Wednesday, September 25, 2024

Medical Advice

 Seen on X/Twitter:

If your doctor prescribes medication without first asking about
-your diet
-your sleep
-your exercise routine
-your water consumption
-whether you have any structure issues &
-the stress in your life
Then you don't have a doctor, you have a drug dealer.

Meanwhile:



And incredibly!...

And...

Diet-Related Diseases Are the No. 1 Cause of Death in the US – Yet Many Doctors Receive Little to No Nutrition Education in Med School


 

 

 
...thanks again to Naked Capitalism

The Beatings Will Continue Until Morale Improves

 Missouri executes a man whose prosecutor requested they not.

Excerpt:"Missouri’s execution of Williams puts the U.S. one step closer to a grim milestone: With four states slated to conduct four executions by the end of this week, the country will soon reach its 1,600th execution since the death penalty was reinstated in 1976. While public support for capital punishment continues to decline and juries are voting far less to impose capital punishment, officials in states like Missouri, Texas, and Oklahoma continue to schedule executions — including in cases like Williams, where questions about the underlying conviction and its fairness persist — Democrats scrubbed their long-standing goal of ending capital punishment from their platform this year. To date, 200 people on death row have been exonerated: a rate of 1 exoneration for every 8 executions carried out.

"In the days leading up to Williams’s execution, more than 1 million people contacted Parson’s office asking that he spare Williams’s life, and billionaire abolitionist Richard Branson took out a full-page ad in the Kansas City Star asking readers to do the same. In denying to offer clemency, Parson criticized the media as biased and said that nothing from the 'real facts' of the case lead him to believe Williams was innocent"

True internationally, too:

Militarism Abuse Disorder

Excerpt: "The Peter G. Peterson Foundation estimates that, in 2023, the United States of America spent $142 billion buying weapons systems and another $122 billion on the research and development of future weaponry and other militarized equipment. And keep in mind that those big numbers represent only a small fraction of any Pentagon budget, the latest of which the Pentagon’s proposing to be $849.8 billion for 2025 — and that’s just one year (and not all of what passes for “national defense” spending either). A recent analysis by the Costs of War Project at Brown University calculated that, since September 11, 2001, the United States has used an estimated $8 trillion-plus just for its post-9/11 wars. Talk about addiction! It makes me pretty MAD, if I’m being honest with you!"

And...

Sunday, September 22, 2024

Trump Derangement Syndrome

 (c) by Mark Dempsey

The interesting question is not "Who is going to win?" it's "Why is it even close?"

My friends in the Democratic Party have not been shy in expressing their distress about Trump, or in making fun of his many foibles. But the rush to denigrate Trump entirely misses the point. He's an agent of destruction, and the more chaotic and destructive the better. 

Yes, this is a tantrum in response to Democratic malfeasance, not a sensible public policy solultion, but as one Australian observed "You Yanks don't consult the wisdom of democracy; you enable mobs." Americans are emotional about their politics. 

What are people dissatisfied with? First, Trump is the anti-Obama in just about every respect. What's wrong with Obama? Not only did he not prosecute the war crimes of Bush/Cheney, he almost entirely ignored what is arguably the largest theft in human history--the "Global Financial Crisis" (the GFC is the subprime/derivatives meltdown). 

Local Democratic loyalist Phil Angiledes conducted hearings about the GFC and even he expressed surprise at how little the Obama administration did. When Reagan/Bush 41 encountered what was then the largest bank scandal in US history--the Savings & Loans--their regulators reacted. They filed 30,000+ referrals for criminal prosecutions, and prosecuted 1200+ cases with a 90% conviction rate. They got big fish, too--Mike Milken and Charles Keating among them. 

The GFC was 70 times larger than the Savings & Loans. So..how many referrals for criminal prosecution from the Obama regulators? Zero!

The GFC included 8 - 10 million fraudulent loan foreclosures that tanked the economy. Obama's response was to bail out Wall Street with the Federal Reserve extending, by its own audit's estimate, $16 - $29 trillion in credit to the same financial sector that crashed the economy. For only $9 trillion the Fed could have paid off everyone's mortgage. 

No one went to jail, no one had to repay their bonuses. The typical story was the malefactor paid a fine that was dimes on the dollar of their loot. This is why ordinary people in Frank Luntz's focus groups during the Obama administration wept with anger and frustration--reportedly the first time Luntz saw that.

You might also see this (something I'd never thought of before): Hypnotic suggestion.

Update: An Anthropologist suggests five reasons peoplel support Trump.

Sunday, September 15, 2024

Do Prisons Prevent Crime....really!? (the Comments edition)

 (c) by Mark Dempsey

A previously published editorial of mine got some comments that are startling, if only because one commenter who read the article, simply did not comprehend the argument. It made no difference in his thinking.

Here are some comments:


Keith Olsen says:
September 14, 2024 at 8:03 am


“DO PRISONS PREVENT CRIME?”

Short answer is YES,
Think of all the crimes that don’t get committed because people don’t want to end up in prisons.

---

Another commenter answered Keith:

 Adam Eran says:
September 15, 2024 at 3:19 pm Keith, you’re under the impression that fear is the sole human motivation. It’s a powerful one, I’ll grant you, but hardly the only one. The lower crime rates that accompany lower incarceration rates in France and Canada are evidence to the contrary. There’s not nearly as much incarceration, yet crime is lower than the seven-times-higher incarceration US. How is that possible? The studies that find crime diminishes when people are treated better also contradict your conclusion. One example not mentioned in the article: the Swiss legalized opiates, including heroin, distributing the drug at reasonable prices from (legal) clinics. Crime declined 85% around the clinics. So both fear (being busted for opiates) and crime diminished. There are too many examples like this to take your hasty conclusion seriously.

Friday, September 13, 2024

The Ridiculous Retirement Crisis

Re the 9/11/24 Sacramento Bee Op Ed title: Why aren't we talking about America's retirement crisis*
© Mark Dempsey

What’s the retirement crisis? Why we’re running out of money! And everyone knows dollars grow on billionaires. That’s why a country that makes its own currency must borrow from its population! Don’t you know this? Okay, sarcasm doesn’t become me, but you get the point. All of the hand wringing about Social Security running out of money is baloney…heck, it’s baloney squared.

We don’t even print most dollars any more–they exist as electronic entries in the Federal Reserve’s computers. The Fed (for short) is the US central bank, and to make a dollar, a technician sits at a special computer terminal and types a “one.” He’s just made a dollar. Add three zeros, and he’s made a thousand, three more zeros and he’s made a million… et cetera. We’ll run out of dollars when the Bureau of Weights and Measures runs out of inches. Never. I’m not saying we need to make infinite dollars, but worrying about running out is ridiculous.

The worry that Social Security taxes (FICA) won’t keep up with the demand for Social Security payouts is equally baloney. The government is the only fiscally unconstrained player in the economy. It would be like a household, if households made dollars….but they don’t. Taxes create the demand for dollars, they do not supply the creator of dollars with dollars it needs. (See former Fed governor Beardsley Ruml’s paper “Taxes for Revenue are Obsolete” … from 1945)

The Bee's editorial talks as though national “debt” is a problem we have to solve by cutting those programs–a talking point that originates with a fundamental misunderstanding of double-entry bookkeeping. Your mortgage may be your liability, but to the people collecting the payments, it’s an asset. Your bank account is your asset, but the bank’s liability. You could march down to the bank and demand it reduce its debt, but all they would do is reduce the size of your account. Not very sensible.

National “debt” includes the dollars in your wallet. They are “Federal Reserve Notes” (“note” is legalese for an IOU). Andrew Jackson’s administration eliminated national debt entirely in 1835. That meant there was no public currency. People did their business with specie (monetized gold) and over 7,000 varieties of private bank notes, of varying reliability. It was a nightmare. After people’s savings got sucked out of the economy, there was a massive wave of asset forfeitures and foreclosures called the Panic of 1837. In fact, whenever there’s been a significant reduction of national debt the economy tanks…100% of the time following such fits of “fiscal responsibility™.”

Why aren’t we talking about America’s retirement crisis? Because it’s as real as the monster under the bed…useful to scare the children, but certainly not real.

*(authors: Christopher D. Cook is a senior writer at the New School for Social Research. Teresa Ghilarducci is professor of economics and director of the Schwartz Center for Economic Policy Analysis at the New School, and author of "Work, Retire, Repeat.")


Update: The British debunk of the same American false anxiety:



Sunday, September 8, 2024

Do Prisons Prevent Crime?

(c) by Mark Dempsey

I've said it before, but people are very easy to influence, particularly with the stories we tell ourselves, via Hollywood. These stories include crime dramas, police procedurals, detective stories, and courtroom dramas. Solving the crime typically drives the plot, and the bad guys perish, or are appropriately punished roughly 90% of the time. Is there any murder plot so complex Perry Mason can't solve it? I don't think so!

In real life, the police and courts solve far fewer crimes--13% in California in 2022 (says the Center on Juvenile and Criminal Justice here).

Meanwhile, Hollywood's stories have an effect. Between 1982 and 2017 the US population increased 42%, while spending on policing increased 187%.  The influence also appears in US prison spending. With five percent of the world’s population, the US has 25% of its prisoners–five times the world’s per-capita average incarceration rate, seven times Canada’s or France’s rates, per-capita. Is Canadian or French crime worse than US crime? No, it's a little lower.

What’s different in Canadian and French societies that lets them incarcerate at one-seventh the US rate? For one thing, the US has more than a half million medical bankruptcies annually. Canada and France have none. 

Could bankruptcy drive people to consider desperate solutions like crime? Could treating people better rather than driving them to bankruptcy for health problems have an influence on crime rates? Never mind Canada and France, there are several studies (here [pdf], and here, etc.) that demonstrate treating poor people better lowers crime rates.

Yet the US continues to believe desperation cures crime, not treating people well. The impulse to punish more has local support, too. Rather than house the homeless, open local health clinics, or experiment with basic income guarantees for the poor, the Sacramento County Board of Supervisors has voted to spend nearly a billion dollars enlarging the County jail.

In fairness to the County, the current jail is full, but 60 - 80% of the prisoners are convicted of nothing but being unable to afford bail. They're doubly poor too, because they'll lose whatever job they might have had if they await trial in jail. 

The County avoids any discussion of supervised release, or no-cash bail. Opponents of this kinder approach might cite a neighboring (Yolo) County that had a less-than-optimum experience (more crimes, and more recidivism) when they released inmates during COVID times.

Yet Washington D.C. and the state of Illinois have adopted no-cash bail for select offenses. In fact one headline from Illinois--“Nearly 8 months into Illinois' new era without cash bail, experts say recidivism and jail populations are trending lower”--suggests there are ways to successfully do this.

There are also ways to sabotage kinder programs. Oregon attempted to decriminalize drugs, then repealed that measure as a failure. They tried to get police to offer the alternative–rehab–with tickets. The addicts were not impressed, to say the least, and police didn’t handle addicts’ defiance well. 

Meanwhile, incarceration is seven times more expensive than medical treatment for addiction (rehab), and has a lower success rate. One study says: “if 40 percent of offenders receive rehab vs. incarceration, it saves the system $13 billion. Choosing drug treatment leads to fewer crimes, lower addiction rates, and saves society money.”. Other countries--Portugal and Switzerland among others--have successfully decriminalized drugs.

I’d suggest our addiction to incarceration is as bad an addiction as any drug. To start to address this, perhaps what’s needed, besides a change of heart, is something like tobacco's warning labels for crime shows. Here are a few:

Warning:This show might lead you to believe police solve all crimes. They don't even solve half.

Warning: Believing abuse cures criminal behavior is worse than believing in the tooth fairy and Santa Claus.

Warning: Believing punishment cures criminal behavior is expensive an ineffective.



Sunday, September 1, 2024

The cartel responsible for the explosion in homelessness and homeless people dying

This is a discussion of the homelessness (and homeless deaths) that are a product of rent hikes, and the collusion that has produced those hikes. The conclusion (from here):

As Matthew Fowle with the University of Pennsylvania Housing Initiative and co-author of the February study showing the skyrocketing death rate of homeless Americans put it:

“It’s unlike any other mortality trend that we really see in demography. It’s comparable to something like a natural disaster or war.”


That’s probably because it’s a class war, and there’s no shortage of war criminals.

Accompanying video: