Tuesday, October 28, 2025

The Present Political State of Play + Artificial Intelligence

 (c) by Mark Dempsey

In an interview with Charlie Sheen, Hollywood's bad boy, he describes an encounter with Donald Trump. He was with his fiancee in a restaurant when Trump visited to his table. Trump apologized for being unable to attend the wedding, sheepishly admitting he hadn't even got them a gift. Sheen told Trump that was okay, while thinking "Well, you weren't invited, so..."

Flush with inspiration, Trump says he's going to give Sheen his "Harry Winston, platinum, diamond" cufflinks, which Sheen accepts before they part company.

A few years later Sheen is having some jewelry appraised for the sake of his insurance and he asks the appraiser to take a look at the cufflinks. "They're pewter and cubic zirconia," says the appraiser. 

So...Trump is a con man through and through. Many voters were taken in, but others recognized that the system left them by the Obama administration was worth wrecking, regardless of Trump's lies and incompetence, so they sent a wrecking ball to Washington. 

One of the best analyses of the problems that led to Trump comes from Rob Urie...here.

 Excerpts: 

"For those who may have forgotten, the (Barack) Obama administration was warned when it shifted the judiciary function for capital cases abroad to the White House that doing so would come back to bite the Democrats. While Democrats trusted Mr. Obama to adjudicate fairly and only kill (as a King would) those who were deserving, few others in the world did. To now complain that too much power is concentrated in the Executive Branch would be rich if Democrats had any knowledge of what I am referring to.

"It is the Democrat’s inability to self-reflect— a product of their near-complete ignorance of the policies that they claim to support, that makes them so repellant to so many. While the following was as true of George W. Bush’s supporters as it is with today’s Democrats, those most supportive of the party know the least about its actual policies. Barack Obama’s economic policies, in particular his bailouts of Wall Street, were amongst the most socially destructive acts in modern American history....."

To connect this to AI:

"In terms of AI being naively brilliant, this refers to its deference to social logic rather than possessing analytical methods that it then applies to the underlying questions of interest on its own. Philosophically inclined readers will recognize the reach of philosophical Postmodernism here. The realm of AI is social, not physical. AI ‘trains’ on texts that reflect human interpretation of facts, not on the underlying facts themselves. This is, in fact, an implied restatement of the postmodern conceit that scientific knowledge is ‘socially constructed.’" 

Saturday, October 25, 2025

American doctor goes over how Barack Obama destroyed American Healthcare

 

A Review of Biden Press Secretary Karine Jean-Pierre's book

Jean-Pierre was Biden's press secretary, and her book, Independent, a Look Inside a Broken White House Outside the Party lines , is an ode to failed Democratic Party ideas from which she's trying to distance herself by repeating. The full review is here. Excerpts: 
'Jean-Pierre is revealingly blinkered. She may represent the future of the Democratic Party, despite her notional disavowal of it. Like many younger Democrats, she came of age in the in-this-house era and made her name by embracing its symbolism and sensibility. Now, she has perhaps been advised by a team of pollsters and PR professionals to distance herself from a party that is rapidly hemorrhaging appeal and support. Yet, like her colleagues in the halls of Congress, she appears to have little authentic understanding of why her erstwhile party’s approval rating has cratered. The approach she opts for in this book — loudly declaring herself an independent in a futile effort to cleanse herself of the taint of her party, all while espousing the same old worldview in the same old tired tone — is one that will surely tempt many of her peers. The silver lining is that she has provided an object lesson in exactly what not to do. The question is whether the Democrats are capable of learning from her example.

"Jean-Pierre’s central complaint boils down, more or less, to a vague sense of personal grievance. The Democrats were mean to Biden, her boss; they were mean to her personally, as she outlines in a lengthy diatribe against fellow staffers who leaked unflattering information about her to Politico; and they were mean to Harris, whom they refused to anoint as the nominee without a fight. Jean-Pierre sums up her complaints when she writes that she’s “exasperated with the shady way Democrats do business” — but not, we may presume, with the business itself." 

Friday, October 24, 2025

The State of American "Justice" (A Musical Tribute to Houston's Harris County Jail)

 

 

Mostly true of the Sacramento County Jail, too. Sixty to eighty percent of the Sacramento County Jail prisoners aren't convicted of anything except being too poor to afford bail. In Sacramento County, you're not "innocent until proven guilty," you're "guilty until proven wealthy."

Wednesday, October 22, 2025

The triumph of classical economics

 Classical economics proposed the law of declining profits. In a totally free market with plenty of competition and low barriers to entry, firms will lower prices, lowering profits until they barely make enough to survive. Naturally, US firms do everything possible to avoid this, lobbying for regulatory barriers to entry, buying competitors, making monopolies and oligopolies. The Chinese have apparently figured this out, as this tweet discloses:





...which leads to a comment about the current business model of tech:

Tuesday, October 21, 2025

The Obama Legacy

 



Amen, Brother Sirota. Without this recognition, Trump voters are just ignorant bigots to be shunned. With it, their anger is understandable...not that anger makes for clearer thinking or better outcomes. Still, there's no more effective way to divide (and rule) the population than lording the innocence of the Democrats over Trump's "wrecking ball" presidency.

Monday, October 20, 2025

Why the left always loses (it's the money, honey)

I came across this article in the Sheerpost blog. It contains a handy history of New York City's financial troubles in the '70s. Wall Street's refusal to market or buy its municipal bonds sunk many of the admirable programs it offered, including free college tuition at NYU. It's another case of the perverse "golden rule." (Whoever has the gold makes the rules.)

The city's administration also appealed to the federal government to give them bridge loans until they could finance their debt, The Ford administration refused, inspiring the famous "Ford to City: Drop Dead" headline.

To me this is yet another reminder that public financing and public banking is an absolute necessity, otherwise, even noble efforts like Mamdani's agenda will be impossible to implement. This impossibility would make progressive candidates into liars unless they construct a workaround like public banking.

One follow-up: Because City was strapped for cash, it had to sell land it had set aside for affordable housing to a developer eager to cash in on the distress: Donald Trump. Naturally he built high-end housing, not the affordable stuff. Gee, I wonder why real estate is so expensive in NYC! 

The Biggest Threat to Mamdani’s Agenda Isn’t Hochul or Trump — It’s Wall Street

October 20, 2025

 

Zohran Mamdani at the Resist Fascism Rally in Bryant Park on Oct 27th 2024 (by Bingjiefu He) | Wikimedia Commons

By Michael Beyea Reagan / Truthout

If polls are to be believed, Zohran Mamdani is likely to win the mayoralty of New York City this November. An October 9 Quinnipiac University survey taken after Mayor Eric Adams dropped from the race shows Mamdani is up 13 points over his nearest competitor, disgraced former Gov. Andrew Cuomo.

Despite his youth and executive inexperience, Mamdani has all the advantages — a better ground game with tens of thousands of volunteers, a better social media campaign driven by young activists with an irreverent style, more favorable national and international media coverage, as much as four times more campaign cash on hand than Cuomo, a spate of high-profile endorsements (although not the leading officials of his own party), and other strengths.

Yet despite these electoral advantages, the deck is stacked against Mamdani’s administration. This is because the political coalition necessary to govern is quite different from that which can get him elected.

If Mamdani wins in November it will demonstrate that progressive Democrats, running within the party, can win elections based on popular working class reforms — that is, if they aren’t thwarted by their own party leadership.

In the post-World War II period, this was a winning strategy. New York had a highly developed social welfare state, once considered the closest U.S. example of Scandinavian-style social democracy.

Between 1945 and 1975, New York had free public higher education and a free municipal hospital system, spent billions on public and cooperative housing, initiated rent control and job training programs, expanded welfare payments, and, famously, subsidized the transit fare, which stayed at just five cents for the first 40 years of the MTA’s existence.

This “social welfare” economy of NYC came crashing down with a punch delivered by Wall Street in the 1970s. The 1975 fiscal crisis was the result of a collapsing municipal bond market and a severe economic depression. The city lost a whopping 500,000 manufacturing jobs between 1969 and 1975 as North American manufacturers moved plants out of cities and eventually out of the country. Both the depression and the market collapse were the result of actions by the “masters of the universe,” the Wall Street investors whose funds flowed to overseas investments rather than supporting domestic industry and the cities where they were rooted.

New York was caught in this neoliberal slurry. With a declining economy, it couldn’t pay its bills. And with the municipal bond market in free fall, it couldn’t get access to credit to help it bridge the down years.

This is where Wall Street’s punch came in. The punch was a “capital strike” in which major banks refused to issue New York City bonds until the municipal government cut social programs to the satisfaction of financiers. Welfare programs, public schools, drug treatment centers, senior centers, and even police and fire stations all got the axe. The City University of New York (CUNY) imposed tuition for the first time in its 130-year history. Sydenham hospital in Harlem was shuttered. By some estimates, as many as 60,000 municipal workers lost their jobs.

With NYC municipal bonds locked out of the credit markets, Gov. Hugh Carey and Mayor Abraham Beame turned to the federal government for short-term aid. But a new Republican president, Gerald Ford, and his phalanx of neoliberal economists — most prominently Alan Greenspan (chair of the Council of Economic Advisors) and others like Treasury Secretary William Simon and the infamous Donald Rumsfeld (then chief of staff) — refused the city bridge loans. In fact, at a closed-door White House meeting where the Ford administration debated funding New York, Rumsfeld urged the president to tell the city, “Not just ‘no,’ but ‘hell no.’”

That attitude, to let the people of New York City dangle, or “drop dead” as suggested by a headline in the New York Daily News, was shared by the banks and the federal administration. So-called fiscal responsibility has been the bugaboo of social reform ever since.

In 2025, for Zohran Mamdani, these conditions remain largely unchanged — especially one: Wall Street’s stranglehold on city finances. With private financing necessary for public programs, the private sector has the ultimate veto over social policy. It can simply close the purse.

For his part, Mamdani has promised to pay for these programs through tax increases at the state and city level. His programs will add an estimated $7 billion to the city’s $116 billion annual budget. And he says he will pay for them through a series of progressive taxes that would increase income tax rates for those earning over $1 million a year and increase the state’s corporate tax rate to match that of New Jersey — 11.5 percent.

Indeed, this is how city finances were managed through the golden age of post-war growth, imposing a municipal income tax in the late 1960s, as well as maintaining a stock transfer tax and other progressive business taxes.

To get his taxes, Mamdani will have to go through Albany. The Democratic governor of New York, Kathy Hochul, has promised to block any tax increase meant to fund social programs. New York businesses and bourgeoisie are also threatening not a capital strike, but capital flight — to leave the city if Mamdani is able to increase taxes.

In short, the economic and political structures that brought an end to New York’s experiments in social democracy in the 1970s are still in place. First, the structure of the federal system makes changes at the local level very difficult. With necessary changes to improve city finances having to pass through Albany or Washington, it can be virtually impossible to develop and finance the social welfare structures that working people desperately need in the city. This is even more difficult with neoliberal and far right politicians, Hochul and Trump, holding state and federal positions.

But there is a deeper problem. When public programs are financed through the private sector, banks hold the ultimate veto power. This is what happened in the fiscal crisis of 1975, when Wall Street locked the city out of the credit market and forced New York to make cuts to the satisfaction of the banking sector. And this had happened before, in 1933, at the height of the Great Depression, when the “bankers’ agreement” closed credit markets on the city and forced austerity on municipal spending. This is the structural veto that Wall Street holds over our very democracy.

This is not to say that these obstacles are insurmountable, or that the hope of progressive reforms can never be achieved in the U.S., or at least in New York City. Indeed, Mamdani may be savvy enough, may have the popular support he needs, may benefit from an organized working population that can force through these reforms and the financing necessary to pay for them.

It is to say, however, that in a capitalist democracy, capital holds all the cards. Electing a single, lone, progressive politician is not enough to discipline the rich to pay for what all we need. That necessitates power. We would need mass movements that can threaten much bigger disruptions unless the rich capitulate. As we’ve seen with the Obama, Sanders, and other campaigns, translating an electoral coalition into a political force with popular power to govern is not always possible.

To do so would require amassing power outside of elected office, a power that can overcome the structural power of the banks and the investment class. Indeed, popular movements are always necessary to force elected officials, even ones as earnest as Zohran Mamdani, not to compromise on their promises. And there is indication that Mamdani may already be planning to do exactly that.

This kind of popular power is possible. After all, during the New Deal, the business class was chastened enough to allow the passage of major, humane, social reforms — to the benefit of working people. With the Trump administration’s assaults on the New Deal “administrative state,” that cycle seems to have run its course.

What comes next is anyone’s guess, and if Mamdani is elected, his victory would bode well for what progressives can achieve. But his plans will get nowhere without disruptive popular movements forcing these changes on the rich. At best, this will get us a sort of new, new deal — but with an old deck. This is good, but not enough. Perhaps, with movement organization and institutions of popular power, we can get to a place where it’s possible to imagine a new deck entirely, not just a new deal. And one day, we may be able to flip the table and drive the moneychangers from the people’s temple altogether.

The Rectification of Names

  Urinal cakes are cakes. It's literally the name of the product Democratic People's Republic of Korea is a Democratic Republic. It...