Saturday, February 14, 2026

MMT Founder's comments (via AI) about China's economic approach

From Warren Mosler:
How about [MMT] in China?

Copilot said

China is a fascinating case because it hasn’t adopted Modern Monetary Theory in name, but many of its long‑standing institutional practices align closely with MMT’s descriptive claims. The influence is indirect, but real — and increasingly visible in China’s internal policy debates.
China’s relationship to MMT: not ideological, but structural

Several features of China’s system naturally resemble MMT’s description of a currency‑issuing government:

1. Central bank–fiscal integration is normal, not taboo

China’s People’s Bank of China (PBOC) routinely supports government-directed credit creation and liquidity management. One analysis argues that China effectively uses MMT‑consistent mechanisms by allowing the central bank to absorb or backstop local government debt, injecting liquidity without triggering destabilizing inflation Millbrook School.
 
2. China’s policy debates explicitly reference MMT

As China expanded fiscal deficits to record levels in recent years, economists inside the system split into “hawks” and “doves.” The doves increasingly cite MMT to justify higher deficit spending as safe and necessary for growth and employment, while hawks invoke Ray Dalio’s warnings about debt cycles to argue the opposite chinabankingnews.com.

This is one of the clearest examples globally of MMT entering elite policy discourse—even if only as a reference point in internal debates.
 
3. China’s historical practice resembles functional finance

From the 1940s through the early reform era, the PBOC acted as a direct fiscal agent—essentially financing government spending. Analysts note that if China were to “turn to MMT,” it would be less a revolution and more a return to earlier institutional norms, especially during periods of job‑creation priority and countercyclical stimulus anz.com.

4. China’s monetary framework differs from Western orthodoxy

China still relies heavily on quantity‑based tools (reserve requirements, credit quotas) rather than pure interest‑rate targeting. This structure makes fiscal‑monetary coordination more explicit and more aligned with MMT’s view that monetary policy is not meaningfully independent in a sovereign currency system Reserve Bank of Australia.

 So has MMT changed economics in China?

Where MMT has influence

  • It provides intellectual ammunition for pro‑stimulus economists inside China.
  • It helps frame arguments for higher deficits during downturns.
  • It validates China’s long‑standing practice of using state-controlled finance to pursue real‑resource goals (employment, infrastructure, industrial policy).

 Where MMT has not changed China

China does not identify its framework as MMT.

  • The PBOC does not adopt MMT language or policy prescriptions like a Job Guarantee.
  • China’s constraints are political and institutional, not theoretical — the leadership prioritizes stability, not doctrinal shifts.

The bottom line

China hasn’t “adopted” MMT, but MMT has become part of the vocabulary in China’s internal debates about deficits and growth. More importantly, China’s actual monetary‑fiscal architecture already embodies many of the operational realities MMT describes. In that sense, China is one of the clearest real‑world examples of MMT‑consistent practice — even if it never uses the label.

If you want, we can compare China’s system to Japan’s or the U.S.’s to see where MMT‑style operations diverge or converge.

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MMT Founder's comments (via AI) about China's economic approach

From Warren Mosler: How about [MMT] in China? Copilot said China is a fascinating case because it hasn’t adopted Modern Monetary Theory in ...