Wednesday, December 29, 2021

Thom Hartmann nails it

 in Why Don't They Want Us to Look Up? (a review of the political allegory Don't Look Up on Netflix)

 Excerpt: "'Small government' freaks don’t want you to look up at how trust in our government has fallen from over 80% in the 1960s to fewer than 30% today, or how that’s the direct result of Reagan’s 'government is not the solution to your problems, it is the problem' hustle that led to Trumpism and is today tearing America apart.

Republican governors don’t want their citizens to look up at how they continue to use racist tropes and dog-whistle appeals to frighten and thus hang onto a majority of the white vote.

Those governors and legislators don’t want you to look up at how they’re rewriting history and threatening teachers, passing laws that either outright ban teaching the actual history of race relations, slavery, and the Civil War, or, as in Florida, empower parents to sue teachers who mention a word about race."

Meanwhile: Biden’s Agenda Is on Its Death Bed Because the Interests of the Rich and Poor Are Irreconcilable — Branko Marcetic ...which, if true, means that the vast majority of the population (i.e. those poorer than the billionaires) will continue to receive a constant stream of news-like sludge that is essentially deceptive.

The problem with lies is not only that they're unethical, it's that they tend to deceive even the liars. So...a country of the deluded led by the deluded is what to expect. Why else would a transparent phony like Trump be hailed as a savior when he called out fake news?

Tuesday, December 28, 2021

Is crime on the rise?

...because of the librulz?


As an NBC report puts it, “The numbers tell one story, but recent messaging from the Los Angeles Police Department appears to be telling another.”


In short, “Robbery, burglary and theft are down in Los Angeles compared to 2019, according to the latest crime data from the police department.”

(Originally seen in the Davis Vanguard)

 

Thursday, December 23, 2021

Monday, December 13, 2021

Quotes about Religion / Politics

I do not feel obliged to believe that the same God who has endowed us with sense, reason, and intellect has intended us to forgo their use. Galileo Galilei

Religion is what keeps the poor from murdering the rich. Napoleon Bonaparte

Science can purify religion from error and superstition. Religion can purify science from idolatry and false absolutes. Pope John Paul II

The World is my country, all mankind are my brethren, and to do good is my religion. Thomas Paine

This is my simple religion. There is no need for temples; no need for complicated philosophy. Our own brain, our own heart is our temple; the philosophy is kindness. Dalai Lama

The God who existed before any religion counts on you to make the oneness of the human family known and celebrated. Desmond Tutu

We must seek the loving-kindness of God in all the breadth and open-air of common life. George A. Smith

Disturbances in society are never more fearful than when those who are stirring up the trouble can use the pretext of religion to mask their true designs. Denis Diderot

When we blindly adopt a religion, a political system, a literary dogma, we become automatons. We cease to grow. Anais Nin

Religion is at its best when it is a long way from political power .... The founders of the Christian religion … Jesus and St. Paul -- were both clear about this. "Blessed are the meek." "You shall love your neighbor as yourself."

St. Paul is perfectly clear that the highest Christian virtue is charity, not patriotism, not martial valor, not exalting your class, your group, your race above others, but charity ... When politics remembers that and acts accordingly, it does good.

But religion, at various points in human history … has acquired political power, and put its hands on the levers of social authority. It decides who shall live and who shall die. It decides how we shall dress, what we shall be allowed to read, whether we shall go to war, and so on.

In an age when nations and individuals routinely exchange murder for murder, when the healing grace of authentic spirituality is usurped by the divisive politics of religious organizations, and when broken hearts bleed pain in darkness without the relief of compassion, the voice of an exceptional poet producing exceptional work is not something the world can afford to dismiss. Aberjani

In Healing imagery, the goal becomes one of "getting along" better by being nicer and more tolerant toward one another, forgiving and forgetting, living in more authentic ways. … this goal ignores the fact that a lot of the trouble ... is embedded in structures of power and inequality that shape almost every aspect of life in this society, from economics to politics to religion to schools and the family. The idea that we’re going to get out of this by somehow getting to a place where we’re kinder and more sensitive to one another … sets us up to walk right past the trouble toward an alternative that doesn’t exist and can’t exist until we do something about what creates privilege and oppression in the first place. And that is something that needs to be changed, not healed.

I am willing to contribute for a grand tombstone for Political Correctness (PC). … It has stifled frank exchange of ideas and has made debates one-sided and pre-concluded. It has given strength to ideas which cannot defend themselves in an open debate. PC … is disastrous in public space as it makes that public space an oxymoron by making it restricted to only the "acceptable". Democracy is about competitive ideas and PC is undemocratic as it discounts the possibility of a level playing field. All growth of ideas is through cross fertilization and PC leads to degeneration of ideas by restricting the process to inbreeding. Only those who use weakness as leverage to gain advantage without effort or have a hidden agenda will root for PC. It is the tool of the lazy and the devious. R. N. Prasher

Genuine politics -- every politics worthy of the name -- the only politics I am willing to devote myself to -- is simply a matter of serving those around us: serving the community and serving those who will come after us. Its deepest roots are moral because it is a responsibility expressed through action, to and for the whole. Vaclav Havel

A politician is a fellow who will lay down “your life” for his country. Texas Guinan

Whenever you find yourself on the side if the majority, it is time to pause and reflect. Mark Twain

I claim that the human mind or human society is not divided into water tight compartments called social, political and religious. All act and react upon each other. Mohandas K. Gandhi

Democracy is also a form of worship. It is the worship of Jackals by Jackasses. H. L. Mencken

Those who are too smart to engage in politics are punished by being governed by those who are dumber. Plato Mankind will never see an end of trouble until ... lovers of wisdom come to hold political power, or the holders of power ... become lovers of wisdom. Plato

Sunday, December 5, 2021

Just Enforcing Immigration Law

 (c) by Mark Dempsey

The movement to cage, and deport immigrants is a handy--and bipartisan--one for demagogues of all stripes. Obama built the infrastructure to cage and separate families, and tripled the deportations of his predecessor. Trump amped up the rhetoric, but maintained similar, if more obviously repugnant policies in handling the undocumented.

To cheer this treatment on, many people say "Just enforce the law!" when it comes to the undocumented.

The trouble with the "Just enforce the law!" crowd is twofold. First, it treats law--a product of all-too-human deliberation--as though it arrived on stone tablets engraved by lightning. Second, it ignores all the context. 

What context? Between 1798 and 1994, the U.S. is responsible for 41 changes of government south of its borders. Our southern neighbors have been on the receiving end of a variety of political and military attacks that create a constant stream of refugees coming north. Isabel Allende, niece of the CIA-deposed Chilean president, lives in Marin County. 

You may also remember the "Iran/Contra" affair, when the Reagan administration sold classified arms to Iran's Ayatollahs who had just released our embassy hostages, then used the money to fund a proxy war against the elected government of Nicaragua. Reagan famously asked the Mexican president to endorse his contention that one of the poorest nations in the hemisphere (Nicaragua) was a threat to the U.S. His Mexican counterpart replied he'd be happy to go along with his good friend Ronald if there was any way he could do it without being laughed out of office.

In addition to military and political attacks, the U.S. has been actively attacking the economies of its southern neighbors. One might imagine that shipping a lot of subsidized Iowa corn down south would impair the income of Mexico's corn farmers. The NAFTA treaty even provided compensation for the big farmers.

Corn is only arguably the most important food crop in the world, and the little subsistence corn farmers in Mexico were growing those obscure varieties that kept the disease-resistance and diversity of the corn genome alive...but they weren't making any money for Monsanto, so screw 'em.

In the wake of NAFTA, Mexican real income declined 34% (Source: Ravi Batra Greenspan’s Fraud). One has to return to the halcyon days of the Great Depression to find a decline like that in U.S. incomes. And that sparked no great migration...oh wait! The Okies!

So persecuting these political, military and economic refugees is simply morally repugnant. The persecution and pressure on our southern neighbors to produce refugees is bipartisan, too. Reporters asked the CIA-deposed former president of Bolivia, Evo Morales, if he could detect a difference between the Obama and Trump policies toward his country. His answer: "No."

The shameful treatment of these people in their native land (where most would like to return) and in the U.S. apparantlly makes good politics, though. Since they are voiceless, in effect, they are scapegoats for all that ails us. We should not be handing them over to ICE. We should be begging their forgiveness.

Monday, November 29, 2021

Climate and the US Military: Why it is both so simple and so hard to change our ways

(c) by Mark Dempsey 

Congress just approved a bigger military budget than the administration requested. Politico reports "Lawmakers approved the National Defense Authorization Act in a 316-113 [64% - 36%] vote with broad support from Democrats and Republicans as momentum builds on Capitol Hill to add upwards of $25 billion to Biden's defense proposal." [9/23/21]

Does the military have a climate impact? "the military remains the single largest consumer of fossil fuels on the planet, according to the Union of Concerned Scientists." [Sep 13, 2019] "The U.S. Department of Defense has a larger annual carbon footprint than most countries on Earth, and it also is the single largest polluter on Earth. [Democracy Now Nov 9, 2021]

So...why does congress keep supporting, even augmenting, the military's environmental insensitivity?

The first answer is the all-too-human pursuit of safety without any limit. People can never have enough safety, justice...and even vengeance (with 5% of the world's population, the US has 25% of its prisoners). People have been taught believe the military provides safety, and incarceration "protects" the public. This is roughly like believing beating  children is the only effective way to raise them--misguided, at best, counterproductive at worst.

Economics provides the other answer: When lobbied by the Indivisible organization to reduce military spending, a Senator told constituents that his state (Maine) had 7,000 military-related jobs at a single ironworks there. He couldn't throw those people out of work. It would be politically impossible!

And those iron workers are just the tip of the carbon pollution iceberg. If our government seriously addressed the climate catastrophe barreling down the tracks toward us it would throw all the coal miners and oilfield workers out of work. Any policy that would effectively reduce carbon emissions would paint a target on the politicians who support it.

Speaking of jobs: "A study by the Political Economy Research Center at the University of Massachusetts found that military spending creates fewer jobs than almost any other form of government spending. It found that $1 billion invested in the military yields an average of 11,200 jobs, while the same amount invested in other areas yields: 26,700 jobs when invested in education; 17,200 in healthcare; 16,800 in the green economy; or 15,100 jobs in cash stimulus or welfare payments.

It is tragic that the only form of Keynesian stimulus that is uncontested in Washington is the least productive for Americans, as well as the most destructive for the other countries where the weapons are used. These irrational priorities seem to make no political sense for Democratic Members of Congress, whose grassroots voters would cut military spending by an average of $100 billion per year based on [a] Maryland poll." [From here]

So...all the progress toward a carbon tax or international agreements (G20 and COP26) to reduce carbon, or even moves to reduce the estimated trillions ($6 trillion in 2021, says the IMF) in petroleum subsidies will confront these facts of life. Any proposed change would cost lots of workers their jobs, and cost the companies who own the factories, drilling and minerals their investment--if that shift away from petroleum and coal is successful, never mind the losses suffered by the military-industrial complex if congress reduced their funding.

The Solution

The solution to these problems is actually simple. The governments who create their own money need to compensate the equipment owners, and fund a job guarantee for those displaced. They don't even need to raise taxes. Government already buys surplus soybeans and cheese. Why not buy surplus labor and recycle drilling/mining equipment? Is that such a stretch?

No higher taxes are necessary, either. If taxes provision federal programs, then where do taxpayers get those dollars they use to pay the taxes if government doesn't spend them first? It's not "tax & spend," it must be "spend first, then retrieve some dollars in taxes." Taxes create the demand for dollars; they don't fund government programs for currency creators.

"Where will all that money come from?" The same place it all comes from: sovereign, fiat money issuers create the money, virtually without cost, and their power to tax makes it valuable. Monetary sovereigns are fiscally unconstrained. 

And if you don't believe me, take a look at the Fed's actions in the wake of Lehman's bankruptcy in 2007-8. The Fed's own audit declares that it extended $16 - $29 trillion in credit to the same financial sector whose frauds crashed the economy. No taxes rose. No inflation occurred. Our central bank just extended the credit to save the banking system. Is it so hard to believe we could use a similar remedy for the climate catastrophe?

And what do we call the money spent, but not retrieved in taxes? Answer #1: the dollar financial assets of the population (their savings). Answer #2: National 'debt.' This is analogous to our bank accounts which are our assets, but to the bank, they are a liability (a debt). 

Another example of when the public sector issued money to deal with a problem: World War II. No one said "Sure, the Japanese bombed Pearl Harbor, but we're low on cash, so we won't respond." The government took over 50% of the economy then. 

To implement the Green New Deal, government would only have to take 5% of the economy. All we need to do is acknowledge that climate is as big an existential threat as war.

So...simple, right? 

What do you want to bet people will be skeptical about this? That's why Marshall McCluhan says "Only puny secrets need protection. Big discoveries are protected by public incredulity." We're attached to the answers we've been told, even if they're obviously misguided.

Saturday, November 27, 2021

Is All That News Really Fake?

(c) by Mark Dempsey

Recent coverage by alternative media reminds us that, while the recent "Build Back Better" infrastructure bill gets floor-to-ceiling coverage by the mainstream media, the pentagon got all it asked for and then some, without a peep that same media. 

In the U.S, five big corporations own more than 90% of US mainstream media. Italian media ownership is slightly less concentrated, but Sylvio Berlusconi is the sole owner there. When he was Italy's prime minister, he was able to elect parliaments so favorable that, in a demonstration of the power of the press, they excused him for crimes he had committed retroactively.  

That distortion in reporting supports politics as usual, and has very real consequences--the invasion of Iraq for one example. Yet that is not all. The distortion of our public policy encompasses even entertainment.

Think of the crime shows that are a large part of that entertainment, from Perry Mason, to Law & Order. Solving crimes appears to be the rule, not the exception. Yet, in the real world, most crime goes unsolved. One Republican senator from Alabama proclaimed that police solve less than 20% of crimes, so we need to incarcerate even more people, despite incarcerating at five times the world average per-capita rate. More recently, I've read west coast police solve 7% - 9% of crimes. 

This is why policemen say the most accurate police procedural is Barney Miller (a comedy). Hospital workers say the most accurate medical show is Scrubs (another comedy).

Not just news, but entertainment predisposes the population to believe that all cops are honest, all doctors know what they are doing, all problems take only 30 minutes to solve, and good boys and girls will always be rewarded. The reality is something different.

Reality is a constant reminder that the undeserving often prosper, crooks often go free, and humility is the real alternative to humiliation. 

Sunday, November 21, 2021

COVID and Ivermectin

 From comments in Nakedcapitalism.com (your mileage may vary):

IM Doc

There have been a few links on this site this week about ivermectin. Including a very well done discussion of the most important extant trials.

I would like to add a few things from my own experience about this drug. And where we are right now. In my area, we are again having what appears to be the early stages of yet another surge of COVID. This time, it is clearly involving many fully vaccinated and even boostered patients. And they are very ill. This is not a joke. In these patients, the vaccines have clearly failed in their mission. Seeing the tide coming in, even Dr. Fauci had to admit as such this week.

We supposedly have the new Pfizer drug (more on that in a second) and we now have the monoclonal antibody therapy. Unfortunately, the supply of the Pfizer drug is non-existent. And we have very limited supplies of the antibody drug. That drug is reserved for only patients that are high-risk and already very ill. Just so you can understand the magnitude of this issue – 68% of the patients who received the antibodies this week in my area were fully vaccinated, many boostered (I do not have that exact %). The other 32% were the unvaccinated. Again – the vaccinated patients are now getting sick enough to be in the “high-risk” group to get antibodies.

I do not believe anyone anticipated we would be in this situation with a fairly significant majority of the population vaccinated – but here we are. And now because of the severe staffing shortages and other issues, it is very important to do all we can to keep people out of the hospital safely.

As I have stated repeatedly, my experience in previous surges with this infection have demonstrated to my own eyes that Ivermectin is very capable of doing this. That is pretty much the only area in which I use it – patients who are positive whether ill or not get started on it immediately in addition to all of their primary contacts. Despite the months of propaganda from MSNBC and the CDC ( don’t take the horse dewormer y’all) , I have yet to have a single person have one issue with this medication. The same cannot be said for the vaccines. However, as is the case in every single viral infection in human medicine, once people are sick enough to be in the hospital, almost nothing works well. One of the agents we have been using, remdesevir, seems to do absolutely nothing beneficial that I can tell and often damages the patients. To be brief at that point of hospital admission – it is 100% support. It is critical to deal with patients early and strong in their illness.

I will say again – I was a very young doctor in the AIDS crisis working in an inner city hospital surrounded by dying AIDS patients at every turn. A very similar story was playing out at the time – and I guess WISDOM is the ability to learn from the mistakes of the past and never let them fool you again.

Pneumocystis carinii – the scourge of AIDS before we had effective anti-virals is the agent that killed the vast majority of my patients back then. Often abbreviated PCP. It causes a severe pneumonia. This bug is most definitely NOT a bacteria. In the 1980s it was thought to be a protozoa like ameba – however now we consider it more like a fungus ( I am not going into that here – suffice it to say it is NOT a bacteria). Interestingly, there were all kinds of agents in the 80s and early 90s for this agent that were actually doing far more damage than good to people – IV and inhaled pentamidine is the most common. And this drug was making mountains of cash for Big Pharma. From the front lines, various docs across the country started using a very old patent-expired ANTI-BACTERIAL called BACTRIM. 2 cents a pill. This had been used for decades at the time mainly in the treatment of urine infections. And docs all over America noticed how well it was working for PCP. All anecdotal – but vigorously shared. We had all had one too many cardiac arrests with the pentamidine. Some papers here and there appeared. All minimal studies because that is all you could really do as a lone wolf at the time. But overwhelming efficacy and minimal safety issues were noted. And then Dr. Fauci sent out the wolves. He and others were very busy promoting vaccine research, and antivirals that were very toxic, and keeping the pentamidine money train going. I sat through one conference after another deriding the use of BACTRIM as a pee pill by NIH experts sent to quell the rebellion. “How dare you use a bacterial agent against this protozoan fungus – the drug is not even in the right class”. The ridicule coming from these people at times was overwhelming. All kinds of papers and statistical manipulation was belched forth to try to subvert the evildoers. But the drug actually worked. And the doctors using it noted it. And persisted. And over the next few years, despite the NIH, Bactrim became the drug of choice for PCP – and still is to this day. I have not written a prescription for pentamidine in decades. Not even sure they still make it.

Therefore, was born an innate skepticism of Big Pharma and indeed of Dr. Fauci, in an entire generation of young doctors in this country.

One huge difference back then is we did not have the odious presence of the pathological liar Rachel Maddow and the morons at the NYT to poison the medical discourse. We did not have Big Pharma owning our entire media landscape with their ad dollars ( that did not start until the mid 1990s hat tip to the assholes Newt Gingrich and Bill Clinton). We did not have facebook and twitter and youtube to censor anything that was said about bactrim or pentamidine. We had ourselves, our colleagues, our wits, and our experience and our intellect. It was a much better world.

Unlike so many on both sides of the ivermectin issue which appear to be religious zealots, I came by my usage of this drug by doing a deep dive into the actual science. I was initially quite skeptical. But reading the basic science and some of these clinical trials made me feel very comfortable in trying it. The safety profile is so good that using it in this kind of crisis would be unethical. I am not alone in that assumption. Despite what the talking heads say on TV, every medical ethics conference I have been to about this topic, EVERY SINGLE ONE, to this day continue to state it is UNETHICAL not to use it.

Earlier this year, I attended a few conferences where the pharmacodynamics were discussed and the clinical trials discussed. It was there I learned from a PharmD that I know and trust that Big Pharma was starting their anti viral trials for COVID. And the candidates he had seen HAD EXACTLY THE SAME COURSE OF EFFECT ON COVID AS THE BASIC MEDICINE TRIALS WERE TELLING US ABOUT IVERMECTIN. Let me say that again – at least some of the Big Pharma agents being evaluated had the exact same effect on COVID as Ivermectin. I could not believe that at the time. Because this research is proprietary, it was unavailable to be looked at. But I did share this with the COVID brain trust back then. But here we are – on the verge of having this released – and indeed – THE PFIZER DRUG INHIBITS EXACTLY THE SAME PROTEASE INHIBITOR AS IVERMECTIN. The only difference is that ivermectin seems to be active against multiple other parts of COVID that this new Pfizer drug does not touch.

And where do the American people get to learn this? From Rachel Maddow? Sean Hannity? Chris Cuomo? The Paper of Record the NYT? The New Yorker? – Our elected officials? NO TO ALL – We get to learn this from a retired nurse in Great Britain and a comedian in his garage studio – https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xROICA8Hr7I

Please note – the discussion that the nurse gives is the Cliffs note version of what I have been hearing for months. He makes it very easy to understand.

We are a corrupt and unserious nation. That includes my profession. They have managed to propagandize this issue for long enough now that the very word ivermectin is now radioactive. And just in time for the new 800 dollar a course Pfizer drug to hit the market – and there are others from other companies right behind them. Pigs feeding at the trough.

Where are the promised trials? I have been waiting all year. As a non-zealot, I would love to know one way or the other what the efficacy of ivermectin is……Will likely never know at this point. The cash register is just 2 steps away.

If you are high risk, get vaccinated. If you feel you are sick with COVID or are newly positive – get in touch with your doc. At my practice, we are now hitting it with all we have. I now have many patients demanding this approach. The Joe Rogan and Aaron Rodgers screeds from the MSM have done nothing but profoundly increase this desire. Antibodies if available. Ivermectin and fluvoxamine. And all the usual OTC. If you are vaccinated, do not assume there is a halo of protection – there most certainly is not. Continue to be diligent. Lose weight, sleep well, do all you can to decrease your stress level. Protect your vulnerable.

Reply 
  1. Carolinian

    Perhaps you can link to official sources that those of us could point our physician to should we unfortunately get Covid. I have no idea whether Ivermectin is allowed in my state but it would be helpful to at least have some ammunition to request a second opinion or access to someone who could write a prescription. I find your personal witness on this compelling but what are people to do when the medical establishment, or at least some of it, is trying to stymie a medication that is both legal and safe? Do patients have any right or say in the manner?

    Reply 
    1. Yves Smith

      The problem is physicians are receptive or they aren’t, so medical literature won’t persuade someone whose mind is made up. My MD was willing to prescribe me some initially but the anti-Ivermectin view is particularly strong in NYC so she’s backed off.

      Reply 
    2. Orca

      You can find information about (IVM) treatment protocols and obtain prescriptions at the Front Line COVID-19 Critical Care Alliance website (look for Quick Links) –

      https://covid19criticalcare.com/

      Dr. Pierre Kory, former Chief of the Critical Care Service and Medical Director of the Trauma and Life
      Support Center at the University of Wisconsin and a Master Educator, tweeted that his colleagues have prescribed hundreds of IVM treatments to congressional staff.

      Reply 

Wednesday, November 17, 2021

Single Payer Healthcare comes to California

The following is from Assemblyman Kalra, who is submitting the bill. It's refreshing to hear from someone interested in solving public policy problems rather than climbing some slippery pole to more political power.


I’m Ash Kalra – I represent California’s 27th district in the State Assembly – and I introduced A.B. 1400, California’s single-payer health care bill (also known as CalCare) in February of this year.

First, I want to say thank you to everyone reading this email. You are a crucial piece of the movement for guaranteed health care in California, and I’ve watched all of the incredible organizing happening across the state in awe.

Second, as we prepare for CalCare’s highly anticipated return to the legislature in January, I wanted to share with you all some updates including notes from my recent CalCare Policy Tour. A more detailed recap of my trip can be found here, which I hope you’ll read and share.

In order to bolster and publicize our effort to create the best health care system possible for Californians, I wanted to learn from our neighbors in other countries and build alliances with other states and leaders in D.C.

So in late October, I decided to hit the road. I met with Canadian health administrators and elected officials, New York single-payer activists and the lead author of the NY state single-payer bill, members of Congress in D.C., and Biden's Health and Human Services (HHS) Department.

Here’s a quick snapshot:

In Canada, I met with health care providers in Deep River (a rural town in Ontario) to learn how their single-payer health system delivers care to its residents and how the system provides incentives for providers to serve rural areas of Canada.

I also visited Toronto and Quebec City where I met with academics and government officials at the provincial and federal level. It was interesting to learn how each province runs their own unique health care system and financing mechanism with financial support from the federal government.



Asm. Ash Kalra meets with Canadian health care leaders

In New York, I met with-long time New York Assemblymember Dick Gottfried, often referred to as the “Godfather” of New York’s single-payer bills, to share the history and challenges faced with passing a single-payer health care bill despite Democratic majorities.

I also met with organizers and activists from the Campaign for New York Health to hear how people are working to pass the New York Health Act (NY’s version of CalCare).

In D.C, I met with California Senator Alex Padilla, a longtime proponent of single-payer, who was eager to hear the steps being undertaken in California. I also connected with key Congressional supporters of the Medicare for All movement, including Congresswoman Katie Porter and Congressman Ro Khanna.

Then I met with representatives from the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) to understand the steps for states considering federal waivers to capture federal funding for the purpose of a state-run single-payer health system. The main takeaway from the meeting was the reaffirmation that state legislative action is necessary first before a state can apply for federal waivers. That means it's crucial that we focus on passing AB 1400 through the state legislature.



Asm. Ash Kalra with Congresswoman Katie Porter

I know that the information gathered and relationships built during this tour help our movement as we continue to fight to pass single-payer health care in our state.

I’m feeling more energized and motivated than ever to bring single-payer health care to all Californians, and I’m so glad to be in this fight alongside all of you.

Please spread the word about this tour by sharing this blog post outlining the trip and what’s ahead.

Thank you for reading this far, and I look forward to working with you all soon as we ramp up for January.

With determination,

Assemblymember Ash Kalra
CA-27, San Jose

Inflation, the real story

from Naked Capitalism

“James K. Galbraith attributes the supply-chain problem in the US to a system that was built for efficiency, not resilience” [James K. Galbraith, Interest]. “None of these interpretations withstands scrutiny. The excess demand story fails on a glance. After all, there is no shortage of goods. Ships bearing the supply – 30 million tons of it – are sitting right now outside US ports, with more on the way. Nor have production prices risen by much. Most of the “inflation” so far has been in energy (driven partly by a rebound from the pandemic slump) and in used cars and trucks, previously produced goods that are in demand because of the semiconductor shortage affecting automakers. And no, that particular shortage is not the result of “excess demand,” either. During the pandemic, chipmakers predicted a bigger shift in the composition of demand – toward household gizmos and away from cars – than actually occurred. Now they have too much of one kind of chip and not enough of another. As for the “central planning” jibe, that is to be expected from certain circles. The implication is that all would be well if only the Biden administration had not been paying attention. Never mind that the extent of Biden’s intervention was merely to urge port managers to work “24/7” to get the boats unloaded – an idea that one assumes would have already crossed their minds. The point about “efficiency” gets closer to reality, except that the problem is not too little efficiency, but too much. To be precise, the extreme efficiency of today’s global supply chains is also their fatal flaw. Well-run ports are models of high throughput and low costs. They incorporate docks, railheads, truck bays, storage areas, and heavy-lifting equipment to suit the traffic they expect. Building capacity beyond a small margin of safety would be a waste. In normal times, any excess capacity sits idle, yielding no revenue while interest on the debt issued to build it still must be paid. Over time, efficient operators will minimize the excess and keep the docks and machinery they have humming away. The spectacular success of global supply chains – up until now – reflects the relentless operation of this principle…. A supply chain is an entire ecology, a biophysical entity. It requires all of its parts to function smoothly all of the time. Failures are not isolated to one segment, nor can they be fixed with a simple increase in prices or fees, or by some rapid change in techniques. Instead, they cascade through a system that was built in a specific way; a breakdown in one part can become a general one.”

 

In other words...cost-push, not demand-pull inflation is what we're witnessing. Also absent from conventional news coverage: how good it is to have the end of deflation.

Thursday, November 11, 2021

Sacramento County Jail Gets Sacramento Bee Coverage...almost. An Open Letter to the Bee's Marcos Breton

(c) by Mark Dempsey

Dear Mr. Breton,

Thanks for covering the Sacramento County Jail November 10. Based on your coverage, and the overall philosophy of American incarceration, I'd suggested this motto for our justice system: "The beatings will continue until morale improves."

You mentioned that Sacramento lost a lawsuit because it was mistreating prisoners, but omitted a few details.For example, crime, arrests and convictions have all been declining, yet, as you mention in your article, the jail remains full, sometimes beyond its initial design capacity. The Decarcerate Sacramento organization estimates 50% - 70% of the prisoners in the jail are not convicted of anything, they just can't afford bail. That's right, it's illegal to be poor in Sacramento County.

You also didn't mention that the US has 5% of the world's population, but 25% of its prisoners. That's five times the world's per-capita average, and more prisoners in absolute numbers or per capita than any other nation, apartheid South Africa, Cuba and the USSR included. 

Canada is demographically identical, but per capita has only one seventh the incarcerated of the US. So is Canadian crime worse than US crime? Nope. About the same.

California's voters have recently approved some propositions to counteract this draconian regime, but the fight against that sensible move has included lies from our sheriff, and opposition from Sacramento's own DA. San Francisco elected a District Attorney (Gascon) to implement those propositions, and now that DA faces a well-funded recall, in spite of the continued decline in crime.

The problem is as much with what happens outside prison as goes on inside, too. The Federal Reserve reports 40% of US population can't handle a $400 emergency without selling something or borrowing. And the loans--particularly payday loans, and even credit card loans--are at exorbitant rates.

The desperation of a population attacked by creditors, riddled with COVID, scraping by from paycheck to paycheck, plays out in the confrontations with police. I have friends who are policemen and women, and I'd like their jobs to be safer, with fewer encounters with desperate people.

But the beatings will continue until morale improves.

It used to be common sense to believe public assistance was a cheap way to purchase social peace. Now, a large portion of the population believes welfare recipients are cheats and frauds.

The politically popular remedy for our social ills has been to cut welfare and food stamps. Not only that, crushing unions, the defenders of labor, has been an ongoing project of our public policy makers. 

Frauds and cheats abound among the wealthy. Because of fraudulent loans, an estimated ten million homeowners lost their homes in the subprime/derivatives meltdown. Who got the bailout? Wall Street, not Main Street. None of those Wall Street criminals went to jail, instead they paid dimes on the dollar of their loot in fines.

Also politically popular: more policing. Between 1981 and 2017 the US experienced a 42% population increase. During that same period, funding for the police had a 187.5% increase.The beatings will continue...

George Santayana was right when he said that "Americans are a primitive people, disguised by the latest inventions." The blood lust for more policing and punishment is ineffective, but the current system keeps people angry and defensive--sort of like your reporting about jail abuse that ended with anecdotes about how those released are terrorizing the neighborhood around the jail. 

But...the beatings must continue until morale improves.

Wednesday, November 3, 2021

Ladies and Gentlemen, the Democrats! (re: Virginia losses)

 



An echo of:

Monday, November 1, 2021

China vs. The U.S.' governance

From here:

Where liberal philosophers [like those who founded the U.S.] build systems to restrain the power of potentially vicious rulers with strict procedures, theorists of virtue politics [as in China] elevate the selection of rulers over the restriction of their power.

 

...

And from Confucius: "The inferior man thinks only of comfort. The superior man thinks only of virtue."

Friday, October 22, 2021

The Inconvenient Truth about Conservative Economics

(c) by Mark Dempsey

A recent NPR Throughline podcast summarizes Austrian economist Friedrich Hayek's thought, and includes an account of his 1947 meeting with other like-minded thinkers in Switzerland at Mont Pelerin. Hayek began the Mont Pelerin Society (MPS) with the 39 economists, historians and sociologists who met there, and they eventually became influential--of 76 economic advisers on Ronald Reagan's 1980 campaign staff, 22 were MPS members. It's also worth noting that MPS is full of climate change deniers, and membership includes right-wing petrochemical billionaire Charles Koch. If the wealth of multi-billionaire brothers Charles and David Koch were held by a single individual, he would be the wealthiest on the planet.

The historical context may have influenced some of MPS' more extreme positions. After all, Hayek and his MPS colleagues were concerned about the rise of Mussolini, Stalin and Hitler. So perhaps even their exaggerated libertarian, freewheeling, free market economic prescriptions are more understandable in that context, acting as a protest against a troubling authoritarian trend. Nevertheless, the MPS economists were, and are, not at all on the left side of the political spectrum--and Throughline certainly does not align with NPR's supposedly liberal editorial policy with this relatively uncritical presentation.

Central to MPS and Hayek’s thought is their advocacy for markets relatively free of state influence and regulation. “When you go down to the store and buy [a] pencil, you are, in effect, trading a few minutes of your time for a few seconds of the time of all those thousands of people [who made the pencil]....That's the miracle of the price system. Everybody has benefited. There's been no central direction.” The quote is from Milton Friedman, but the reverence for "free," unregulated markets is a sentiment shared by Hayek and MPS generally.

In fact, conservative economists like the Hayek's fellow Austrians and Milton Friedman's Monetarists have been devoted to "free" markets with a quasi-religious fervor, and they are positively giddy that consumers can command a huge crowd of pencil producers for a trivial amount of money. Throughline's reporting does say Hayek himself advocated a more nuanced view rather than a completely unregulated free market, after all, Hayek insisted on a pension to replace his Austrian state pension before he would move to the U.S. 

Apparently a Readers' Digest version of Hayek's most famous work, The Road to Serfdom, is what guided many subsequent followers to advocate nuance-less dispensing with state regulation, or even most of the state iself. Grover Norquist, a part of the Koch's network of political influencers, famously said he wanted to reduce government until it's small enough to "drown in a bathtub." In their view, states and regulation simply interfere with the "magic" of the market.

Still, a few inconvenient truths contradict Friedman's assertion that "there's no central direction,"even in that pencil transaction. Among other things, some central direction makes sure the pencil is not coated with poisonous lead paint. Market regulations also makes sure the money used for that purchase isn’t counterfeit, and the state provides enough security so thieves generally do not rob the buyer or seller as the purchase occurs. There are certainly more examples of central direction, but poisonous paint, counterfeit money and security are not immediately obvious, so "free" marketers can continue to believe these assertions without questioning the premise as long as they don't look too closely at what's really going on.

And don't get me wrong, the U.S.' "central direction" is anything but perfect. Scientists knew since the 1920s that lead in paint was toxic to humans, but one had to wait until 1978 for the Carter administration to sue and to get manufacturers to get the lead out. Those who suffered from the paint manufacturers' negligence sued for compensation, and they won their suit, at least initially. However, the U.S. Supreme Court vacated the multi-million-dollar judgment against the paint manufacturers. 

Historians speculate that Caligula was not so much mad as poisoned by his lead plumbing. Other historians note that Beethoven's deafness is one symptom lead poisoning could have produced. Even small amounts of lead can cause serious health problems. Children younger than 6 years are especially vulnerable to lead poisoning, which can severely affect mental and physical development. And no, pre-1978 pencils did not come with a warning not to put them in your mouth.

Given the number and frequency of arms-length transactions in modern economies, one cannot help but be astonished that MPS and its successors continue to advocate dramatic deregulation. After all, in recent years the Chinese shipped the U.S. dog food containing poisonous methyl mercaptan. What drives deregulation, then, a feeling of invulnerability? Arrogance? Ignorance?

As for the historical record of "central direction," David Graeber (in Debt: the first 5,000 years) asserts there have never markets without states, ever. It's even a recent re-interpretation of "freedom" to say markets can be free of regulation. Classical economics talks about markets free from the influence of economic rent--money paid for no productive purpose, particularly to landlords--not markets free of regulation.

The Throughline transcript continues with more of Friedman's fervor: “That is why the operation of the free market is so essential - but even more to foster harmony and peace among the peoples of the world.” Given the frequency of various conflicts, including wars and assassinations, over the shape of markets and the states that regulate them, calling this sunny assertion bizarre is an understatement.

The only historical example of a libertarian, completely unregulated market is the "dark web." This portion of the internet, which originated with U.S. military research, encrypts communication so thoroughly, no central direction is possible; in fact, those visiting dark web websites cannot identify buyers or sellers at all, and must use an anonymous payment method like bitcoin to transact their business. 

On the dark web, one can buy drugs, kiddie porn, even assassinations. There are no regulations at all. As you might imagine, criminals cheat customers and each other, so the "brand" of such websites, assuring the transaction would occur as advertised, became very important. One such website was the Silk Road, run by "Dread Pirate Roberts" (Robert Ulricht), who proclaimed that his website would demonstrate the validity of his libertarian principles. 

Ulricht was making roughly $40 million a year from the Silk Road when he was arrested by the FBI for trying to hire a hitman to kill someone he believed cheated him. No evidentiary hearing, jury, or law made this decision, just the feudal lord who decided whether that cheater would live or die. 

This reminds me of a sentiment I'm told is Russian: things are never so bad they can’t get worse. In any case the dark internet is as close to a libertarian market as humanity has ever seen. I'd suggest the inevitable destination of such completely unregulated markets is the feudalism Ulricht practiced.

We might be a little more sanguine about Friedman if his disciples hadn’t participated in the overthrow of Salvador Allende’s elected government in Chile in 1973, installing human rights criminal General Augusto Pinochet, killing an estimated 10,000 people in the process, including any economists who disagreed with the "Chicago Boys" (Friedman taught at the University of Chicago). That legacy endures, too. Here's a picture of a recent (October 25, 2019) million-plus person Chilean demonstration, protesting the failing, privatized Chilean pension system under Pinochet, created at the Chicago boys' direction. 


This enormous demonstration was so spontaneous no one had time to make signs. Meanwhile, the U.S. pension system--Social Security--eliminated 65% of elder poverty.

Reagan followed some of Friedman's economic advice about controlling the money supply, at least for the first two years of his administration. Paul Krugman’s Peddling Prosperity outlines just how Friedman’s monetarist economics failed to produce the desired result, and were abandoned. And this reliance on bogus economics persists even today. People still tell me that the Fed can control the money supply, even though 97% of the money is bank credit, not federally-issued dollars. 

Many readers might remember when Ron and Nancy Reagan were ridiculed mercilessly for consulting an astrologer. Would that astrologer provide better advice than they had from their economic advisors? Reagan apparently refused to privatize Social Security, as the Kochs wished. Perhaps the stars didn't align.

Here are some common criticisms of Hayek's Austrian economics:

  • The belief in the pure efficiency of markets does not square market failures like the growth of subprime mortgages / securitisation leading up to credit crisis of 2008. Note that Democrat Bill Clinton colluded with Newt Gingrich's congress in deregulating Wall Street. Glass-Steagall remains repealed.
  • High tax and high spending regimes do not necessarily impinge on social freedoms. Many western European economies have high tax and high government spending, but, citizens get a comprehensive welfare state, education and health care. Healthcare in particular is roughly half the cost of the U.S.' privatized system, and, uncontroversially, produces better outcomes.
  • Austrians advocate a return to the deflationary bias of the Gold Standard. Political economist Mark Blythe says "You can either have the gold standard or democracy, not both." In any case, it's truly insane to tie the success of the economy to the output of its gold mines.
  • Austrians suggest economies will recover from downturns without government intervention, but experience says leaving economic policy to market forces may means moving the economy back to full capacity takes a very long time. Therefore, Austrians' policy prescriptions for the Great Depression are considered to be ‘nihilistic’ because they advocated no government intervention. In effect, the Austrians have been shaping their political beliefs into economic policy.
  • The Austrian model says consumption will rise in a recession. Actually, in a recession there is a powerful negative multiplier effect reducing output of all sectors.
  • Even their ally, Milton Friedman, argues an examination of US data suggests the Austrian theories of credit cycles are wrong. Surprisingly, even Friedman advocates a basic income guarantee.

Given the sorry historical performance of such economic principles one has to ask why anyone would give these people credence, never mind the time of day. The answer is fairly simple, though: their recommendations give intellectual respectability to the plutocrats who profit from poison, counterfeiting and insecurity, among other things. 

Since 1981, the incomes of the top 5% of earners have increased faster than the incomes of other families

The graph above shows that, generally speaking, the upper income brackets have profited most from the U.S. economy since 1980, as influenced by the MPS economists. The bar on the far right would be even taller if it were for the top 0.1%. Investigative reporter David Cay Johnstone notes that median, real income for the bottom 90% has increased all of $59 since 1972. If that $59 were an inch on a bar graph, the bar for the top 10% would be 141 feet tall. The bar for the top 0.1% would be five miles high.

The profit achieved by those top brackets gives them the resources to fund MPS and its allies, and the plutocrats have not stinted in doing so. For the 2016 election cycle alone, the Kochs spent $889 million. Their supposed "lefty" nemesis, George Soros, spent only $27 million. Soros, incidentally, is a fan of philosopher Karl Popper, and Popper was a founder of MPS. So, the spectrum of respectable public policy options has been narrowed tremendously. Even a capitalist's capitalist like currency speculator Soros is thought to be a lefty.

"Indeed, [Professor Tyler Cowen, the Holbert L. Harris Chair of Economics at
George Mason University and the partner with Charles Koch for two decades now in the
academic base camp of Koch’s political project, housed at George Mason University’s Mercatus Center] pointed out of the very few [what libertarians would call] success stories to date that 'in no case were reforms brought on by popular demand for market-oriented ideas.” More challenging still, the libertarian cause had run up against a persistent problem: it wanted a radical transformation that 'find[s] little or no support” in the electorate.'" (From Nancy MacLean's essay "'Since We Are Greatly Outnumbered':Why and How the Koch Network Uses Disinformation to Thwart Democracy" [pdf])

MacLean continues: "one thing is abundantly clear from the available evidence: operations funded by Koch and his wealthy allies through organizations such as Freedom Partners Chamber of Commerce and Donors Trust have relied on disinformation and manipulation to advance their agenda of radical transformation, leveraging the specter of a supposedly threatening “liberal elite” and strategic racism (what Ian Haney López calls “dog whistle politics”) to compensate for lack of persuasive evidence by inciting clannish responses.

"Indeed, after witnessing several years of the Tea Party doing precisely that, a Cato Institute
publication boasted of libertarians’ role in encouraging the cause and exulted that Tea Party
activism was pushing the GOP to become 'functionally libertarian.'"

So these conservative economists and philosophers have been successful beyond the dreams of avarice at least partly because they are willing to disseminate lies in service to their principles. In the U.S. they have whittled opponents down to a tiny remnant. Among other things, thanks to Koch money, any legislator who strays from the Republican party line can expect well-funded opposition in the next election.

This is a perilous course, if only because even well-regulated markets are very good at solving short-term, individual problems, but long-term, systemic problems remain inevitably unsolved. Unemployment, immigration, healthcare, infrastructure and the climate catastrophe barreling down the tracks toward us are a few examples. 

Humanity has been delusional enough to believe counter-factual information for literally millenia--the heliocentric solar system is common knowledge in the West only since the Renaissance. It's difficult to get out of a rut in thinking and perception. The propaganda narrative is very effective, and thanks to the Kochs, well-funded. But rude awakenings await those who believe this kind of sleep walking is a winning life strategy. Heck, closing one's eyes and stopping up one's ears isn't a good strategy to navigate the living room furniture.

Thursday, October 7, 2021

Why Does Congress Fight Over Childcare But Not F-35s?

[via nakedcapitalism.com]

Yves Smith: Of course we know the answer to how Congress sets its priorities. No one wants to lose donations or cause their friends in Virginia to lose sleep wondering how they’ll pay for their kids’ college tuition. Even so, the New York Times has finally deigned to notice that the US is an outlier, in an obviously bad way, on childcare spending. Gee, one wonders why.

In fairness, this post gives useful detail on America’s over the top military spending and how it manages never to come up for debate. However, it unfortunately also takes up the balanced budget myth.

Why Does Congress Fight Over Childcare But Not F-35s?

By Medea Benjamin, cofounder of CODEPINK for Peace and author of several books, including Inside Iran: The Real History and Politics of the Islamic Republic of Iran and Nicolas J. S. Davies is an independent journalist, a researcher with CODEPINK and the author of Blood On Our Hands: the American Invasion and Destruction of Iraq

President Biden and the Democratic Congress are facing a crisis as the popular domestic agenda they ran on in the 2020 election is held hostage by two corporate Democratic Senators, fossil-fuel consigliere Joe Manchin and payday-lender favorite Kyrsten Sinema.

But the very week before the Dems’ $350 billion-per-year domestic package hit this wall of corporate money-bags, all but 38 House Democrats voted to hand over more than double that amount to the Pentagon. Senator Manchin has hypocritically described the domestic spending bill as “fiscal insanity,” but he has voted for a much larger Pentagon budget every year since 2016.

Real fiscal insanity is what Congress does year after year, taking most of its discretionary spending off the table and handing it over to the Pentagon before even considering the country’s urgent domestic needs. Maintaining this pattern, Congress just splashed out $12 billion for 85 more F-35 warplanes, 6 more than Trump bought last year, without debating the relative merits of buying more F-35s vs. investing $12 billion in education, healthcare, clean energy or fighting poverty.

The 2022 military spending bill (NDAA or National Defense Authorization Act) that passed the House on September 23 would hand a whopping $740 billion to the Pentagon and $38 billion to other departments (mainly the Department of Energy for nuclear weapons), for a total of $778 billion in military spending, a $37 billion increase over this year’s military budget. The Senate will soon debate its version of this bill—but don’t expect too much of a debate there either, as most senators are “yes men” when it comes to feeding the war machine.

Two House amendments to make modest cuts both failed: one by Rep. Sara Jacobs to strip $24 billion that was added to Biden’s budget request by the House Armed Services Committee; and another by Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez for an across-the-board10% cut(with exceptions for military pay and healthcare).

After adjusting for inflation, this enormous budget is comparable to the peak of Trump’s arms build-up in 2020, and is only 10% below th epost-WWII record set by Bush II in 2008 under cover of the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. It would give Joe Biden the dubious distinction of being the fourth post-Cold War U.S. president to militarily outspend every Cold War president, from Truman to Bush I.

In effect, Biden and Congress are locking in the $100 billion per year arms build-up that Trump justified with his absurd claims that Obama’s record military spending had somehow depleted the military.

As with Biden’s failure to quickly rejoin the JCPOA with Iran, the time to act on cutting the military budget and reinvesting in domestic priorities was in the first weeks and months of his administration. His inaction on these issues, like his deportation of thousands of desperate asylum seekers, suggests that he is happier to continue Trump’s ultra-hawkish policies than he will publicly admit.

In 2019, the Program for Public Consultation at the University of Maryland conducted a study in which it briefed ordinary Americans on the federal budget deficit and asked them how they would address it. The average respondent favored cutting the deficit by $376 billion, mainly by raising taxes on the wealthy and corporations, but also by cutting an average of $51 billion from the military budget.

Even Republicans favored cutting $14 billion, while Democrats supported a much larger $100 billion cut. That would be more than the10% cut in the failed Ocasio-Cortez Amendment, which garnered support from only 86 Democratic Reps and was opposed by 126 Dems and every Republican.

Most of the Democrats who voted for amendments to reduce spending still voted to pass the bloated final bill. Only 38 Democrats were willing to vote against a $778 billion military spending bill that, once Veterans Affairs and other related expenses are included, would continue to consume over 60% of discretionary spending.

“How’re you going to pay for it?” clearly applies only to “money for people,” never to “money for war.” Rational policy making would require exactly the opposite approach. Money invested in education, healthcare and green energy is an investment in the future, while money for war offers little or no return on investment except to weapons makers and Pentagon contractors, as was the case with the $2.26 trillion the United States wasted on death and destruction in Afghanistan.

A study by the Political Economy Research Center at the University of Massachusetts found that military spending creates fewer jobs than almost any other form of government spending. It found that $1 billion invested in the military yields an average of 11,200 jobs, while the same amount invested in other areas yields: 26,700 jobs when invested in education; 17,200 in healthcare; 16,800 in the green economy; or 15,100 jobs in cash stimulus or welfare payments.

It is tragic that the only form of Keynesian stimulus that is uncontested in Washington is the least productive for Americans, as well as the most destructive for the other countries where the weapons are used. These irrational priorities seem to make no political sense for Democratic Members of Congress, whose grassroots voters would cut military spending by an average of $100 billion per year based on the Maryland poll.

So why is Congress so out of touch with the foreign policy desires of their constituents? It is well-documented that Members of Congress have more close contact with well-heeled campaign contributors and corporate lobbyists than with the working people who elect them, and that the “unwarranted influence” of Eisenhower’s infamous Military-Industrial Complex has become more entrenched and more insidious than ever, just as he feared.

The Military-Industrial Complex exploits flaws in what is at best a weak, quasi-democratic political system to defy the will of the public and spend more public money on weapons and armed forces than the world’s next 13 military powers. This is especially tragic at a time when the wars of mass destruction that have served as a pretext for wasting these resources for 20 years may finally, thankfully, be coming to an end.

The five largest U.S. arms manufacturers (Lockheed Martin, Boeing, Raytheon, Northrop Grumman and General Dynamics) account for 40% of the arms industry’s federal campaign contributions, and they have collectively received $2.2 trillion in Pentagon contracts since 2001 in return for those contributions. Altogether, 54% of military spending ends up in the accounts of corporate military contractors, earning them $8 trillion since 2001.

The House and Senate Armed Services Committees sit at the very center of the Military-Industrial Complex, and their senior members are the largest recipients of arms industry cash in Congress. So it is a dereliction of duty for their colleagues to rubber-stamp military spending bills on their say-so without serious, independent scrutiny.

The corporate consolidation, dumbing down and corruption of U.S. media and the isolation of the Washington “bubble” from the real world also play a role in Congress’s foreign policy disconnect.

There is another, little-discussed reason for the disconnect between what the public wants and how Congress votes, and that can be found in afascinating 2004 study by the Chicago Council on Foreign Relations titled “The Hall of Mirrors: Perceptions and Misperceptions in the Congressional Foreign Policy Process.”

The “Hall of Mirrors” study surprisingly found a broad consensus between the foreign policy views of lawmakers and the public, but that “in many cases Congress has voted in ways that are inconsistent with these consensus positions.”

The authors made a counter-intuitive discovery about the views of congressional staffers. “Curiously, staffers whose views were at odds with the majority of their constituents showed a strong bias toward assuming, incorrectly, that their constituents agreed with them,” the study found, “while staffers whose views were actually in accord with their constituents more often than not assumed this was not the case.”

This was particularly striking in the case of Democratic staffers, who were often convinced that their own liberal views placed them in a minority of the public when, in fact, most of their constituents shared the same views. Since congressional staffers are the primary advisors to members of Congress on legislative matters, these misperceptions play a unique role in Congress’s anti-democratic foreign policy.

Overall, on nine important foreign policy issues, an average of only 38% of congressional staffers could correctly identify whether a majority of the public supported or opposed a range of different policies they were asked about.

On the other side of the equation, the study found that “Americans’ assumptions about how their own member votes appear to be frequently incorrect … [I]n the absence of information, it appears that Americans tend to assume, often incorrectly, that their member is voting in ways that are consistent with how they would like their member to vote.”

It is not always easy for a member of the public to find out whether their Representative votes as they would like or not. News reports rarely discuss or link to actual roll-call votes, even though the Internet and the CongressionalClerk’s officemake it easier than ever to do so.

Civil society and activist groups publish more detailed voting records. Govtrack.uslets constituents sign up for emailed notifications of every single roll-call vote in Congress.Progressive Punchtracks votes and rates Reps on how often they vote for “progressive” positions, while issues-related activist groups track and report on bills they support, as CODEPINK does atCODEPINK Congress. Open Secretsenables the public to track money in politics and see how beholden their Representatives are to different corporate sectors and interest groups.

When Members of Congress come to Washington with little or no foreign policy experience, as many do, they must take the trouble to study hard from a wide range of sources, to seek foreign policy advice from outside the corrupt Military-Industrial Complex, which has brought us only endless war, and to listen to their constituents.

TheHall of Mirrorsstudy should be required reading for congressional staffers, and they should reflect on how they are personally and collectively prone to the misperceptions it revealed.

Members of the public should beware of assuming that their Representatives vote the way they want them to, and instead make serious efforts to find out how they really vote. They should contact their offices regularly to make their voices heard, and work with issues-related civil society groups to hold them accountable for their votes on issues they care about.

Looking forward to next year’s and future military budget fights, we must build a strong popular movement that rejects the flagrantly anti-democratic decision to transition from a brutal and bloody, self-perpetuating “war on terror” to an equally unnecessary and wasteful but even more dangerous arms race with Russia and China.

As some in Congress continue to ask how we can afford to take care of our children or ensure future life on this planet, progressives in Congress must not only call for taxing the rich but cutting the Pentagon–and not just in tweets or rhetorical flourishes, but in real policy.

While it may be too late to reverse course this year, they must stake out a line in the sand for next year’s military budget that reflects what the public desires and the world so desperately needs: to roll back the destructive, gargantuan war machine and to invest in healthcare and a livable climate, not bombs and F-35s.

Saturday, October 2, 2021

Eeek! You can never be too safe!

The media critics at FAIR recently aired an answer to "copaganda"  (~28 minutes), the NY Times report (here and here) of  rising murder rates attributed to the "Ferguson Effect." This means the public's distrust of police means police withdraw from traditional crime prevention.

They interview the author of Usual Cruelty, Alex Karakastanis (of https://civilrightscorps.org/) who says the reporters are biased, and assert things fictional for many of their arguments. In effect, the Times is actually speculating there's a connection between police and murder rates. Murder rates far more often correlated with poverty, toxic masculinity--things not really connected with the police.

The truth: murder is at historic lows despite a recent upswing, perhaps more connected to COVID than policing. More police means less crime is a common meme, promoted by every mystery or crime procedural, but the truth is that police solve ~20% of crimes, and only ~2% of serious crime. Perry Mason they ain't.

Actually crime statistics are based on something the police define, and the published crime statistics  reflect that. For example, those statistics do not include police crime, wage theft (five times the reported robbery/burglary stats), clean water act violations, etc.

That the Times authors limit the debate to exclude lots of white collar crime and police crime--even poverty--makes it seem like there are really a narrow range of views. It's then possible to blame the victim, for example, asserting civil rights protests of police violence are to blame for rising crime rates.

Lately, bail reform (the "revolving jailhouse door") is blamed as adding to crime. Evidence is that detaining people who can't afford bail actually harms public safety, disrupting lives already on the brink, making crime, assault, murder, more likely. As Anatole France says: "The law in its magnificent equality forbids rich and poor alike from sleeping under bridges, begging in the street and stealing bread."


Friday, September 17, 2021

12 Step Program to Create a Housing Crisis

(from LAProgressive)

A UCLA Luskin Center study on homelessness in Los Angeles traces this unresolved social problem back to the 1930s, when homeless encampments were called Hoovervilles.  In response, Los Angeles began its own public housing program, a responsibility assumed by the Federal government between 1934-1937, with the formation of the Federal Housing Administration.  For the next four decades the Federal government undertook the funding of public housing and publicly subsidized housing through local housing authorities.

There were exceptions, such as California’s 400 local redevelopment agencies.  Until the State Legislature and Governor Brown dissolved them in 2011, they devoted 20 percent of their tax increment financing to publicly subsidized housing, usually built through non-profit housing corporations.

Given this noteworthy history, how have we ended up with a steadily worsening housing crisis in the United States, with at least 600,000 people homeless on any given night.  Furthermore, a basic two-bedroom apartment is beyond the financial reach of the poorest renters in every American county.  According to the National Low Income Housing Coalition:

“In most areas of the U.S., a family of four with poverty-level income earns no more than $25,750 and can afford a monthly rent of no more than $644. The national average fair market rent for a one-bedroom home is $970 per month and $1,194 for a two-bedroom home, far from affordable for a family in poverty.”

This housing crisis did not happen by itself.  It is the result of deliberate policy decisions at every level of government over the past half century. 

Of course, in expensive housing markets like Los Angeles, the housing crisis is much worse because the average rent for a two bedroom apartment in LA is $2,900 per month.  About 10 percent of the country’s homeless live in Los Angeles County, with individuals and encampments visible in every community, no longer corralled into DTLA’s historic Skid Row neighborhood

This housing crisis did not happen by itself.  It is the result of deliberate policy decisions at every level of government over the past half century.  These are the most important steps that produced this crisis, with every expectation it will continue for years to come.

  • Step 1) Beginning with the Nixon Administration (1968-1973), the Federal government gradually liquidated HUD public housing programs.  This purge gas been so complete that some local activists use the European term, social housing.  Are they unaware that 1.1 million units of legacy public housing remain in the United States, and they house 2 million people?  If these HUD programs had continued, this country could be filled with an additional million units of low cost public housing to meet the needs of the homeless, rent burdened, and over-crowded.

  • Step 2) Failing to index the 2009 Congressionally adopted $7.25/hour minimum wage to inflation or the price of housing has left millions priced out of housing.  The supply is there, but for too many tenants, the rent is too damn high.  The cost of existing housing forces them to live in overcrowded conditions, pay more than 30 percent of their income on rent, live in cars, or sleep on sidewalks.
  • Step 4) Cutting back spending on social services, mental health, and addiction outreach in California left many of those forced to live on the streets without proper care.
  • Step 5) Relying on the Los Angeles Police Department to treat homelessness as a crime has forced many encampments to relocate to other neighborhoods, without ameliorating the underlying causes of homelessness.
  • Step 6) Privatizing public housing, by, for example, offering density bonuses to private developers who pledge to rent approximately 10 percent of completed units to low-income tenants has not succeeded, according to LA City Controller Ron Galperin
  • Step 7) Avoiding sending Los Angeles Housing and Community Investment Department  (HCID) inspectors to private sector density bonus apartments means that the City Hall is unable to verify that promised low-priced apartment units exist and are rented to vetted low-income tenants.
  • Step 8) Failing to compile an accurate HCID registry of density bonus apartments and low-income tenants who qualify for density bonus housing makes LA’s housing crisis worse, not better.
  • Step 9) Counting building permits issued for density bonus apartments, instead of low cost rental units completed and rented to certified low-income tenants, creates a false impression that the privatization of public housing is a viable alternative to HUD and CRA projects.
  • Step 10) Neglecting to monitor the grandiose claims of up-zoners, that zone changes reduce homelessness, increase transit ridership, and decrease Green House Gas emissions, also makes the housing crisis worse.
  • Step 12) Blaming immigrants in red states for the housing crisis and owner-occupants of single-family houses in blue states for homelessness conceal the real culprits.  The elected officials responsible for cutbacks in public housing and public health programs are off the hook.  Meanwhile, the speculative real estate investors who so benefit from up-zoning evade media attention.  This is why the counter-terms of WIMBY (Wall Street in My Backyard) and Fauxgressive (fake progressives) have been deployed to reveal who is hiding behind the curtain.

These are the most important steps responsible for the current housing crisis.  They also explain why this crisis will not heal itself, but that it could be reversed so everyone will have a roof over their head, regardless of their income or location.

Dick Platkin