorker):

Nobody here has viewed government as actually very functional for a long time, and not because it couldn’t be. It has been increasingly designed to fail. Specifically, it’s been designed to respond to powerful lobbies that want deregulation or tax cuts or some special privileges rather than to function in a normal way.

Tuesday, April 21, 2020

Just because it's funny

Monday, April 20, 2020

Open letter to the Sacramento County Supervisors about funding new jail facilities

Dear Supervisors,

I've just read that you considering spending $7 million to design a new County jail. This is proposed despiting declining arrest and conviction rates, and despite a reported 60% of those incarcerated in the County's jail being there not because they have been convicted, but because they can't afford bail.

In other words, it's illegal to be poor in Sacramento County.

Civil rights attorney Alec Karakatsanis reports (in his Usual Cruelty book): "There are 2.2 million human beings confined in prison and jail cells in the United States tonight. About 500,000 of those ... are presumptively innocent people awaiting trial [note: far fewer than in Sacramento], the vast majority of whom are confined by the government solely because they cannot pay enough money to buy their release. This country has five percent of the world's population, but twenty-five percent of the world's prisoners--the highest rate of human caging of any society in the recorded history of the modern world. At least another 4.5 million people are under government control through probation and parole 'supervision.'

"Between eighty and ninety percent of the people charged with crimes are so poor that they cannot afford a lawyer. Twenty-five years into America's incarceration boom, black people were incarcerated at a rate six times that of South Africa during apartheid."

I have friends who are police officers, and I object to this incarceration binge making their job more dangerous, transforming them from peace officers into an army of occupation.  

Could we have a non-cash diversion program that would not incarcerate people simply because they cannot afford cash bail? Probably not, because the County spends millions designing and improving its cages, not caring for its citizens.

I urge you to reject any proposal for a new jail, and start releasing prisoners from the old one. Those supporting criminalizing behavior and incarcerating "criminals" like those presumed innocent awaiting trial, "don't even know [whether] locking people in jail cells actually ... decreases the frequency of things that they call 'crimes'--and a lot of evidence suggests that it makes communities less safe."

Please reject the proposed new jail.

--Your constituent,
--Mark Dempsey

Friday, April 17, 2020

Usual Cruelty

The following are quotes from Usual Cruelty: The Complicity of Lawyers in the Criminal Injustice System by Alec Karakatsanis [Brackets surround footnote numbers from the text.]

Here's an interview with the author:


p. 8-9

Instead of shackling one hundred percent of the detained children, they now shackle only about twenty percent of the detained children....

Brutality like this feels normal to many people who work in the punishment bureaucracy and to many people in our society-so normal that we can inflict it on a massive scale without needing any justification. This desensitization has led to a remarkable lack of intellectual rigor in every corner of the punishment bureaucracy: almost no one carrying out punishment in our legal system has any clue about whether what they are doing is leading to any good. They don't even know, for example, if locking people in jail cells actually increases or decreases the frequency of things that they call "crimes"-and a lot of evidence suggests that it makes communities less safe.

They lack the most basic data, evidence, or rational explanations that one would expect from people before they cage millions of human beings in frightening conditions and separate tens of millions of families. The essays in this book explore how bureaucrats in the punishment system have allowed themselves to become desensitized to things that should shock them to the core.

p. 14-15

[Defendant] Sharnalle ...owed the city money for old traffic tickets. The city had privatized the collection of her debts to a for profit "probation company," which had sought a warrant for her arrest. I happened to be sitting in the courtroom on the morning that Sharnalle was brought to court, along with dozens of other people who had been jailed because they owed the city money. The judge demanded that Sharnalle pay or stay in jail. If she could not pay, she would be kept in a cage until she "sat out" her debts at $50 per day, or at $75 per day if she agreed to clean the courthouse bathrooms and the feces, blood, and mucus from the jail walls. An hour later, in a windowless cell, Sharnalle told me that a jail guard had given her a pencil, and she showed me the crumpled court document on the back of which she had calculated how many more weeks of forced labor separated her from her children. That day, she became my first client as a civil rights lawyer.

II

Prisons do not disappear social problems, they disappear human beings. -Angela Davis

There are 2.2 million human beings confined in prison and jail cells in the United States tonight[4] About 500,000 of those people are presumptively innocent people awaiting trial[5], the vast majority of whom are confined by the government solely because they cannot pay enough money to buy their release.[6] This country has five percent of the world's population,, but twenty-five percent of the world's prisoners-the highest rate of human caging of any society in the recorded history of the modern world.[7] At least another 4.5 million people are under government control through probation and parole "supervision."[8]

Between eighty and ninety percent of the people charged with crimes are so poor that they cannot afford a lawyer.[9] Twenty-five years into America's incarceration boom, black people were incarcerated at a rate six times that of South Africa during apartheid.[10] The incarceration rate for black people in the nation's capital, where I live, is nineteen times that of white people.[11]

I have traveled the country and seen nearly identical practices in every courtroom and every jail that I have visited.

IV

Official language smitheryed to sanction ignorance and preserve privilege is a suit of armor polished to shocking glitter . ... It is the language that drinks blood . .. . -Toni Morrison[13]

The emerging "criminal justice reform" consensus is superficial and deceptive. It is superficial because most proposed "reforms" would still leave the United States as the greatest incarcerator in the world. It is deceptive because those who want largely to preserve the current punishment bureaucracy-by making just enough tweaks to protect its perceived legitimacy-must obfuscate the difference between changes that will transform the system and tweaks that will curb only its most grotesque flourishes.

Nearly every prominent national politician and the vast majority of state and local officials talking and tweeting about "criminal justice reform" are, with varying levels of awareness and sophistication, furthering this deception. These "reform"-advancing bureaucrats are co-opting a movement toward profound change by convincing the public that the "law enforcement" system as we know it can operate in an objective, effective, and fair way based on the "rule of law." These punishment bureaucrats are dangerous because, in order to preserve the human caging apparatus that they control, they must disguise at the deepest level its core functions. As a result, they focus public conversation on the margins of the problem without confronting the structural issues at its heart. Theirs is the language that drinks blood.

It's useful to think about "criminal justice reform" by focusing on the concepts of "law enforcement" and the "rule of law." Both are invoked as central features of the American criminal system. For many prominent people advocating "reform," the punishment bureaucracy as we know it is the inevitable result of"law enforcement" responding to people "breaking the law." To them, the human caging bureaucracy is consistent with, and even required by, the "rule of law." This worldview-that the punishment bureaucracy is an attempt to promote social well being and human flourishing under a dispassionate system of laws-shapes their ideas about how to "fix" the system.

But few ideas have caused more harm in our criminal system than the belief that America is governed by a neutral "rule of law." The content of our criminal laws...and how those laws are carried out...are choices that reflect power. The common understanding of the "rule of law" and the widely accepted use of the term "law enforcement" to describe the process by which those in power accomplish unprecedented human caging are both delusions critical to justifying the punishment bureaucracy. This is why it is important to understand how they distort the truth.

p.18-19

V

We are living in the era of premeditation and the perfect crime. Our criminals . .. have a perfect alibi: philosophy, which can be used for any purpose-even for transforming murderers into judges. -Albert Camus[14]

What is a crime? The first step to understanding how we accomplish the imprisonment of millions of people's bodies is understanding what laws authorize government agents to take away a person's liberty.

A society makes choices about what acts or omissions to render worthy of different kinds of  punishment. The decision to make something punishable by human caging authorizes the government to treat people in ways that otherwise would be abhorrent. For example, a person walking down the street smoking a cigarette cannot be searched by police. Even a police demand to stop walking or the probe of an officer's hand along the person's outer clothing would violate our Constitution's Bill of Rights. [15] But, in most of the country for the past fifty years, if that same person were smoking a cigarette containing a dried marijuana plant in addition to a dried tobacco plant, the person may be bound in metal chains, removed from the street, strip searched, placed in a cage, and held in solitary confinement with no human contact or naturallight.[16] The person can be kept in that cage for decades. [17] The person can lose her right to vote, be removed from public housing and have her family removed from public housing, be kicked out of school, and be barred from employment.[18] She can also be deprived of basic human needs, such as hugging her child or having a sexual relationship with her spouse. [19] All of this treatment is allowed only because the person is a "criminal."

Criminal Laws Reflect and Legitimate the
Environment in Which They Are Made


Choices about what is a crime and what is not are made by politicians and within the economic, social, and racial systems in which politicians exist. As a result, for better or worse, these choices reflect the logic of, promote the legitimacy of, and protect distributions of power within those systems

p. 20-21

Consider, for example, that it is a "crime" in most of America for the poor to wager in the streets over dice. Wagering over international currencies, entire cities' worth of mortgages, the global supply of wheat needed to avoid mass starvation, [20] or ownership of public corporations is accepted behavior. [21] Dice wagerers become bodies to seize, search, confine, and shun. [22] Their private cash is "forfeited" to government ownership.[23] Wheat-wagerers become names on the wings of hospitals and museum galleries. Their cash makes them heroes, and charitable organizations providing legal services to low-income dicewagerers in criminal prosecutions give them philanthropic awards at banquets.

This example is not a quirky outlier. Furthering and legitimating particular distributions of wealth and power are pervasive, defining functions of our criminal legal system-not minor, unintended byproducts.

These choices play out over the criminal law, from foundational laws criminalizing a physical breach of another person's private property to definitions of affirmative defenses like duress or necessity. (Poverty, for example, is not commonly accepted by American courts as a sufficient excuse for theft of subsistence goods.)[24] Our political choices answer questions like: Should it be a crime to beg for money? To charge high interest rates? To hoard wealth? To decide not to vote? To abuse a family dog? To abuse thousands of pigs to make higher profits from their flesh? To belong to a union? To decline to belong to a union? To refuse to grant mortgages to people of a certain race? To drill for oil? To seize land from indigenous people? To participate in a lynch mob? To enslave people? To refuse to pay reparations to people formerly enslaved on one's land? To spray carcinogenic chemicals into the ground to release natural gas? To hit one's child? To design political boundaries based on race? To run a bank for profit? To refuse to identify oneself to a police officer? To force sex upon a spouse? To search a person without probable cause? To grow tobacco? To have oral sex with another consenting adult? To hold profits offshore? To expose secret government misdeeds in the media? To dress a certain way? To possess a gun? To possess a hunting rifle ten years after a marijuana conviction? To donate to a foreign charity? To boycott apartheid? To terminate a pregnancy? To cross an imaginary boundary between two political jurisdictions to be reunited with one's child?

The standard narrative portrays "criminals" as a vast collection of individuals who have each made a choice to "break the law." Convictions and punishments are consequences that flow naturally from that bad choice: we must enforce the "rule of law." But these crimes are not chosen because of some assessment of the amount of harm prevented, and punishments are not selected because of demonstrated penological success. The difference in the way the bureaucracy treats someone using cocaine and someone using vodka has no empirical connection to the respective harm caused by those substances or to any analysis of how to prevent addiction to them. Instead, forces external to well-reasoned policy contribute to definitions of criminality and to decisions about appropriate punishment. The criminal law is not an inviolate repository of right and wrong, but-just like any other policy fashioned in a country as unequal as ours-a tool related to cultural, racial, and economic features of our society. [25]

p.32-33

...look at how our society has chosen to deal with a variety of other evils. One can be sued for racial discrimination or sexual harassment at work, for instance, but one cannot typically be prosecuted for that conduct, even though it might cause a lot of harm. The political system has chosen to pursue these other important goals without resort to the criminal system. Even assuming that preventing private individuals from choosing to ingest certain non-alcohol and non-tobacco drugs can create a compelling state interest-a proposition that would take its own justification-a variety of other alternatives to human caging exist to reduce drug use: education, employment, companionship, after-school art and theater programs, medical and mental health care, addiction treatment, and stable housing, to name a few. No government in any jurisdiction in the United States has proven that human caging is a way to reduce drug use at all, let alone the least intrusive way. Instead, a mountain of evidence suggests that the punishment approach to drugs has actually increased drug use and the harms associated with it, including by diverting funds from evidence-based alternatives. [65]

The pathology through which people who call themselves "law enforcement" officials have come to acquiesce in this punishment is revealing. It would be intolerable to our legal system for a person to spend a moment in a cage for cocaine possession if the person did not possess cocaine. But many "rule of law" proponents care nothing for the question: why is it tolerable for a person to spend a moment in a cage when they have possessed cocaine? To answer that question, we would need to ask a further question: is human caging the best way, or even a reasonable way, to minimize the harms that cocaine possession causes?

Thus we have a central paradox of American criminal law: in order to put a person in prison, we have to prove by overwhelming evidence that she merits punishment in a narrow factual sense; but in order to put millions of people in prison, we do not need to show that doing so would do any good. Under the unspoken consensus of the "rule of law," a law authorizing millions of people to be caged for certain conduct will be enforced so long as there is a "rational basis" for it-and the courts define "rational basis" to mean any potential reason, no matter how unpersuasive, and even if it was not the actual reason for the law. [66] This is almost the exact opposite of the "beyond a reasonable doubt" approach that we are told the Constitution requires for taking away bodily liberty. In the latter, a person must not be caged so long as there could be a single reason to doubt her factual eligibility for incarceration.

p. 40 - 41

One is punished because one breaks the law. "Law enforcement" officials exist not to pursue political, racial, and economic goals through strategic choices, but neutrally to administer mutually agreed-upon rules for everyone's benefit. This conventional story is wrong.

"Law Enforcement" Is About Making Choices

Our apologies good friends
for tbe fracture of good order
the burning of paper instead of children . ..
-Father Daniel Berrigan[88]

Government employees called "prosecutors" decide the people against whom to initiate the state's machinery of physical force. Prosecutors have nearly unlimited authority to decide who to charge with a crime and how harsh a punishment to pursue for it. [89]

Prosecutors make decisions about what crimes to investigate,[90] what crimes to ignore, whether to file charges in any particular case of lawbreaking, whether to seek pretrial detention, whether to seek mandatory minimum prison sentences, whether to permit a plea bargain, and how severe a punishment to seek, including whether to seek the death penalty, life in prison, decades in prison, probation, or diversion from punishment entirely. Because courts have removed themselves from this process and because there is typically no independent oversight of prosecutors, there is effectively no check on the exercise of American prosecutorial power.[91] And in most jurisdictions, there is no mechanism for the public to initiate an independent prosecution.

This power is executed with little fanfare thousands of times every day as prosecutors decide which arrests to convert into prosecutions. In many jurisdictions, large percentages of arrests never end up in prosecution.[92]

Prosecutorial discretion exists all around us. It floats in the ether, largely unnoticed, because the vast majority of its exercise lies in the body of human behavior that prosecutors choose to ignore. Examining virtually any set of prosecutorial actions illustrates that they are political choices.

p.41-42

It is now known that U.S. government employees committed the crime of torture during what they called the "war on terror." [93] That widespread torture occurred and that it constituted a federal crime is not in dispute. The torture of human beings included, at least as far as we know: physical beatings,[94] anal rape,[95] mutilation of genitals,[96] electric shocks to the body,[97] waterboarding [98] (a crime for which the United States previously prosecuted foreign soldiers[99]), chaining people naked to walls in freezing temperatures until they died, [100] hanging people by their arms until it appeared that their shoulders would break,[101] locking a person in a box with insects,[102] forcing people to remain awake for eleven straight days, [103] and other physical and psychological tactics designed to inflict pain so severe that the inability to bear that pain would lead to people providing information.[104] Many people were killed by government employees during these torture sessions-federal prosecutors knew of at least one hundred such deaths. [105] The details of these crimes and the surrounding criminal conspiracy are set forth in the findings of every public military, civilian, and international investigation conducted, and they are found in the admissions of the torturers themselves.[106] Moreover, no one disputes that further crimes were committed when the CIA destroyed videotapes documenting its employees torturing people.[107]

No person was prosecuted for torture, murder, or for destroying the videos of government employees committing these crimes. [108] Prosecutors chose instead to ignore these violations of federal criminal law.[109] The official prosecutorial reason for the decision not to prosecute these crimes was that we must "look forward, not backward."[110] This is a philosophy of prosecution that every convicted person confined in jails and prisons would love to embrace: every person prosecuted in an American courtroom is charged with committing a crime in the past.

The only person who federal prosecutors used their discretion to prosecute for his role in the torture program was John Kiriakou, a high-level CIA official formerly in charge of the CIA's covert operations.[111] Kiriakou was not prosecuted for torture or for destroying the videos of torture. Instead, Kiriakou's crime was revealing details about the torture to the public, a violation of the rules against disclosure of information the bureaucrats choose to make secret. [112]

p.52-53

- As alleged in a lawsuit that my organization recently filed, prosecutors in Phoenix have been making false statements in letters to coerce people into paying the District Attorney's office to get it to drop marijuana possession charges in a scheme that has earned the District Attorney's office an average of $1.6 million annually in recent years. [194] This is, paradoxically, both the federal felony of mail fraud and "law enforcement." These prosecutors have not been prosecuted.

- California took away 4.2 million drivers' licenses because people could not pay court debts.[195] In the past five years, Tennessee took away more than 250,000 licenses for inability to pay tickets and more than 140,000 licenses for inability to pay other court debts.[196] Because dozens of states have done the same thing, millions more people have lost the ability to do all of the things many of us take for granted in life--go to the grocery store, attend church, commute to work, and visit family--as "driving on a suspended license" has become one of the most common ly charged crimes by prosecutors in many jurisdictions.[197] In such circumstances, that crime serves no function other than to criminalize poverty.

- According to an investigation by the District Attorney and the Louisiana State Auditor, judges in  New Orleans were extorting money from people, wrongfully jailing people who could not pay, and then illegally using the money to fund their own benefits packages.[198] Despite these investigations and later admissions by judges, prosectors used their discretion not to prosecute the judges.

- Jail guards in Florida locked a man with mental illness in a shower, turned on scalding hot water, laughed at him, and left him there until he died. Prosecutors chose not to prosecute the guards.[199]

- General David Petraeus was prosecuted for disclosing classified information to a journalist with whom he was having a sexual affair. Although the information Petraeus disclosed included some of what the U.S. government considers to be its most sensitive secrets--more sensitive than the information disclosed by Chelsea Manning,[200] for example--prosecutors permitted him to plead guilty to a misdemeanor and to avoid any time in jail[201]

- Twelve police officers in Miami Beach shot over one hundred bullets at a car, killing the man inside. The officers also pointed their guns at witnesses, demanding that they stop filming. Police then confiscated and smashed the cell phones of witnesses to the shooting. The officers then lied, c!aiming that they had not tried to destroy the witnesses' videos of the incident. However, one witness had removed and hidden his phone's memory card in his mouth, and the video given to CNN confirmed the officers' crimes and lies. [202] The officers were not prosecuted.

- Sentencing children to die in prison is illegal in nearly every country in the world, but as of 2012, the United States had over 2,500 people serving sentences to die in prison for crimes committed as children because prosecutors chose to seek life sentences in adult prison. [203]

p. 62-63

Police officers on city streets have discretion to stop, arrest, or ignore people engaged in a wide variety of conduct and misconduct. Higher-level officials, by deciding geographic placement of officers, drafting department budgets, and setting prosecution priorities, have the ability to ignore lawbreaking in entire neighborhoods or economic sectors. For that reason, the "radical" future of prison and police abolition sought by some on the political left and right effectively already exists for wide swaths of our society: wealthy white people rarely interact with the police, except by choice.

The discretionary exercise of these powers means the opposite for the poor and people of color. What has emerged for them is a metastasized system guided by forces we don't acknowledge as opposed to good policy made transparently to promote shared values.

A major achievement of the punishment bureaucracy is that it has retained mainstream respect even though its "law enforcement" choices crush unprecedented numbers of people with no evidence of any unique social benefit while simultaneously allowing enormous amounts of lawlessness that cause massive harm. Why are these choices still viewed as legitimate?

First, the groups who wield power in our society benefit from the punishment bureaucracy. It privileges their private property, their racial supremacy, their jobs, their voting rights, and their segregated neighborhoods.

Second, the growth of the punishment bureaucracy itself. changes our culture and economy. As the bureaucracy expands, it employs larger and larger numbers of police officers, prosecutors, probation officers, defense attorneys, prison guards, contractors, and equipment manufacturers. People working in the system become dependent on its perpetuation for their livelihoods and even their identities. The path of least resistance is to grow more. Jobs are created, local political power is consolidated, and "law enforcement" activities are normalized and then rendered economically essential-such as roadblocks, prison guards, home raids, drug interdiction teams, neighborhood patrols, armed police in schools, SWAT teams, stop-and-frisk practices, social media monitoring, video surveillance, probation drug testing, and "intelligence" divisions. An everexpanding set of "criminal justice" products are designed and advertised with billions of dollars from investors and tens of thousands more people involved at every stage of their production and marketing, trade conventions displaying the latest products, and lucrative bureaucrat training schools follow, [242] along with new protocols for using the new products and training methods on those new protocols, and so on. [243] Soon, an entire society is prepared psychologically and institutionally to confront a public health issue like drug addiction with metal shackles, tasers, and cages.

p.68-69

To accomplish the "rule of law" trickery, the punishment bureaucracy makes pronouncements about what "crime" is, why people commit crime, and how best to reduce crime by "enforcing the law." The power of this worldview cannot be underestimated: it has won almost every relevant policy debate in the past forty years. It convinced a broad range of people that the solutions to their problems were not changes to the political system or the economic structure or discriminatory social norms, but rather, more police "on the streets" and more poor black people in prison cages.

The "law enforcement" myth is seductive. Many people, including lawyers and judges, want to believe that something like the neutral "rule of law" can exist, and for good reasons. But it is dangerous to do so without understanding that policing and prosecution are used as a tool of politics and power to benefit some and to hurt others.

One of the most insidious notions pervading standard discourse is that people are investigated and punished because they break laws and therefore that, if one breaks the law, one will be investigated and punished. This principle supports a larger idea: our legal system is objective, trying its best to promote well-being, morality, and human flourishing. The myth that an objective "rule of law" determines the outcomes is important to the system's perceived legitimacy and to our acceptance of its authority over us.

A lot of assumptions are imbedded in the everyday assessment of the punishment bureaucracy's legitimacy and effectiveness: Poor people and black people fill jails because they do more bad things than wealthy people and white people. American officials are not arrested for war crimes because they slaughtered people and assassinated democratically elected leaders for good reasons. People are pulled over because they violated a traffic rule or frisked because they were suspicious. Teenagers are searched on their way to school because they live in a "high crime" area and their black and brown bodies are dangerous. A person obtained his wealth legitimately because his ancestors were never prosecuted for acquiring it. Prisoners cannot hug their children or see sunlight because jails are places where we could not safely have family visits or fresh air.

The standard "criminal justice" discourse lulls people into abandoning scrutiny of their assumptions. Government employees who arrest and prosecute people are called "law enforcement" agents; the entire enterprise is referred to in press conferences as an objective entity: "from a law enforcement perspective ... " or "law enforcement believes that ... " As we have seen, it would be more accurate to refer to them as "selective enforcement officers" or "white wealth preservation officers" because they usually enforce only some laws against some people. [263] Many of the most prominent mass violations of American law were perpetrated or covered up by "law enforcement" officers acting pursuant to official policies, including the Trail of Tears, the ethnic cleansing and forced deportation of more than a million Americans for suspected Mexican heritage,[264] the internment of Japanese Americans, and the arming of right-wing Nicaraguan death squads and the perjury surrounding it. [265]

p.72-73

The smart way to keep people passive and obedient is to strictly limit the spectrum of acceptable opinion, but allow very lively debate within that spectrum-even encourage the more critical and dissident views. That gives people the sense that there's free thinking going on, while all the time the presuppositions of the system are being reinforced by the limits put on the range of the debate.
-Noam Chomsky [279]

Powerful systems have a way of shapeshifting. By some measures, we have more segregation in schools since 1968 even though courts declared that de jure school segregation is illegal.[280] A push to "reform" federal sentencing laws in the 1980s, ostensibly to reduce judicial bias, increased punishment severity across the board.[281] A "bail reform" campaign in the 1960s to eliminate the use of cash bail in federal courts to jail the poor resulted in a system in which the rate of pretrial  detention of presumptively innocent people went up.[282] Although the Supreme Court has said that pretrial liberty must be the "norm" and pretrial detention the "carefully limited exception"[283] over seventy-two percent of federal criminal defendants are now confined to jail cells for the entire duration of their prosecution. [284]

And so we find ourselves in a dangerous time. There is broad awareness of the senselessness of the punishment system and a movement of people organizing to dismantle it. But the forces that made the punishment bureaucracy are aligning to shape how it is "reformed." The recognition of the system's unfairness and ineffectiveness has reached such a tipping point that some kind of change must happen in order for the system to preserve its own legitimacy. Accordingly, mass incarceration bureaucrats are looking to become the face of what they call "criminal justice reform." Their success will depend on whether people can tell the difference.

p.87

It is remarkable how little these [recently elected "progressive"] prosecutors have tried to do so far considering that we would need eighty percent reductions in human caging to return to historical U.S. levels and to those of other comparable countries.[345] None of them have reported reducing prosecutions by more than a few percentage points, and most of them have not reported any reductions at all. None of them are calling for smaller prosecutor offices or fewer police. None of them are seeking a massive shift in investigative resources away from investigating the crimes of the poor to investigating the crimes of the rich. None of them have prosecuted a single one of their own employees for withholding evidence or obstruction of justice. None of them have announced a policy of declining to prosecute all drug posession. None of them have stopped prosecuting children as adults. None of them have sought to eliminate fines and fees for the indigent. None of them have opened a systemic civil rights investigation into the brutality, neglect, and crimes against confined people that are rampant in their local jails. None of them have set up a truth and reconciliation commission to confront the past racism and barbarism of their offices and local police. None of them have taken serious steps to transition their approach to a restorative justice model.

p. 156-157

Consider a few of the many examples:

- Although the law promises indigent defendants a zealous attorney, the system almost entirely ignores that right in practice. Every serious observer recognizes an indigent defense "crisis" in which most of the millions of American criminal defendants each year receive barely any individualized representation at all, let alone a zealous investigation into and presentation of the questions relevant to their factual guilt and mitigation of punishment.[33] On recent trips to Tennessee, Alabama, and Missouri, for example, I saw hundreds of defendants in minor misdemeanor cases plead guilty without a lawyer just so that they could finally get out of jail after weeks in a cage because they were too poor to pay for their release pending trial, and I saw judges routinely inform jailed individuals that they would refuse to give them a court-appointed lawyer if their families were able to pay a private for-profit bail corporation to have them released from jail. Local public defenders reported to me that there was often little that they could do anyway even if they were appointed to a person's case, given that they had between one thousand and two thousand cases per year and barely any investigative resources.

- In a system that guarantees the right to trial unless the right is waived "knowingly, intelligently, and voluntarily," over ninety percent of all defendants plead guilty[34] because they are told that they will be given more serious punishment if they do not plead guilty.

- Although our legal system proclaims that "[i]n our society liberty is the norm, and detention prior to trial or without trial is the carefully limited exception,"[35] several hundred thousand human beings are kept in American cages every single day solely because they are too poor to make a monetary payment to secure their pretrial release.[36]


Thursday, April 16, 2020

Wear a Mask?


Monday, April 13, 2020

The Real Task Before Us Today

From Thomas Frank, from Harpers:

And so we come to understand the real task before us today: to rescue from the enormous condescension of the comfortable the one political tradition that has a chance of reversing our decades-long turn to the right.
 ...

The whole article (covering, among other things, how the anti-populists attacked Bernie Sanders) is worth reading, and outlines the parallels between the populist campaigns of the late 19th / early 20th century conducted by William Jennings Bryan, and today's elections. 

Saturday, April 11, 2020

The Party Reform Possibility


I recently got this video in email:
It's a ~17 minute "confessional" from a Republican election strategist, Stuart Stevens, promoting his book (It Was All a Lie) about the Republicans' shortcomings, expressing regret for a Republican party that now is behind Donald Trump.

This is not a huge surprise, since Stevens was a member of the Republican insiders for which Trump is a repudiation. Given the chance, Stevens probably would have backed Jeb Bush in 2016. He was a participant in many national Republican campaigns, including Bush 43's and Mitt Romney's 2012 presidential run.

Typical of party insiders, Stevens decries the current Republican Trumpist thuggery that devalues education and expertise, avoids public policy solutions for the less fortunate, and denies the fundamental core beliefs that made him a Republican in his heart. We can guess that Trump's embrace of the wrestling kayfabe--the name for the phony drama in professional wrestling--is repugnant to Stevens' sensibilities, too.

What are Stevens' (and the Republican establishment's) core beliefs? He says they include personal responsibility. Republicans also used to say character counts, and the federal deficit is important, says Stevens.

Stevens even mentions Reagan was a fan of legal immigration--Reagan provided amnesty for the undocumented--currently taboo for Republicans to consider. And, of course, in the good ol' days Republicans were anti-Russia. No more! (That Russians backed Trump has been thoroughly debunked, but never mind that!)

I've written previously about encountering such Republicans in the "Better Angels" program that sponsored meetings between politically estranged voters, where I heard some similar sentiments. The trouble with these sentiments is not just that they are lies. They are lies within lies.

So, Stevens is lying when he says they were All a Lie. The trouble with lying, besides its being unethical, is that liars start to believe their own bullshit. Lying becomes delusion.

So is Stevens sincere? Who knows? I'd bet even he doesn't know, although a more cynical person might speculate that Stevens is providing a safety valve for the Republicans if the Trump presidency ends in disaster. "See!" Stevens might say then, "All Republicans weren't all taken in by Trump!"

Balancing the Federal Budget


In that Better Angels meeting, a member of our local Republican party central committee, Jack Frost--I couldn't make up that name!--like Stevens, told us that he was regretful that Republicans hadn't done more to reduce the deficit, or national 'debt,' the accumulation of those deficits.

Just so you are clear about what that dog-whistle statement is really saying, Jack Frost (and Stevens) want to reduce Social Security and Medicare--popular, cost-effective social safety net programs that are nonetheless anathema to the "individual responsibility" core Republican value.

Eighty-five percent of federal spending is those two programs plus the military. The remaining 15% covers everything else--courts, borders, the Centers for Disease Control, etc. So reducing federal spending--a Republican would rather die than increase taxes--means reducing those three programs, and hell will freeze over before a Republican would reduce military spending. The Military-Industrial Complex (MIC) is a core constituency for them. So when a Republican talks about reducing the deficit s/he actually means reducing Medicare and Social Security, nothing else.


But there's a lie within that lie about regretting the absence of "fiscal responsibility" in Republican policy. The truth: Republicans have absolutely no intention of reducing the deficit. Dick Cheney famously said "Reagan proved deficits don't matter." Republican strategist Jude Wanniski--a journalist who promoted trickle-down, voodoo, supply-side economics--advised the party to run up as big a deficit as possible when in power, then complain about it as bitterly as possible when out--a strategy he called "Two Santa Clauses."

And Reagan--the apotheosis of modern Republicanism--took Wanniski's advice. His deficit exceeded the sum of all previous administrations' deficits. This spending produced an average business cycle recovery, falsely marketed as a remarkable "Morning in America" by the Wall Street Journal.



Tuesday, April 7, 2020

Be like Sandra


Follow-up: Apparently the story about Sandra isn't true. Yes she washes her hands (see here) but not in response to COVID-19, so her keepers took down the Youtube video that was originally part of the above tweet. So the story is aspirational, maybe even inspirational, but not accurate.

Monday, April 6, 2020

The failure of the conventional economics point of view

(c) by Mark Dempsey

Appearing in the LAprogressive.com blog, as he mulls over the coronavirus crisis, Mr. Krypios appears to have only the most rudimentary understanding of Modern Money Theory (MMT), saying things like “The problem of course with Modern Monetary Theory or Quantitative Easing Infinity is that it has never been tried before and no one knows what the effects will be.”

On the contrary. I quote Dick Cheney: “Reagan proved deficits don’t matter.” … and the Republicans have repeatedly exercised “military Keynesianism” to make enormous deficits with their spending in excess of tax receipts, while complaining loudly about unbalanced budgets whenever they are out of power. Reagan’s deficit exceeded the sum of all previous administrations’…and he got an average business cycle recovery after all that (mostly military) spending.

Of course Reagan tried to cut social safety nets, and reduced HUD’s affordable housing budget by 75% (gosh, I wonder why we have a housing crisis!), but the deficit grew without taking care of the poor.

We also have historical examples of the opposite–austerity. There were seven or eight significant reductions of National ‘debt’ since 1776–and the results follow exactly the MMT predictions.

The last of these was the Clinton surplus. There was a significant reduction in 1929–the last time a Republican administration balanced a budget. Andrew Jackson even paid off national debt entirely in 1835. What correlates with these ‘debt’ pay downs 100% of the time? A gigantic economic downturn. (100% of the time!)

So the cat is out of the bag. MMT accurately describes the position of monetary sovereigns, despite the propaganda emanating from economists. I’ll remind you that the “point of economics as a discipline,” Matt Stoller writes in his anti-monopoly newsletter Big, “is to create a language and methodology for governing that hides political assumptions from the public.” It’s no wonder economics as a discipline is “incoherent” (British economist Wynn Godley’s adjective).

What’s really going on? As mentioned, the propaganda is pervasive. “Tax and spend” is practically a mantra in the press, yet (obviously) the government must spend before it gets tax revenue, otherwise taxpayers wouldn’t have any dollars with which to pay those taxes.

With fiat money, we don’t have to wait for gold miners to find more gold, so the only limit to the amount the monetary sovereign can issue is inflation–and typically inflation is “cost push” (a shortage of goods) not “demand pull” (an excess of money). The oil shortages of the ’70s is a good example, but the Cato Institute’s study of 56 hyperinflationary episodes throughout history discloses that literally none of them originated with central banks run amok, printing too much currency. Zimbabwe had to deal with a food shortage when the Rhodesian farmers left. Weimar Germany had to deal with France invading the Ruhr, shutting down their heavy industry. The money printing came later.

Does money printing alone cause inflation? We have a recent example: The Federal Reserve extended $16 – $29 trillion in credit to the financial sector in 2007-8. No measurement, public or private, shows a surge of inflation then. The figures, incidentally, are from the Fed’s own audit.

So it’s not “tax and spend.” It can’t be. It must be “spend first, then retrieve some of those spent dollars in taxes.” Taxes make the money good-for-something (i.e. valuable), they do not, and cannot provision federal programs.

What do we call the dollars left out in the economy? Answer #1: the dollar financial assets of the population–i.e. their savings. Answer #2: National ‘debt’…. Just as we call your bank account your asset, but the bank’s liability. Both answers describe *exactly* the same thing.

Advocating a reduction of National ‘debt’ is roughly like marching down to the bank, demanding that the manager reduce the bank’s debt. “You understand this will make your accounts smaller,” says the manager. “We don’t care,” say the proponents of austerity “we just hate the word ‘debt'”…

So…not very sensible, if you ask me. Incidentally, MMT observes that there are circumstances that warrant ‘debt’ reductions–things like an overheated economy. It’s safe to say that’s not our current situation.

The conventional (neoclassical, neoliberal) economists who get press attention typically wag their fingers at anyone opposing the prescription for austerity, sternly warning that the ‘debt’ can get too big, and will impair the economy if it does…and [gasp!] we can’t predict what will happen because spending like that is unprecedented!….except for the New Deal and that big public works project we call World War II.

Why government spending (or borrowing) will “crowd out” the private sector! There’s even a paper from economists Reinhart and Rogoff attempting to pinpoint the threshold of ‘debt’ to GDP when the bad economy starts to kick in.

And there is plenty of precedent for not spending–i.e. austerity. I just cited it. (see here for more https://www.huffpost.com/entry/the-federal-budget-is-not_b_457404), And we have seen its results. Not pretty!

Meanwhile, Reinhart and Rogoff’s paper has been debunked. Apparently they cherry-picked their examples. A graduate student even found a mistake in the spreadsheet where they did their calculations. So these are not exactly resounding endorsements of their credibility.

But the biggest indication of how disingenuous all the handwringing about ‘debt’ is comes from economic reality at present. The neoclassical/neoliberal economists predict the debt will become unpayable, and the bond markets will charge an arm and a leg before the nation can sell its debt. Why just look at Greece (paying ~10% on its bonds)!

Except Greece is no longer a monetary sovereign. They can’t monetize that debt, so bond markets are accurately building credit risk into their calculations. “Credit risk” is that the Greeks won’t be able to pay their debt back, and the bond markets charge a premium for that credit risk.

But what about monetary sovereigns? The neoclassical/neoliberal economists make no distinction, and say the debt will become unpayable even there. Maybe it’s not at 90% of GDP as Reinhart and Rogoff suggest, but at some point, that sovereign ‘debt’ will impair the economy, and make the bond markets charge through the nose to sell it, conventional economists sternly warn.

The only thing conventional economists have to explain, then, is the current Japanese national ‘debt.’ Japan is a monetary sovereign. It makes the yen (Greece does not make drachmas or euros), so it can monetize (print money to pay) any yen-denominated ‘debt.’

The Japanese debt-to-GDP ratio is ~240%, and the interest they have to pay is near zero (some is negative!).

So MMT accurately describes what we have been practicing when “deficits don’t matter,” and predicts economic downturns when we practice austerity–an economic strategy Democrats since Edmund Muskie have advocated.

So…could we address the climate crisis by putting money behind programs to de-carbonize the world? Economists have calculated the Green New Deal would only take 5% of the U.S. economy. World War II saw the government taking over 50% of the economy. Obviously, financing is not a limitation!

We have the means. We have the money. And no, government spending will not “crowd out” private sector demands for resources (or financing) if the economy is not operating at 100% of capacity. The latest figures I’ve seen say the U.S. economy is working at 77.5% of capacity.

The irony here is that the conventional narrative says Democrats are “tax and spend” profligates, but they are often the ones advocating austerity. From the Clinton surplus, to Nancy Pelosi’s “pay-go” pledge (i.e. we must raise taxes to pay for any new programs) they have been advocating cutting the only fiscally unconstrained player (government) out of the economy.

Unless the corporate Democrats wake up and “smell the coffee” reality will demonstrate that we can weather very large deficits without driving up interest rates or impairing the rest of the economy.

Thursday, April 2, 2020

Why Trump succeeded in capturing the Republican Party in 2016, and why Bernie failed in 2020, in one stupid chart

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Wednesday, April 1, 2020

Homelessness: Not an impossible problem

Despite the excuses you'll hear from our public officials, there's reason to believe we can handle homelessness. Here's the story.

Finland ends homelessness and provides shelter for all in need

But in 2008 the Finnish government introduced a new policy for the homeless: It started implementing the “Housing First” concept. Since then the number of people affected has fallen sharply. Finland has set itself a target: Nobody should have to live on the streets – every citizen should have a residence.

And the country is successful: It is the only EU-country where the number of homeless people is declining….

Creating housing for people costs money. In the past 10 years, 270 million euros were spent on the construction, purchase and renovation of housing as part of the “Housing First” programme. However, Juha Kaakinen points out, this is far less than the cost of homelessness itself. Because when people are in emergency situations, emergencies are more frequent: Assaults, injuries, breakdowns. The police, health care and justice systems are more often called upon to step in – and this also costs money.

In comparison, “Housing First” is cheaper than accepting homelessness: Now, the state spends 15,000 euros less per year per homeless person than before.