Thursday, April 15, 2021

Modern Money (in a nutshell) and the Environment

(c) by Mark Dempsey

Modern Money Theory provides an accurate description of federal fiscal policy, and frankly one that's not that exotic--but it appears to be news to environmentalists. Most of us were raised to believe federal fiscal policy is tax and spend. Just as your household requires earning its spending money, government needs to tax the population to get the wherewithal to make its purchases.

Both political right and left agree that tax and spend describes federal budgeting too. Margaret Thatcher famously said "If the state wishes to spend more, it can do so only by borrowing your savings or by taxing you more. There is no such thing as public money, there is only taxpayers’ money." Barack Obama went so far as to sponsor a commission (Simpson-Bowles) to close the gap between revenue and spending, comparing the government to a household with a big credit card bill.

But tax and spend cannot be true. For one thing, where would taxpayers get the dollars they use to pay taxes if the monopoly provider of currency (government) did not spend dollars out into the economy first? The fiscal policy of money creators like the federal government must be completely different from households'. Spend first, then retrieve some dollars in taxes is the way things must work .  That's just the operational nature of reality.

This observation means several things: first and foremost, money creators like the U.S. are fiscally unconstrained. Government doesn't have to wait for tax revenue to provision federal programs.  It can't! This insight is not that "Modern," either--see New York Federal Reserve governor Beardsly Ruml's paper "Taxes for Revenue are Obsolete"...from 1946. Resources may constrain what government can do, but lack of tax dollars never can.

Then why have taxes? Answer: to make the money do something valuable...like retiring the inevitable liability of taxes. Without the power to tax, the money becomes valueless--see the Confederate States of America for one example.

And what do we call the dollars left out in the economy, not retrieved in taxes? Answer #1: the dollar financial assets of the population--i.e. their savings. Answer #2: National 'debt.'  Both answers describe exactly the the same thing, just as your bank account is your asset, but the bank's liability. Marching down to the bank to demand it reduce its debt (i.e. the size of your account) is not very sensible, yet it's a commonplace when it comes to National 'debt.' (See this for the history of its effects.)

What has this got to do with the environment? I just got a fundraising appeal from the Sierra Club asking for lobbying money to eliminate carbon-producing coal from the world's energy mix. It also mentioned we also need to take care of the coal miners and others displaced by this switch. It's worth mentioning that no new tax would be needed to do this, but Sierra Club omitted that bit.

Government management of the big public works project we call "World War II" consumed 50% of the American economy. The proposed Green New Deal, which also would compensate those displaced by the switch to renewables, would only consume 5% of the current economy.

Besides lobbying to remove coal from our energy mix, my personal favorite would be a federal farm policy that paid  farmers to sequester carbon rather than one paying them to not grow crops. We have the technology to measure how much carbon crops put in the soil, and adding carbon actually makes the soil more fertile. As farm policy, it would be far more effective than letting them "launder money for Cargill and ADM"--two big agribusinesses--as Michael Pollan notes in The Omnivore's Dilemma.

In any case, we can now see a possibility for programs to wean us off carbon-producing energy in a way that respects those displaced, and could move us toward planet-saving renewables and carbon sequestration. All that is possible without any change to tax policy. The Biden administration is trying to raise corporate taxes to "pay for" its infrastructure proposals. That's not necessary, and now you, and the Sierra Club, know it.


Update: “A Soil Scientist’s Perspective – Carbon Farming, CO2 Certification & Carbon Sequestration in Soil” [Resilience]. “When it comes to humus and soils, the focus must be on soil fertility, ecosystem services and greater resilience to climate change, and not on CO2 sequestration, certificate trading and carbon storage. Considering an isolated factor within an agricultural ecosystem in purely economic terms does not put enough value on ecosystem services and risks incentivising the adoption of one-sided measures.”

Update #2: Joanne Chory is using plants to save the planet

In the Breakthrough Prize video, Chory laid out a vision for a new kind of agriculture: She wanted to create crops like wheat or rice that are bred to store huge amounts of carbon in their roots. If enough farmers replanted their fields with these engineered species, she said, they could pull as much as 20% of carbon dioxide emitted by humans out of the atmosphere each year.

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