Sunday, July 30, 2023

Nonfiction Political Conversations

(c) by Mark Dempsey

You Yanks don't consult the wisdom of democracy; you enable mobs -- Australian planner

In a political conversation, Sacramento County Supervisor Sue Frost's husband Jack said "What the Republican Party needs is better marketing." Jack Frost--and no, I didn't make up that name--sits on the County's Republican Central Committee, so he speaks for the professionals. In fairness, the other major party would say the same thing. Democrat Boss Tweed declared "I don't care who people vote for as long as I can pick the candidates." Marketing and monopoly together!

As Jack declared his allegiance to marketing, I thought: "Yeah, Jack, we need a different shade of lipstick on those pigs." The truth is that many of the major parties' public policies are so repugnant, they must be disguised. The "Overton window" of respectable public policy options leans toward the money, too.

Later, in the same conversation, Jack said "I'm regretful the Republican Party hasn't done more to decrease the national debt." This demonstrated the kind of marketing he had been talking about. The "regret" is Jack reaching across the aisle, humbling himself, saying, in effect "Hey, I've made mistakes too, won't you at least meet me halfway and agree we need to reduce the debt?

The US has had significant debt reductions seven times in its history. Every time, the reduction is followed by a wave of asset forfeitures and foreclosures--a Great Depression after the Coolidge and Hoover administrations ratcheted down the national debt, for one example. When Democrat Andrew Jackson paid the debt off completely, that eliminated public currency, and people had do do their business with specie (gold) and roughly 7,000 varieties of private banknotes of varying reliability--a business nightmare. The Panic of 1837 (another Great Depression) followed.

Still, Jack's statement was astonishing. In percentage terms, the current leader for increases in national debt is Republican "saint," Ronald Reagan. Reagan cut taxes on the wealthy roughly in half making a huge deficit--and, with his successor, increased payroll taxes eightfold. Reagan's deficit was larger than the sum of all previous administrations' deficits. Dick Cheney said "Reagan proved deficits don't matter." For his trouble, Reagan did get an average business cycle recovery, not the marketing declaration that it was "Morning in America"--which is what the Wall St. Journal reported.

Yet Jack wants to reduce national debt?! No, not by increasing taxes--the way the Clinton administration did it--that's against the Republican religion. So we must decrease federal spending--that is the real message.

OK, fair enough. Federal spending is not always optimal. Yet eighty-five percent of that spending is on only three things: the military, Social Security, and Medicare. The idea that Jack wanted to cut military spending is too ridiculous to entertain. Sure, US military spending is three times more than the Chinese spend and 10 times more than the Russians, but both parties in Congress still pass military budgets bigger than the Pentagon requests and rejects any attempt to cut that spending. We can never be safe enough!

Jack's wife, Sacramento County Supervisor Sue Frost, reminds us with her every public utterance that we do not have enough police. She's voted to expand the jail, even though the US incarcerates at five times the world's per-capita average. We can never spend too much on "defense," or be too safe in the Frosts' world.

But wait, there's more! People believe national debt is something owed by taxpayers to anonymous bondholders, or Chinese exporters. Nothing could be further from the truth.

Since the government is the monopoly provider of the dollars needed to pay taxes, it must spend first, before any tax revenue, then retrieve dollars in taxes. What do we call the dollars not retrieved in taxes, you know, the ones in your wallet or bank account? Those are the dollar financial assets of the population. Perhaps not so obviously, they also are equally national debt. This is analogous to your bank account, which is your asset, but the bank's liability. The bank owes you the money. For your dollars, the government owes you relief from an inevitable liability--taxes. This isn't exotic economics, it's double-entry bookkeeping.

So what Jack really wants is an impoverished population, with diminished Social Security, Medicare, and diminished savings. This desire flies in the face of a few facts about the economic state of the American public. Forty percent of the population can't handle a $400 emergency, 58% live paycheck-to-paycheck and 65% of seniors have only Social Security and Medicare to fund their retirement.

So why would anyone want to impoverish the public at large (by reducing national "debt")? The answer is that doing so enables vulture capitalists to pick up assets on the cheap when people are desperate. Desperation also means employers can squeeze their employees who simply must have the job. And, unfortunately, desperation also means more people turn to crime.

The U.S. has a half million medical bankruptcies annually, but thanks to their version of Medicare, Canadians have none. No Canadian needs to start cooking meth to pay their spouse's hospital bill (the plot of Netflix' Breaking Bad). And yes, Breaking Bad is fiction, but it's not much of a stretch to believe that many people turn to crime because of poverty. As Anatole France once said, the law, in its magnificent equality, forbids rich and poor alike from sleeping under bridges, begging in the street, and stealing bread.

But hey! Sue got her way, and Sacramento's Supervisors voted to spend nearly a half billion dollars enlarging the jail. This won't solve our crime problem, but it is great marketing...

Saturday, July 29, 2023

No surprise: the drug war was cooked up to persecute people

 

Friday, July 28, 2023

Bee Letter responding to George Will's column lobbying for even *more* military spending

Responding to George F. Will's column in the Sacramento Bee 7/28/23 "It's time for the US to end the 'era of the Great Distraction'"

Mr. Will is the distracter here. He cites the inadequacy of the US military budget and says we could dedicate more of our GDP to things military. What he doesn't mention is that the military budget is three times China's and ten times Russia's–more than the sum of the next ten nations’ military budgets, and many of those are US allies..

Will also says we used to have more than ten thousand defense firms. Could the consolidation into the defense industry oligopoly impair actual production? Could the US be wasting money to ensure the military-industrial complex gets ever higher profits? Could Senator Wm Proxmire's old book about the defense industry--"Report from Wasteland"--be prescient?

The US is responsible for more than 80% of the military aggression since World War II. Could making peace actually be cheaper? Gee, I wonder.

Monday, July 24, 2023

Today's Bee Letter: Responding to Sacramento County DA's approach to homelessness

7/24/23 "Sacramento's DA on why he's pressing the city on homelessness."

After reciting a litany of offenses committed by Sacramento’s homeless, County District Attorney Thien Ho writes "Past approaches have failed." That's why he's promising a "new, improved" approach of doing exactly the same thing to the homeless -- hassling them with police and prosecuting them.

Meanwhile, Finland has effectively ended homeless. How? By providing them with homes.

Studies validate Finland's approach as both cheaper and more humane than prosecution and incarceration. Recent studies of the unhoused in the U.S. point to rising rents, not mental illness, as the primary driver of people sleeping rough.

Meanwhile, San Francisco has five times more empty houses than its homeless population, and the U.S. as a whole has more empty homes than homeless.

Ho is pandering to an angry, vengeful public, but does nothing to end the problem.
 

See: https://youtu.be/kbEavDqA8iE for the Finnish solution.

Friday, July 21, 2023

What to do with ugly streets

 

 

...Incidentally, the street is the "public realm"...space accessible to all. It's not a gated community or a yacht club!

So...why are our streets so impoverished? Why to make the poor suffer! Labor discipline!

 

Adults in the Room Failed Us on Fossil Fuel Divestments


The people who run everything don’t have a realistic plan to address climate change at all, and even 2030 may be too late for aggressive goal setting.

by Coleen Bondy from LA Progressive
Jul 20, 2023

You know you’re in trouble when the Church of England beats you to the progressive punchline.

In environmental writer Bill McKibben’s enlightening op-ed in the LA Times on June 16, he lays out the case for California’s two largest public pension funds to divest from fossil fuel investments. It’s an airtight financial case, with the side benefit of literally helping to save the planet.

So far, CalSTRS and CalPERS are not having any of it. I am not sure what kind of evidence they are holding out for, but the latest science is convincing enough for the Church of England, not to mention nearly every top university in the United States, to finally decide to divest from oil companies.

It’s far past time for the state teachers’ retirement system to stop funding an industry that is actually killing our planet.

It’s far past time for the state teachers’ retirement system to stop funding an industry that is actually killing our planet. Not only is it a money-losing proposition, it’s morally indefensible.

Teachers teach…young people. The future of our planet. The ones who will inherit this mess we made. The ones we pay a lot of lip service to caring about.

When I found out about the extent of CalSTRS’ investment in big oil in 2021, I wrote to the board to protest and demand divestment from fossil fuels.

I received an email signed by “External Affairs” assuring me that the CalSTRS board does indeed care mightily about the environment, and it was aiming for a goal of a “net zero investment portfolio by 2050 or sooner.”

The rest of the email is basically filler-babble.

This coming school year will be my 18th with the Los Angeles Unified School District. In my time as a high school English and journalism teacher, and now as magnet coordinator of a social justice-based media program, I have tried to educate my students about climate change and also empower them to create the changes we need to ensure a livable future for us all.

Nearly 10 years ago I ordered a class set of McKibben’s book Eaarth, in which he argues that we have already altered the plant beyond recognition, and the best thing we can do is create community and do our part locally to create sustainable societies.

At the time, it was a fairly radical idea that we had altered the Earth beyond any easy fix, and even more radical to teach high schoolers about it.

I thought I was empowering my students when I told them that my generation, and all the generations before mine, had completely dropped the ball on climate change, and that it was up to the young people to save everything.

In the beginning, I think they liked the idea of an adult who not only told the truth, but apologized for our sins, and believed they had the intelligence and the collective power to save the planet. Pretty cool, right??

Now that same speech just generates indifference, irritation, or worse, anger.

At first I was puzzled, but then a student put it to me bluntly. “Adults completely stress us out when they tell us we have to fix this enormous problem on our own. If you couldn’t do it, how do you expect us to do it?”

Every year of teaching gets harder, for many reasons. But for me, the worst is that I no longer know what to tell my students to give them hope. I often feel angry and hopeless, too.

The fact that my own pension, my own hope for retiring securely, depends on burning the fossil fuels that will make my students’ futures even more hellish just makes my generation’s own hypocrisy even more unbearable.

Environmentalists have long been told that it was idealistic and naïve to think we could quickly transition away from fossil fuels. That it would hurt the economy if we transitioned too quickly.

Basically, we have been told for decades that the adults in the room were taking care of it in a grownup way, and we should just go back to eating our granola.

But the truth is, they weren’t. The people who run everything don’t have a realistic plan to address climate change at all, and even 2030 may be too late for aggressive goal setting.

I was listening to NPR recently and Tonya Mosley was interviewing Jeff Goodell, the author of the new book The Heat Will Kill You First.

Goodell does a great job of scaring the heck out of us about the many ways the increasing global temperatures could kill us all, and its link to climate change.

And then he is asked the requisite question in this kind of story…what about having children at this point in time? Is it irresponsible?

As a father of three children, he said that he believes children are the “hope of the world. They’re the ones who are going to change things. They’re the ones who have everything at stake.”

He pointed to Greta Thunberg. He said we need young minds to fix this. He stated the obvious…us old people aren’t going to fix it.

I couldn’t help it as I listened. I did my best impression of a jaded high school freshman and I rolled my eyes.

The opinions expressed here are solely the author's and do not reflect the opinions or beliefs of the LA Progressive.
climate changeFossil FuelBig Oil

By Coleen Bondy

Coleen Bondy is a former journalist and current LAUSD high school English teacher. She is also the coordinator of the Global Media Studies Magnet at Cleveland Charter High School.

Wednesday, July 12, 2023

Can Kindness Scale?

(c) by Mark Dempsey

It would be cheaper, as well as much more effective and humane to solve a variety of social ills by restoring or even enhancing America's social safety nets. These have been attacked and reduced in recent years. Poverty, crime, and (contagious) disease all thrive in a dog-eat-dog society where isolated individuals take no responsibility for each other, never mind the "least of these." The question is whether humane public policies could ever scale up to address these issues in entire societies.

Whenever society at large addresses the inevitable problems of systemic malfunctions like poverty, crime, and disease, the frustration of too-large or too-slow-to-respond remedies inevitably leads to either society-wide anger or depression. Taking advantage of this understandable frustration, the political right in particular--the representatives of those who have the economic high ground--has pushed back against compassionate remedies for social ills.

For example, the Wall St. Journal recently published an article citing increases in crime in Portland after it implemented more humane treatment of the poor and homeless. These kinder policies led to population declines. The Journal even includes interviews with Portlanders who left but doesn't mention COVID, which is at the root of downtown's problems according to one native I contacted. Back in California, Sacramento Supervisor Frost's newsletter decries recent initiatives to decarcerate or reduce sentences of prisoners as counterproductive, appealing to that same frustration about crime and problems in society at large.

But we've already discovered that large amounts of coercion and policing do not solve the problem of crime. The U.S. is already the world champion in incarceration in absolute or per-capita numbers. With five percent of the world's population, the U.S. has 25% of its prisoners--five times the world's per-capita average, and seven times the Canadian per-capita figures. Yet Canadian and U.S. crime are insignificantly different.

Funding social safety nets is cheaper than building bigger cages, even if someone undeserving profits. Nevertheless, the County wants to spend $450 million to expand its jail--a significant expense--and law enforcement already consumes 70% of the County’s budget.

One contributing factor to the population's faith in the all-sticks-no-carrots approach to social problems is the "Copaganda" of TV detective shows, from Dragnet to Law & Order. These tell us repeatedly that detectives solve the vast majority of crimes, and bad people are, by and large, punished. Yet "police 'have never successfully solved crimes with any regularity, as arrest and clearance rates are consistently low throughout history,' and police have never solved even a bare majority of serious crimes, University of Utah College of Law professor Shima Baradaran Baughman wrote in another 2021 law review article, including murder, rape, burglary, and robbery." (from Reuters)



Another indicator sticks-not-carrots is ineffective: U.S. population increased by 42% between 1982 and 2017, but spending on police increased by 187%, more than four times faster than population growth. Yet crime clearance rates were steady or declining during that period.

The FBI reports "blue collar" crimes like robbery, carjackings, and muggings cost the economy $12 billion a year, yet wage theft costs $50 billion but "white collar" crimes like derivatives and subprime mortgage land mines cost $1 trillion. Where are the efforts to prosecute employers and Wall St. criminals?



And do we really need more money for police and prison? How has it worked so far?

Meanwhile, 40% of the population can't handle a $400 emergency, 58% live check-to-check, and 65% of seniors have only Social Security to fund their retirement. Providing a dignified, healthy life for poor people is unlikely to produce instant results, but how bad do things have to be before we do something different? The U.S. already has roughly 50,000 deaths a year from opioid overdoses--more casualties than the Vietnam War--as evidence of the depression felt by the population about the current state of affairs.

Because anger and depression seldom lead to clear thinking, it's likely any move toward more humane treatment of the poor would be set up to fail, or too modest to have a big impact, and those who prefer police be an army of occupation will say "See! It doesn't work to be nice! We must have brutal, draconian labor discipline!--the reminder that if people don't take whatever crappy job is on offer, they will suffer, or even be put in cages.

Because turning society away from punishment is difficult and complex, there's a bias toward the simplicity of cruelty, vengeful thinking, and pandering to public frustration. It's actually more difficult than hiring more police to make sure everyone is housed, fed, and unburdened by crushing debt.

There's even a perverse incentive for police to ask for more money as their performance degrades.



From 2010 to 2021, San Francisco's police budget increased 15%, yet total arrests declined 41% and although reported offenses were up (+28%) crimes cleared (-33%) and total arrests (-41%) both declined. Knowing this should make the public skeptical of the effectiveness of those massive investments in punishment.

Economist Michael Hudson says what we need succinctly: "...make sure that everybody can support their basic needs without running into debt." A job guarantee would be an affordable way to keep unnecessary job insecurity at bay and would mean far fewer desperate people, and far less crime for far less public money than bigger jails. Such a guarantee would provide a comprehensive price stability framework with a buffer stock of labor. The employment guarantee would also be a tool in the fight against poverty

You wouldn't train a donkey with all sticks and no carrots, but that's what's being promoted as the way to retain social cohesion and solve these systemic problems. Currently, our system is still not configured so the benefits of being a member of society outweigh the costs for large portions of the population.

Meanwhile, of necessity, modern nation-states are always ambiguously extortion rackets or utopian projects. We are still learning how to minimize the former while maximizing the latter. Unfortunately, as one scholar says "evolution has equipped us ...for very rapid and effortless formation of cooperative structures, but at the expense of limiting the scale of these institutions."